Tags » Bayesian

Bayesian Updating | Coin Flip | Python Code

Over the past year I’ve been really interested in probability distributions and Bayesian updating. This process involves taking previous knowledge (prior) and current information (likelihood of some parameter(s) given current data) to update our belief (posterior) of some system. 834 more words

Bayesian Computation for Massive Data

The presentation below summarizes the pros, cons, and main mathematical ideas for many of the best existing computational methods (as of 2013) for Bayesian inference. I prepared these slides for my PhD preliminary examination and it is not meant to be self-contained. 50 more words


Bayes is Baaack

Actually teaching every day again has seriously cut into my already-sporadic posting. So let me be brief, and hope I can get back soon with the many insights that are rattling around and beg to be written down so I don’t lose them. 251 more words


spamassassin throws errors in amavis cron job

The spamassassin install uses a cron job to do sync and cleanup called amavisd-new-cronjob. This job throws up errors on the Debian 7.

error creating a DNS resolver socket: Network is unreachable at 
/usr/share/perl5/Mail/SpamAssassin/DnsResolver.pm line 235. 141 more words

Validity in Interpretation Chapter 5

You know the drill by now. These are just notes from my reading of E.D. Hirsch, Jr.’s Validity in Interpretation. We have finally reached the last chapter. 812 more words


Week 5 In Review

Phew, tough week for the model.  Historically Vegas has a root MSE of 13.52 points (an average deviation of 13.52 points from the spread).  My model has a historical root MSE of 12.98 points, and this week it had a root MSE of 13.75.   772 more words

Weekly Estimates