The people of Scotland are currently deciding in an upcoming “Yes-No” referendum (this Thursday!) whether to leave the British Union and become an independent nation. As is typical around times of heightened political interest, media outlets are awash with polls attempting to predict the outcome. 1,252 more words

## Tags » Bayesian

#### Idea: Bayesian Performance Estimation

I had an idea that I’m pretty sure will work, but I’m not sure what I’d do with it – it involves using Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that a player is within a certain skill bucket. 455 more words

#### The dp-means algorithm of Kulis and Jordan in R and Python

*dp-means* algorithm. Think *k-means* but with the number of clusters calculated.

By John Myles White, in **R**. (Github link off that page.)

By… 9 more words

#### Fun with (Extended Kalman) Filters

# Summary

An extended Kalman filter in Haskell using type level literals and automatic differentiation to provide some guarantees of correctness.

# Population Growth

Suppose we wish to model population growth of bees via the… 1,226 more words

#### "The joy and martyrdom of trying to be a Bayesian"

Bayesians have all been there. Some of us don’t depend upon producing publications to assure our pay, so we less have the pressure of pleasing peer reviewers. 33 more words

#### UNDERC Diary 2014: Day 1

Guess what time it is, boys and girls? That’s right! it’s…

UNDERC DIARY!!!! YAY!!!

Well, I finally made it back to the land of the fish fry and the pasty. 289 more words