Blogs about: Bayesian

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Rats in the Cosmic Laboratory: Is God A Scientist?

Dr. Anthony Payne wrote 1 month ago: In one especially poignant scene in the movie “Shadowlands”,* famed English writer and O … more →

Tags: Philosophic & Religious Musings, God, Hebrew Scriptures, Bible, Biblical Contradictions, divine experiment, shadowlands, scientist, Origins

The Doomsday Argument12 comments

telescoper wrote 2 months ago: I don’t mind admitting that as I get older I get more and  more pessimistic about the prospect … more →

Tags: bad statistics, The Universe and Stuff, Brandon Carter, doomsday argument, Inductive inference, John Leslie, Richard Gott

Arrows and Demons40 comments

telescoper wrote 3 months ago: My recent post about randomness and non-randomness spawned a lot of comments over on cosmic variance … more →

Tags: The Universe and Stuff, Entropy, Leo Szilard, Maxwell's Demon, Physics, Thermodynamics

The beginning of CADIE - the prequel

tennisnoise wrote 3 months ago: CADIE's 3 step process When you walk into a dark field in the middle of the night…and look … more →

Tags: Google, 3 step process, african savannah, AI, artifical intelligence, Cadie, Employee, GPA, Prequel

Bayesian Filtering & Financial Applications

cvanclay wrote 3 months ago: A friend of mine and I recently started a new project. After kicking around several ideas we finall … more →

Tags: Content analysis, Machine learning

Response Times

vicentemalave wrote 4 months ago: I’m also reading R.Duncan Luce’s classic “Response Times” book about reactio … more →

Tags: reaction times, hazard function, survival analysis, statistics, Bayes, Psychology, donders, Cognitive Psychology

Publication bias2 comments

gabrielrossman wrote 4 months ago: | Gabriel | One of the things I try to stress to my grad students is all the ways that stats can go … more →

Tags: Stata, Economics

False Positives4 comments

telescoper wrote 4 months ago: There was an interesting article on the BBC website this week that, for once, contains an example of … more →

Tags: bad statistics, cancer screening, medical statistics

Forecasting w/ RSS feeds + SVM + Wavelets

bbrouwer wrote 5 months ago: You know the words, but probably haven’t seen them in the same sentence. Simply put, I’m going to wa … more →

Tags: Cyber, Machine learning, quantum mechanics, RSS, SVM, Wavelets, Forecasting, index, public traded company

On the Cards5 comments

telescoper wrote 5 months ago: After an interesting chat yesterday with a colleague about the difficulties involved in teaching pro … more →

Tags: Science, Physics, BRIDGE, Poker, Finesse, Card Games, Probability

Absence of evidence is evidence of absence?

Luk Arbuckle wrote 5 months ago: In the context of logical reasoning, and using Bayesian probability, you can argue that absence of e … more →

Tags: hypothesis testing, Confidence Interval, Terminology

Crazy beliefs3 comments

jason wrote 5 months ago: Imagine you live in a world free of religious dogma, where science is valued.  When someone makes a … more →

Tags: Religion, Science

Bayesian Adaptive Non-Inferiority With Safety Assessment: Retrospective Case Study to Highlight Potential Benefits and Limitations of the Approach

niaazalea wrote 6 months ago: According to the research done by Di Masi et al. (2003) 800 million dollar is needed in order to hav … more →

Bayesian Sample Size Calculations for a Non-Inferiority Test of Two Proportions in Clinical Trials

niaazalea wrote 6 months ago: In the setting where discrete variables are of interest (i.e. cinical response, complete response, s … more →

A Hybrid Bayesian-Frequentist Approach to Evaluate Clinical Trial Designs for Tests of Superiority and Non-Inferiority

niaazalea wrote 6 months ago: To conduct a phase III trial, one relies on the result of phase II trial. In theory, if the prelimin … more →

25 Years of Bayesian Methods in the Pharmaceutical Industry: A personal, Statistical Bummel

niaazalea wrote 6 months ago: This article by Grieve (2007) was published in Pharmaceutical Statistics. He started off by describi … more →

Bayesian Techniques for Sample Size Determination in Clinical Trials: A Short Review

niaazalea wrote 6 months ago: This article is published in Statistical Methods in Medical Research (2003). A lengthy introduction … more →

Bayesian and Mixed Bayesian/Likelihood Criteria for Sample Size Determination

niaazalea wrote 6 months ago: This paper is written by Joseph et al. (1997) and is published in Statistics in Medicine. The focus … more →

Comments on Bayesian and Frequentist Analysis and Interpretation of Clinical Trials

niaazalea wrote 6 months ago: Fisher (1996) , in his published article seems to oppose the use of Bayesian approach in the trial d … more →


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