Blogs about: 0 6km Shear
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22 August Morning
Keys: Note “persistence” used to aid in dewpoint forecast (expecting similar mixing and dropoff due to similar setup to previous day). Same idea with thunderstorm forecast as 850mb and 70… more →
AFD Log
13 August Afternoon
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Always remember the lake effect. Why: Cumulus w/ cyclonic flow? UPPER LOW OVER NW IOWA/SW WI/N … more →
22 August Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Note “persistence” used to aid in dewpoint forecast (expecting similar mixing and … more →
20 August Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Use potential vorticity in light of WAA and frontogenesis fields. Below guidance in summer wi … more →
13 August Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: For lake effect potential, evaluate surface-850 delta-T, fetch over lake. A cold pool aloft ca … more →
19 August Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Cirrus shield, light southerly wind limit fog formation. Consider instability/shear parameters … more →
21 July Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: I assume the fcstr used “trough” instead of “cold front” since the fro … more →
20 June Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Storms diagnosed as result of WAA. Fog not expected to expand after cloud cover increases. Win … more →
19 June Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Short wave diagnosed as driving mechanism for thunder: as goes the shortwave, so go the storms … more →
18 June Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Check for convective feedback in model progs. Note critical timing/placement of warm front for … more →
8 June Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: 850mb cooling plus reduction in 925mb temps implies cooler highs than persistence. Look for hi … more →
Afternoon
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Diagnosed model QPF as result of elevated convection, but with strong cap and lack of strong f … more →
Morning
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Midlevel cooling + dynamic lift may help initiate convection. When evaluating convective threa … more →
