Healthy affection affliction is an affair which could affect any of us abnormally as we abound older. The affection is one of the the a lot of talked about locations of your body. The affection acclimated metaphorically describes adulation as a abundant aching such as a torn heart. “My affection overflows with my adulation for you,” says a adolescent man to his sweetheart. The affections that we accurate with our affection are alone one aspect of the animal makeup. The added allocation consists of accepting a advantageous heart.

The affection is a above allotment of your physique organs and functions to accumulate you animate and healthy. It is a acclaimed actuality that not alone affections affect your affection as added factors such as your food, your lifestyle, exercises, and burden all play a pertinent role in affection health. The American Affection Association provides a abundant accord actual acceptable advice about affection care. The Cleveland Clinic and added medical centers accommodate ability and accomplish you can yield to ensure you accept a advantageous heart.

Exercising is a actual acceptation aspect of advantageous affection care. We acknowledge that not anybody can go to the gym or has the allowance in their home for gym equipment. We accept some suggestions that will advice with your affection bloom care.

- Sit in a adequate armchair and accomplish abiding you alleviate your accouterment for comfort.

- Start with your anxiety and ankles; circle them alone to the point area you feel the strain.

- Next acclaim plan up to your legs adopting them up and captivation them for about 5 minutes.

- Plan your easily and accoutrements by adopting them one ancillary and again the other.

- Move your arch up and down again aback and alternating in affable motions.

About 20 account a day will advice you abate the ache in your activity and will acquiesce you to relax. This is a abundant way to advance on your accepted affection health. The next affair is your diet arrangement. Please bethink it isn’t so abundant what you eat rather how abundant and how regularly. We advance you break abroad from the accustomed things that individuals allocution about such as fats, too abounding sweets and desserts, and things that you already apperceive will abuse you.

The affection is abstinent by demography your claret burden with the after-effects absolution your doctor be assertive as to your position. While account your heart, aboriginal the physician looks at the Systolic akin back systolic affection abortion starts whens the larboard ventricle cannot arrangement agilely which is apparently a pumping issue. The diastolic affection abortion occurs as continued as the larboard ventricle can not relax or ample absolutely which again becomes a bushing issue.

The affection accept to but be able to pump agilely and again relax to bushing with claret to accumulate a advantageous heart.

The accuracy is that the nations’ better analgesic is affection ache and we accept section meal abstracts aggregate nation wide. AHA has put calm some prime advice on the accountable and appear it while the U.S. Government has not attempted to clue affection ache at all. The AHA feels acerb that the government accept to get involved.

Yes, the affection is at the actual body of our existence.

For abounding we anticipate of the affection as continued as we are in adulation or at a time of claimed loss. As we abound earlier we activate to analyze the absolute heart, the arteries, veins, and the furnishings on our affection by the things we do. Yield some simple precautions for advantageous affection affliction and bacchanal in your life.

Author: Mark Hargreaves
Source: isnare.com

Here’s some interesting Q & A regarding outliers.

Q: What is the effective date of the new outlier policy? In other words, what determines if a given claim is subject to the new outlier policy?

A: The new outlier policy communicated in the HH PPS Rate Update for CY 2010 (CMS-1560-F) is a CY 2010 policy, and thus applies to claims paid at the CY 2010 rates.

Posted on CMS’ website, on the home health agency center page at: http://www.cms.hhs.gov/center/hha.asp, CMS has communicated that final instructions (via the normal Change Request/Transmittal process) describing the changes that will be made by Medicare contractors to implement this new outlier policy are currently being developed and are expected to be released sometime in early December. HHAs should note that HH PPS billing instructions are not changing as a result of this policy. CMS will provide an update as to the status of those instructions at out next Open Door Forum (ODF) on Wednesday, December 2nd.

On that same page of the CMS website, under the section entitled, “How to Stay Informed”, there are links to 1) the web page where the public can sign up to be on the HH PPS mailing list (called our listserv). The same information posted to our website, was also sent out via an announcement using this listserv, and 2) the web page where folks can learn how to sign up and participate in our Open Door Forum for Home Health, Hospice, & Durable Medical Equipment.
The direct link to information on the Open Door Forums is: http://www.cms.hhs.gov/OpenDoorForums/17_ODF_HHHDME.asp
The direct link to information on the upcoming December 2 ODF is: http://www.cms.hhs.gov/OpenDoorForums/Downloads/H3DME120209.pdf

Q: HHAs, and consultants to HHAs, are looking for guidance as of how to handle patients whose episodes fall into the outlier category. HHAs currently have wound care patients and diabetic patients who are unable (severely disabled) to self inject their insulin and fall under outliers. HHAs are concerned with access to care for high resource patients that currently result as outlier episodes. What are HHAs to do with such patients?

A: As stated in the final rule, CMS is sensitive to the concerns voiced by the industry with regards to insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) receiving diabetes management support as well as the support and disease management needs of patients with chronic diseases such as other types of diabetes, CHF, and wound care. CMS is sympathetic to the fact that some beneficiaries who need help administering insulin. As noted in the final rule, in our view, there is no reason to expect a large number of insulin patients unable to treat themselves would all be utilizing a single provider, and this is, in fact, generally the case in all areas of the country except those with sever program integrity issues.

Our analysis shows us that approximately 70 percent of HHAs receive between 0 and 1 percent in outlier payments. That being the case, we find it highly suspicious that outlier claims could legitimately be as high of a percentage as we are seeing in certain areas of the country. Suspicious, excessive billing of outlier claims is the reason behind the new outlier policy that includes the 10% cap. As we explained in the final rule, when we account for the areas in which there exist program integrity concerns with suspicious billing activities the vast majority of the remaining home health agencies have outlier dollars below 10 percent of their total home health payments and thus will not be affected by the new outlier policy. In fact, after excluding HHAs in areas of the country where fraudulent billing practices are suspected, we expect that less than 2% of all Medicare HHAs will be affected by the 10% cap on outlier payments and of that less than 2% of HHAs, almost all are located in urban areas where beneficiaries have other choices.

We also expect that the ability of HHAs to receive up to 10% of their total payment in outliers would partially compensate HHAs for the care associated with this subgroup of beneficiaries. The outlier policy in the HH PPS was NEVER intended to fully compensate HHAs for episodes that incur unusually high costs due to patient home health care needs. Rather, the intent of the outlier policy is to mitigate the negative financial impact that unusually high cost patients have on HHAs. We believe that our final outlier policy for CY 2010, that includes a 10% per-agency cap on outlier payments, is consistent with that intent.

Under Medicare’s home health benefit, HHAs are expected to provide education and training to help IDDM (and other diabetic) patients self-manage their diabetes. Many homebound patients with diabetes require short-term management for skilled observation, assessment, teaching, and training activities. If the patient is unable to learn to self-manage, including self-administer medication, the HHA would be expected to provide the teaching and training to a care-giver or family member. There will always be a subgroup of patients who cannot learn self-management, do not have a willing and able caregiver, and/or have no community support. However, as already stated, our analysis shows that to be a very small percentage of beneficiaries (when excluding areas of the country where fraudulent billing practices are suspected).

We also encourage HHAs to take advantage of the help and support available from organizations such as the American Diabetes Association, the Indian Health Service, and the American Association of Diabetic Educators regarding innovative techniques associated with diabetes self management training (DSMT). Collaborating with these organizations may allow HHAs to achieve greater success in enabling patients and/or their caregivers to better achieve self-management, and may provide the HHAs with innovative care suggestions regarding their patients.

CMS believes that its final outlier policy for CY 2010, that includes a 10% cap on outlier payments at the agency level, in concert with a new 2.5% outlier pool (as opposed to the existing 5 percent outlier pool), and returning 2.5% back into the rates, along with a reduction in the fixed dollar loss (FDL) ratio from 0.89 to 0.67, to be the appropriate policy at this time.

As with the implementation of any new policy, CMs will continue to monitor for any unintended consequences that this new policy may cause.

Similarly, through monitoring of the HH PPS if CMS finds that the new CY 2010 outlier policy is not effective and/or achieving our goals, an alternative (as discussed in both the proposed and final rules) would be to eliminate the outlier policy altogether (in future rulemaking).

(CFD.net.au – Contract for Difference, Share, Forex, ETFs, Commodities Traders) – Imports in August +1.1 % m/m from +0.1 % in August slightly better than expectations of +0.9 % Exports in August -1.8 % m/m from +1.7 % (revised from +2.2 %) in July worse than expectations of +1.7 % Sept. final CPI -0.4 % m/m from +0.2 % -0.3 % y/y from 0.0 % as per expectations. Sept. final … Imports in August +1.1 % m/m from +0.1 % in August slightly better than expectations of +0.9 % Exports in August -1.8 % m/m from +1.7 % (revised from +2.2 %) in July worse than expectations of +1.7 % Sept. final CPI -0.4 % m/m from +0.2 % -0.3 % y/y from 0.0 % as per expectations. Sept. final HICP -0.5 % m/m from +0.3 % -0.5 % t/t from -0.1 % slightly worse than expectations. French Data French Industrial Production in August +1.8 % m/m from +0.3 % (revised from +0.1 %) better than market expectations of +0.5 % Italian Data Italian Industrial Output in August +7.0 % m/m the biggest rise since 1990. This way exceeded market expectations of +0.6 % July was revised from +1.0 % to +2.4 % m/m. Annually -18.3 % from -17.9 % (revised from-18.2 %) expectations were –17.7 % y/y.. UK Data Merchandise Trade balance in Aug. – 6.24 billion Stg. from -6.431 billion (revised from -6.48 billion) market expectations -6.3 billion. PPI Output prices for Sept. +0.5 % m/m from +0.3 % (revised from +0.2 %) expectations +0.1 %, +0.4 % y/y   from -0.3 % (revised from -0.4 %) expectations -0.1 % PPI Input prices for Sept. -0.5 % m/m from +2.0 % (revised from +2.2 %) expectations -0.8 %, -6.5 % y/y   from -7.7 % (revised from -7.5 %) expectations -6.7 %. Canadian Data Unemployment rate in Sept. fell to 8.4 % from 8.7 % The number of people added to the workforce in Sept. was 31,600 (+91,600 full-time -30,000 part-time) from 27,100 the previous month versus expectations of 5,000 Comments/News China’s Vice President Xi Jinping says that China and the EU should strengthen their dialogue on macro-economy and financial issues and they should both oppose protectionism. He reiterates that the economic recovery will be a long process and that the economic situation in China is stabilizing. IEA (International Energy Agency) raises Q4 2009 world oil demand forecast by 530,000 bpd (barrels per day) to 85.2 million bpd and raises Q4 OPEC oil demand estimate by 500,000 bpd. It also lifts its 2010 global oil demand forecast to 1.42 million bpd, up 150,000 bpd from its previous forecast, raising forecasts for the 3rd consecutive month. Oil traded down to 71.35 has now recovered and trades at 71.44. US President Barack Obama wins the Nobel Peace Prize. FINMA (The Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority) says it will tighten Swiss banking regulations if international rules turn out stricter FINMA’S Chairman adds that if international rules turn out to be weaker Swiss regulations will not be softened. He says the regulator gas political support but he believes opposition may increase from market movers. Dollar against the Swiss trading lower at 1.0295 Ben Bernanke’s speech in Washington has been the main story for the market all morning. The speech was made last night during the Asian trading time zone and resulted in a reversal of the lower dollar trend. Some traders used it as an excuse to take profit on their short positions. Bernanke said that he was prepared to implement exit strategies and tighten monetary policy but now is not the time as he does not see sufficient evidence yet in the economic recovery for them to be implemented. He gave no indication on timing or the pace of the exit strategy but it will be when the time is right and when he sees stronger evidence of the economic recovery. Jean-Claude Trichet saying the economy shows signs of stabilization. The recovery ahead will be very gradual and could still involve substantial risks. He adds that constant monitoring of the financial system resilience should be part of the new regime. He concludes “Thrifty, prudent housekeeping is Europe’s main safeguard against the risk of a bubble economy”. Currencies A very quiet start to the session with currencies Range bound until mid-morning when the dollar reversed its overnight moves and gave up its gains predominately against the Yen to a low of 88.78. The Japanese Yen also strengthening against the Euro and Sterling causing a low in cable of 1.5932 and a high in the Euro of 1.4745. Late in the session dollar Canada in expectation of good employment data fell from 1.0540 area to around 1.0500 the on the release of the better than expected data fell to 1.0453. Ranges EUR / USD      1.4710 / 1.4745 USD / JPY       88.64 / 89.40 GBP / USD      1.5932 / 1.6030 USD / CHF      1.0277 / 1.0320 USD / CAD      1.0423 / 1.0550 AUD / USD     0.9019 / 0.9082 NZD / USD      0.7346 / 0.7406 EUR / JPY       130.84 / 131.66 EUR / GBP      0.9182 / 0.9242 GBP / YEN      141.63 / 143.08 Gold                 1043.70 / 1049.90 Rates as at 7.30 am:- EUR/USD 1.4766/69 USD/JPY 88.65/68 GBP/USD 1.5998/02 USD/CHF 1.0281/85 USD/CAD 1.0428/32 AUD/USD 0.9078/82 NZD/USD 0.7402/08 EUR/JPY 130.90/94 EUR/GBP 0.9226/30 GBP/JPY 141.87/95 Gold 1049.70/50 OIL 71.39 Dollar Index 76.130 (0.00) Stock Markets Nikkei closed at 10,016-39 higher by 183-92 (+1.87 %) Hang Seng closed at 21,499-44 higher by 6-54 (+0.03 %) Kospi closed at 1,646-79 higher by 31-33 (+1.94 %) Shanghai Composite Index closed at 2,911,715 higher by 132,289 (+4.76 %) FTSE 100 at 5,150-05 LOWER BY 4-50 (-0.09 %) CAC 40 at 3,797-76 lower by 9-05 (-0.24 %) DAX 30 at 5,708-54 lower by 8-00 (-0.14 %) Have a great weekend

<!–TITOL:

European Morning Market Wrap-UpFITITOL–>

Source: European Morning Market Wrap-Up

]]> http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/11/16/forex-usdchf-falls-to-1-0270/ Mon, 16 Nov 2009 09:37:40 +0000 asx200 http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/11/16/forex-usdchf-falls-to-1-0270/

(CFD.net.au – Contract for Difference, Share, Forex, ETFs, Commodities Traders) –

Steve Nigg, analyst at Swiss e Trade,

doesn’t see specific trends in the pair

: “The USD / CHF has recovered from yesterday’s fall and is currently trading at 1.0307. Trading volume in the USD / CHF has dwindled in the European market and movement has been restricted to a narrow range betwee …

<!–TITOL:

Forex: USD/CHF falls to 1.0270FITITOL–>

Steve Nigg, analyst at Swiss e Trade,

doesn’t see specific trends in the pair

: “The USD / CHF has recovered from yesterday’s fall and is currently trading at 1.0307. Trading volume in the USD / CHF has dwindled in the European market and movement has been restricted to a narrow range between 1.0300 and 1.0320 this morning. No recommendation.”

Source: Forex: USD/CHF falls to 1.0270

]]> http://kiwipolemicist.wordpress.com/2009/11/05/a-new-way-of-monitoring-heart-failure/ Wed, 04 Nov 2009 19:14:15 +0000 Kiwi Polemicist http://kiwipolemicist.wordpress.com/2009/11/05/a-new-way-of-monitoring-heart-failure/

The NZ Herald has an interesting article about a new way of monitoring people who have congestive heart failure.

Basically a set of scales and a blood pressure monitor are wirelessly connected to a cellphone: that’s the Bluetooth mentioned in the article, which sends data between gadgets via radio waves. The cellphone then sends the data to the hospital each day. If people forget to take their readings the hospital is supposed to chase them up.

One of the symptoms of heart failure is fluid accumulation in the body. People are supposed to weigh themselves daily and phone the hospital if they gain more than 2 kg overnight. Of course people do forget to weigh themselves, and the hospital won’t know if they’ve forgotten. A sudden worsening of congestive heart failure often leads to hospitalisation and/or death, but close monitoring and a rapid response to problems reduces the likelihood of these outcomes. That’s why this system has people weighing themselves.

Most people with heart failure are elderly, and it will be necessary to make the gadgets user-friendly and reliable in order to overcome unfamiliarity with and resistance to technology. Those patients who aren’t able to manage this form of self-monitoring are likely to have carers who can do it for them.

No system is foolproof (at the patient end or the staff end), but this looks like a simple and effective way of improving the management this condition.

~~~~~~~~~~

]]> http://internationalhqjobs.wordpress.com/2009/10/29/round-up-oct-29/ Thu, 29 Oct 2009 19:53:29 +0000 hqjobs http://internationalhqjobs.wordpress.com/2009/10/29/round-up-oct-29/ http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/28/2009-10-28-gbpchf-and-eurgbp/ Wed, 28 Oct 2009 19:03:50 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/28/2009-10-28-gbpchf-and-eurgbp/

Hello,

New orders:

GBP/CHF sell 1,7070 – 1,7080 (normal)

EUR/CHF long 0,8850 – 0,8825 (1/2 order)

]]> http://tricuspid.wordpress.com/2009/10/26/at-night-im-a-junk-food-junkie/ Mon, 26 Oct 2009 10:15:41 +0000 Steve http://tricuspid.wordpress.com/2009/10/26/at-night-im-a-junk-food-junkie/

I have to go to the doctor’s office today to have my Prothrombin level checked, and I have a feeling that I’m going to be changing the amount of blood thinner I take. But overall, I think it is a good thing.

When you give the blood sample to have your anticoagulation level checked – a measure of the ability of your blood to clot – the results are your INR level. INR stands for International Normalized Ratio. At one time, there were many different systems and math formulas used to check anticoagulation, and lots of different results: This testing service may give you a result of 1.4, another might give a result of 73. It was too difficult to figure out if the systems were compatible, so finally the World Health Organization stepped in. A standardized system was determined along with a standard scoring system (the INR level). So now a reading of 2.6 means exactly the same thing, no matter if you have you test done in rural Virgina or downtown Toronto.

The rate at which your blood clots can depend on a lot of different factors: the availability of Vitamin K or Potassium are two of them. So when you start your anticoagulation therapy, they tell you to watch your intake of both and above all, be consistent.

I’ve been breaking that rule. Whoops!

All my life I have been a “Junk Fook Junkie”! That changed when I went on the low salt diet for Heart Failure, but I still ate poorly (Nutrition wise – it all tastes pretty good!) . I’ve recently decided that while I probably can’t just change completely, I can at least improve my diet.

So it’s been a bunch of little steps – and I’m a fan of the Eat This! Not That! series of books. They occasionally bump into my Low Sodium restrictions, and when that happens, the heart wins. Don’t take them as gospel, but rather as a guideline, and you’ll make better decisions. There are some Rules for Eating Well online at Everything Health that also make a lot of sense:

• If you aren’t hungry enough to eat an apple, then you aren’t hungry!
• Avoid snack food with the “OH!” sound (Doritos, Fritos, Cheetos…).
• It’s easier to pay the grocer than the doctor.
• Never eat something pretending to be something else (fake meat, fake butter, chocolate flavored drink…)
• Make your own lunch whenever possible

But since I’m working on eating better, my diet is nowhere near consistent, and I have no clue how the Vitamin K and Potassium levels are doing. One thing you are told it “Try to eat about the same amount of green leafy vegetables that you usually do – big swings can mess up your INR.” Well I am not doing that, I am trying to increase the amount!

But they’ll just tell me to change the dosage of Warfarin that I take, and besides – you can’t really give a fellow a hard time for trying to take better care of himself, can you?

]]> http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/25/2009-10-25-usdchf-sell-usdcad/ Sun, 25 Oct 2009 18:34:02 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/25/2009-10-25-usdchf-sell-usdcad/

USD/CHF sell 1.0135 – 1.0145 (3/4 normal order).

I see possible short  @ USD/CAD. I will do update later.

]]> http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/23/2009-10-23-friday-and-eurchf/ Fri, 23 Oct 2009 05:29:04 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/23/2009-10-23-friday-and-eurchf/

I will close EUR/CHF with several pips profit, because today is Friday.

]]> http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/22/2009-10-22-previous-calls-review-nzdusd-profit-80-pips/ Thu, 22 Oct 2009 05:50:05 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/22/2009-10-22-previous-calls-review-nzdusd-profit-80-pips/

This week calls summary:

NZD/USD +80 pips profit

EUR/CHF still in progress..

]]> http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/18/2009-10-18-nzdusd-and-eurchf/ Sun, 18 Oct 2009 19:05:38 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/18/2009-10-18-nzdusd-and-eurchf/

EUR/CHF buy at 1,5108 – 1,5105

Possible call – NZD/USD sell at 0,7650 – 0,7660. I will update later NZD/USD call, no order entered yet.

]]> http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/15/2009-10-14-unemployment-claims/ Thu, 15 Oct 2009 06:07:50 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/15/2009-10-14-unemployment-claims/

I will close all trades with USD. Including usd/chf pair (call posted yesterday).

]]> http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/14/2009-10-14-gbpchf/ Wed, 14 Oct 2009 19:01:52 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/14/2009-10-14-gbpchf/

Cancelled.

]]> http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/14/forex-eurgbp-tests-levels-above-0-9200-2/ Wed, 14 Oct 2009 05:46:59 +0000 asx200 http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/14/forex-eurgbp-tests-levels-above-0-9200-2/

(CFD.net.au – Contract for Difference, Share, Forex, ETFs, Commodities Traders) –

The Euro is consolidating above 0.9200 that suggest it could rise further. Currently it trades at 0.9205/08, at the same price it had at the beginning of the day.

EUR/CHF also recovered after the start of the New York session. The pair fell to 1.5050 but if was rejected from those levels and r …

<!–TITOL:

Forex: EUR/GBP tests levels above 0.9200FITITOL–>

The Euro is consolidating above 0.9200 that suggest it could rise further. Currently it trades at 0.9205/08, at the same price it had at the beginning of the day.

EUR/CHF also recovered after the start of the New York session. The pair fell to 1.5050 but if was rejected from those levels and rose back above 1.5170.

Source: Forex: EUR/GBP tests levels above 0.9200

]]> http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/14/forex-eurgbp-tests-levels-above-0-9200/ Wed, 14 Oct 2009 05:46:56 +0000 asx200 http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/14/forex-eurgbp-tests-levels-above-0-9200/

(CFD.net.au – Contract for Difference, Share, Forex, ETFs, Commodities Traders) –

The Euro is consolidating above 0.9200 that suggest it could rise further. Currently it trades at 0.9205/08, at the same price it had at the beginning of the day.

EUR/CHF also recovered after the start of the New York session. The pair fell to 1.5050 but if was rejected from those levels and r …

<!–TITOL:

Forex: EUR/GBP tests levels above 0.9200FITITOL–>

The Euro is consolidating above 0.9200 that suggest it could rise further. Currently it trades at 0.9205/08, at the same price it had at the beginning of the day.

EUR/CHF also recovered after the start of the New York session. The pair fell to 1.5050 but if was rejected from those levels and rose back above 1.5170.

Source: Forex: EUR/GBP tests levels above 0.9200

]]> http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/13/2009-10-13-usdchf-nzduzd/ Tue, 13 Oct 2009 20:25:39 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/13/2009-10-13-usdchf-nzduzd/

USD/CHF buy at 1.0105 – 1.0101

]]> http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/12/majors-diverge-against-the-dollar-bounce-due/ Mon, 12 Oct 2009 16:20:29 +0000 asx200 http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/12/majors-diverge-against-the-dollar-bounce-due/

(CFD.net.au – Contract for Difference, Share, Forex, ETFs, Commodities Traders) –

Boris Schlossberg

Director of Currency Research, GFT

AUD AIG Construction Index 50.8 vs. 42.4

GBP Nationwide Consumer Confidence 71 vs. 68 best in 18 months

GBP BRC Shop Price Index -0.1% same as last

AUD Home Loans -0.6% as expected

JPY Leading Indicators 83.3% vs. 83.4% eye …

Boris Schlossberg

Director of Currency Research, GFT

• AUD AIG Construction Index 50.8 vs. 42.4
  
• GBP Nationwide Consumer Confidence 71 vs. 68 best in 18 months
  
• GBP BRC Shop Price Index -0.1% same as last
  
• AUD Home Loans -0.6% as expected
  
• JPY Leading Indicators 83.3% vs. 83.4% eyed
  
• CHF Unemployment Rate 4.1% on target
  
• EUR Final GDP revised lower -0.2% vs. -0.1% forecast
  
• EUR German Factory Orders n/a
  

Event Risk on Tap

• USD Consumer Credit expected at -10.2B
  

Price Action

• 
  
  USD/JPY
  
  
  
  
  
  circles 88.00 as pressure mounts
  
• 
  
  AUD/USD
  
  
  
  
  
  at 40 month high of 89.50 as data supports
  
• 
  
  GBP/USD
  
  
  
  
  
  struggles with 1.5900 despite better consumer data
  
• 
  
  EUR/USD
  
  
  
  
  
  hold above 1.4700 in quiet trade
  

Dollar continued to weaken in Asian and early European trade today but all of the selling action was concentrated in commodity dollars and the yen while the Euro and pound treaded water. The Aussie hit a 14 month high rising to 0.8950 as it basked in the afterglow of yesterday’s surprise rate hike by the RBA. Strong results from the AIG Construction Index which printed at 50.8 vs. 42.4 the period prior also helped the unit higher and we continue to believe that if risk appetite flows and tonight’s labor results prove supportive the pair will take out the 0.9000 figure before the week’s end.

The yen was also markedly stronger in today’s session as exporters and specs continued to squeeze


USD/JPY





lower. The pair held off the first assault on the 88.00 level stopping just shy at 88.06 before bargain hunting kicked in. However, as we noted earlier, the trend to the downside remains pronounced as US fundamentals continue to lag. Last week’s divergence between Japanese labor markets which expanded for the first time since January of 2009 and US unemployment data which showed an unexpected rise in joblessness only served to underscore the greenback’s weakness which becoming chronic.

As we wrote earlier, “Given the G-7 latest communiqué on Currency movements which essentially supports a laissez faire model, Japan would have to act unilaterally to weaken the yen. Thus those efforts are likely to fail. In short, unless US growth fundamentals begin to improve as the year comes to a close


USD/JPY





85.00 is looking like an increasingly likely scenario. “

Although the commdollars and the yen gained ground today, the Price Action in


EUR/USD





and


GBP/USD





was much more muted. In EZ the Q2 GDP data printed a tad softer than expected coming in at -0.2% vs. -0.1% eyed suggesting that tomorrow’s monthly ECB press conference is unlikely to produce any change in posture as President Trichet is likely to indicates that talk of exit strategy may be premature.

Meanwhile in UK the Nationwide Consumer Confidence reading hit an 18 month high printing at 71 vs. 68 eyed, but cable continued to struggle failing to gain any momentum above the 1.5900 figure. Tomorrow’s BOE meeting will also likely maintain the status quo with policymakers sticking to their original QE targets. However, the pound remains under a black cloud given the massive fiscal problems of the UK government and the lack of any evidence of sustained growth in the UK economy. The pair remains grossly oversold, but so far the bounces have been tepid and unless the pound can recover the 1.6000 handle sometime soon, the pair could resume its slide towards 1.5500 as sentiment continues to sour.

Currency	GMT	EST	Release	Expected	Prior
USD	19:00	3:00	USD Consumer Credit	-10.2B	-21.6B

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These days, whenever the markets move, many organizations turn to Schlossberg for his take on the situation. He is a weekly contributor to CNBC’s Squawk Box and a regular commentator for Bloomberg radio and television. His daily currency research is widely quoted by Reuters, Dow Jones and Agence France Presse newswires and appears in numerous newspapers worldwide. Schlossberg has written for publications like SFO magazine, Active Trader and Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities. He is also the author of

Technical Analysis of the Currency Market

and the co-author of

Millionaire Traders: How Everyday People Are Beating Wall Street at Its Own Game

with Kathy Lien. He joined GFT in 2008.

Source: Majors Diverge Against the Dollar-Bounce Due?

]]> http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/12/2009-10-12-buy-gbpchf/ Mon, 12 Oct 2009 12:10:53 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/12/2009-10-12-buy-gbpchf/

I see possible GBP/CHF buy at range of 1.6072 – 1.6112.
I will try to update this call later.

Previous call is no longer valid.

]]> http://torontoemerg.wordpress.com/2009/10/12/how-not-to-dump-a-patient/ Mon, 12 Oct 2009 12:03:13 +0000 torontoemerg http://torontoemerg.wordpress.com/2009/10/12/how-not-to-dump-a-patient/

Tuesday morning, 0205, and I’m in charge. Ricky and Craig push an elderly female patient in a wheelchair through the ambulance doors.

These guys are capable and competent paramedics, by which I mean if they say a patient is sick, I tend to take then at their word. No quibbling and no second guessing.  Craig is a bit goofy, wiry-thin, rapidly approaching middle-age; he tends to diagnose patients in the back of his rig and elaborate his conclusions at triage. So he’s acquired the title “Doctor” among some of the emerg nurses —and this isn’t meant to be kindly. But he’s okay, really, he knows his stuff and that’s good enough for me. Ricky is well, Ricky. Younger, early thirties, maybe, good-looking in a solid, conventional way. I don’t mind telling that I’ve carried a small, private torch for Ricky for a couple of years, mostly because he exudes confidence,  stability and a sort of farmboy charm: if he weren’t married and I weren’t married and if I were twenty years younger. . . well you get the idea.

Craig pulls up to the Desk and winks at me. “Piece of cake,” he says. “She woke up with abdominal pain, nausea. No vomiting, no diarrhea. CTAS 3. Can we take her around to triage?”

I’m distracted by the psych patient who’s come up to tell me for the fifty-third time about the worms in her brain. I nod agreement, reassure the psych patient that the worms aren’t showing, wash my hands and walk around to triage. Ricky gives me the story: 79 year old, woke up with nausea and abdominal pain, extensive cardiac history, diabetes, hypertension, blah and blah and so on, with a med list as long as your right arm.

I look at the patient.

Patient looks like crap. Tachycardic.  Pale, cold, clammy.  RUQ pain, yeah, but boys, did you appreciate the audible gurgling or the laboured respirations or even the +3 bilateral ankle and foot edema?

Um, no. Ricky looks embarrassed and Doctor Craig has taken a powder to the paramedics room.  Then I get it: they’re trying to dump the patient. In other words, they’re trying to avoid an off-load delay by routing the patient directly through triage (and then to the waiting room) by pretending the patient is less sick than she is. Better, they figure,  than waiting with the patient on the EMS stretcher for a bed.

I shake my head. I’ve seen some games from some EMS crews before, like the time a crew dropped at triage a hypotensive rectal bleed passing clots the size of canned hams without a by-or-with-your-leave, or told an inexperienced triage nurse the suicidal ideation wasn’t flight risk. But not from Ricky and Craig. Never.

I don’t even bother doing her vitals.  Resus room, I direct Ricky — and in ten minutes, she is catheterized, diurysed, and bipaped.  CHF, of course: the RUQ pain was all the blood backing up into her liver.

I am severely annoyed. Not so much they “missed” the presenting complaint — that’s bad enough — but by the assumption I wouldn’t offload an obviously critically ill patient immediately. And they know I’m pissed off. Usually at night paramedics hang out in the emerg as long as reasonably possible, avoiding dispatch, shooting the breeze, trading war stories, flirting with the (much younger) nurses, buying coffee. Socializing. But Craig and Ricky are gone before I can get out of the Resus room to, um, express my concerns.

Craig has been avoiding me all week, and Ricky won’t look me in the eye. I still don’t understand what the rush was about. It wasn’t that busy, and the patient would have been offloaded quickly, regardless.

But I just want to ask them: whatever it was, was it worth losing my trust? Really?

]]> http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/11/2009-10-11-sell-gbpchf/ Sun, 11 Oct 2009 18:52:40 +0000 jbmfx http://jbmfx.wordpress.com/2009/10/11/2009-10-11-sell-gbpchf/

GBP/CHF sell at 1.6630 – 1.6640 (TP 70, SL 40)

]]> http://underwritingsolutionsllc.com/2009/10/11/gdf-15-predicts-mortality/ Sun, 11 Oct 2009 16:37:10 +0000 underwritingsolutionsllc http://underwritingsolutionsllc.com/2009/10/11/gdf-15-predicts-mortality/

Heart Minute: GDF-15 Predicts M&M After CRT

]]> http://underwritingsolutionsllc.com/2009/10/11/lavi/ Sun, 11 Oct 2009 16:20:06 +0000 underwritingsolutionsllc http://underwritingsolutionsllc.com/2009/10/11/lavi/

Independent Value of Left Atrial Volume Index for the Prediction of Mortality in Patients With Suspected Heart Failure Referred From the Community

…it makes intuitive sense that LA enlargement, as a nonspecific marker of high LV diastolic pressure due to any cause, is a marker of adverse prognosis.

]]> http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/11/u-s-dollar-more-protectionism-is-bad/ Sun, 11 Oct 2009 10:49:04 +0000 asx200 http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/11/u-s-dollar-more-protectionism-is-bad/

(CFD.net.au – Contract for Difference, Share, Forex, ETFs, Commodities Traders) –

Kathy Lien

Director of Currency Research, GFT

pips

%

GBP/CHF

+143

+0.88

CHF/JPY

-69

-0.80

USD/CHF

+67

+0.65

EXPECTATIONS FOR UPCOMING FED MEETINGS

CURRENT US INTEREST RATE: 0.25%

Chance of More Easing Has Increas …

Kathy Lien

Director of Currency Research, GFT

• 
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
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EXPECTATIONS FOR UPCOMING FED MEETINGS

CURRENT US INTEREST RATE: 0.25%					Chance of More Easing Has Increased
	11/4 Meeting	12/16 Meeting
NO CHANGE	41.8%	47.0%
CUT TO 0BP	49.1%	44.5%
INCREASE TO 50BP	9.1%	8.5%
INCREASE TO 75BP	0.0%	0.0%

U.S. DOLLAR: MORE PROTECTIONISM IS BAD

It is not surprising to see the DOLlar recover after selling off significantly in the beginning of the week. In every downtrend there will be relief rallies which is what we have witnessed today. The DOLlar traded higher against the Euro, Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars, but not before each of the 3 commodity producing currencies hit fresh year to DATe highs. The U.S. economic calendar was once again devoid of any major economic releases, giving investors the opportunity to let their imaginations run wild. Although there are many reasons why the dollar should continue to weaken, the primary reason is the improvement in risk appetite. So if risk aversion returns and equities give back their recent gains, the relief rally in the dollar could become a full blown turn. Concerns about losses in the commercial real estate sector and the unrealistic expectations of a V shaped recovery have made investors a bit nervous. However with no major U.S. economic reports due for release this week and 2 central banks making monetary policy announcements tomorrow, we still believe that interest rate differentials will drive the Currency market.

More Protectionism

Although there are no major U.S. economic releases on the calendar tomorrow, there are 2 U.S reports worth watching – jobless claims and ICSC Chain Store Sales. After the acceleration of job losses reported last week, Traders will be looking for clues to whether the trend of improvement in the labor market has ended. If jobless claims increase more than the previous week, investors could grow concerned about another month of massive job losses. In addition, there have been a lot of reports that spending this holiday season will be weak and because of that, retailers are just looking to breakeven. However, based upon the SpendingPulse Index, a service by MasterCard Advisors, retail sales rebounded in September. Costco and Family Dollar Stores also posted better than expected quarterly results which give hope to Thursday’s report which will include back to school spending. Meanwhile consumer credit fell for the seventh month in a row due to mounting job losses and tight credit. If not for the cash for clunkers program, the DATa would have been even weaker.

EUR: COULD TRICHET TALK CURRENCIES?

The Euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar on the fear that European Central Bank President Trichet could reiterate his support for the U.S. dollar. There is no question that reporters will jump at the opportunity to ask Trichet about his take on the recent weakness of the dollar and there is no reason why he would change his stance. Although this would be nothing new, it could be enough to tip the


EUR/USD





over. Based upon recent economic reports from the Eurozone, the recovery remains “bumpy.” The expiration of the car scrapping program in Germany has driven retail sales sharply lower while his morning’s Eurozone GDP report revealed that growth in the second quarter fell more than initially anticipated. Weakness in other parts of the region has offset growth in Germany and France, triggering a 0.2 percent drop in GDP. Aside from comments on the Currency, the market will also be looking at what Trichet says about the economy and the results of their second one year refinancing operation which was met with lackluster demand. The question of adding a spread to the one year tender is once again an issue. If the ECB adds a spread to the December operation, it would be perceived as a hawkish move. Given the recent trend of economic DATa and the appreciation in the


EUR/USD,





Trichet may postpone this decision until November. In TERms of exit strategies, ECB officials have said repeatedly that now is not the time for an exit and we expect Trichet to reiterate this stance. Aside from the monetary policy announcement, German industrial production is also due for release. The increase in factory orders suggests that there is a good chance that production rose as well.

GBP/USD:





CONSOLIDATION AHEAD OF BoE

The British pound continued to consolidate ahead of tomorrow’s Bank of England meeting while


EUR/GBP





reversed much of yesterday’s strong rally. The pair will be of particular importance ahead of the BoE and ECB rate decisions. The only economic indicator reported today from the U.K. was Nationwide Consumer Confidence which continues its string of excellent performance. The report showed that confidence hit the highest level in 18 months, while economic expectations reached nearly a four year high. Nationwide attributed the improvement to “continued positive news about the housing market and the strong rally seen in equities.” Of course, the BoE rate decision will be the focus of tomorrow’s calendar. After the surprise decision to expand the asset purchase program in August many Traders are approaching the decision with caution. However, even though the bank is still the most dovish in town, there is not much that could be expected. The main points to look out for will be any mention of the pound or any discussion about the possibility of lowering the banks deposit rate.

AUD: EMPLOYMENT NUMBERS ON TAP

The Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars raced to fresh year to date highs before giving up their gains to end the day lower against the U.S. dollar. Australian economic data continues to outperform, adding validity to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to hike interest rates earlier this week. Construction sector PMI jumped from 42.4 to 50.8, putting the Index into expansionary TERritory for the first time since February 2008. Home loans continued to fall while investment lending surged. The housing market in Australia has been fueled by not only Australian but also Chinese demand. This evening, employment numbers are due for release and we believe that the data will help to reignite the rally in the Aussie. With the employment component of service, manufacturing and construction sector PMI all rising in September, there is a good chance that Australia experienced positive job growth last month. Meanwhile the Canadian dollar came under pressure as


oil





prices gave back their earlier gains. Housing starts are also due for release tomorrow and the rise in building permits suggests a recovery in Canada’s real estate market which could help to lift the loonie.

USD/JPY:





FUJII IS AT IT AGAIN

The U.S. dollar fell to a 9 month low intraday before rebounding to end virtually unchanged against the J.P.nese Yen. Despite the dollar’s recovery against other major currencies, it remains weak against the Yen which suggests that the market is still bearish dollars. As the currency pair continues to fall, the market will increase its focus on comments by J.P.nese officials. Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii’s is at it again – the incoming administration’s rules about foreign exchange intervention seem to change day by day. Mr. Fujii explained that while he does not believe governments should intervene, there are certain exceptions to the rule. In the cases where currency fluctuations are “outrageously reckless” authorities will need to take appropriate measures. However, he does not regard the yen’s strength as being “extremely abnormal.” In an attempt to keep the dollar from falling too far, Fujii mentioned that he does not expect to reduce the level of dollars in J.P.n’s reserves. These latest comments are on the back of signs of distress coming from Sony Electronics. The company predicts that the yen will continue to strengthen, giving them “no moment to breathe”. Economic data released today included the Coincident Index, which jumped to its highest in eleven months, and the Leading Index which improved to 83.3. On the way for tomorrow will be the Current Account and Trade Balance along with the Eco Watchers Survey.

EUR/GBP:





Currency in Play for Next 24 Hours

EUR/GBP





will be the currency pair in Play for the next 24 hours. The Bank of England is set to announce its rate decision at 7:00 am ET or 11:00 GMT. The ECB will follow with its decision at 7:45 am ET or 11:45 GMT. There will also be German Industrial Production at 6:00 am ET or 10:00 GMT.

EUR/GBP





struggles to regain recent highs and barely is holding within the Bollinger band buy zone. Potential support stands at 0.9077, which was not only the September 30th low but also the September 21st high. Resistance is extremely strong at 0.9300, the high from September 28th. Any sign that the direction of the ECB and BoE are diverging more than expected could send the currency pair that way.

Comments (7)

FXDragon

October 07, 2009 at 05:56 PM ET

What is chicken feet? What do americans do with it? Dont they grow thieir own chicken? I like wings and legs

Clover

October 07, 2009 at 06:07 PM ET

It is the feet of the Chicken…and because you like wings and legs, but not the feet, the US sells them to China where it is as usual as hot-Dog in America.

hsbc

October 07, 2009 at 07:46 PM ET

i live in china and no one has really heard of US chickens. china has a huge poultry sector and its hard to imagine why anyone would want an imported chicken

usman

October 08, 2009 at 12:50 AM ET

whats happening with the Gold? tell me the reasons for current trents ? why is this happening so quickly?

FXDragon

October 08, 2009 at 03:24 AM ET

Gold is roofing because investors wanna protect their dollar investments. Gold and dollar are rivals, Euro and gold are brothers. They also hedge against hyperinflation which might come because of low fed rates and huge trade deficit.

klien

October 08, 2009 at 09:52 AM ET

one answer – Dollar Weakness

Eddie09

October 08, 2009 at 08:22 PM ET

Well, I wish the Chinese government officials could use the decisions on U.S. government debt as their bargaining chip for certain important issues. Unfortunately they are not able to. Something behind the scene do not allow. Even some US financial commentators have mentioned, the Chinese officials do not necessarily want to continue to buy the US debt (after they have already owned unprecedented huge amount of it), but they have to. Well, it’s up to the readers about how to understand the comments. At least you know they have no choice but continue to deliver hundred of billions$ to the central bank each month…

You can see a lot of peculiar things happening these days (including the trade issues you pointed out) while the Chinese officials simply have no real action or reaction. People will learn why in the future.

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Kathy Lien began her FX trading career 10 years ago at J.P. Morgan Chase. After graduating New York University’s Leonard Stern School of Business at the age of 18, Kathy joined the bank’s interbank FX trading desk and eventually moved to the cross markets proprietary trading desk. In the interbank market, her ability to create solid fundamental and technical analysis from the myriad of information on the market helped her trade forex spot and options. Her experience eventually led her to be chief strategist at Daily FX where she worked until she joined GFT in 2008.

With her knowledge of forex, as well as her experience trading other products, such as interest rate derivates, bonds, equities, and Futures, Lien has built a reputation as an international currency analyst. She is frequently quoted on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business and Reuters. Lien has also written for publications like Active Trader, Futures, and SFO magazine. She is the author of the newly updated

Day Trading the Currency Market: Technical and Fundamental Strategies to Profit from Market Moves

, and the co-author of

Millionaire Traders: How Everyday People Are Beating Wall Street at Its Own Game

with Boris Schlossberg.

To buy Kathy’s newly updated

Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market: Technical and Fundamental Strategies to Profit from Market Moves

,

click here

.

Source: U.S. Dollar: More Protectionism is Bad

]]> http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/11/usdchf-break-out-levels/ Sun, 11 Oct 2009 09:37:15 +0000 asx200 http://asx200.wordpress.com/2009/10/11/usdchf-break-out-levels/

(CFD.net.au – Contract for Difference, Share, Forex, ETFs, Commodities Traders) – at something of a crossroads. Based on this longer-term price action, it would take at least a few weeks to determine/validate a potential trend reversal, but a drop below 78.6% support would likely trigger a drop down to converging support around .9930. This level is defined by the 88% retracement … at something of a crossroads. Based on this longer-term price action, it would take at least a few weeks to determine/validate a potential trend reversal, but a drop below 78.6% support would likely trigger a drop down to converging support around .9930. This level is defined by the 88% retracement of XA along with the 127.2% extension of BC, which gives us a bullish Gartley pattern and an increased probability for at least a temporary bullish reversal near point D….

Roger A. Stojsic

Technical Analyst, GFT

(chart 1 of 3)

Taking a closer look at more recent price action, we’re seeing some nice price symmetry which provides some solid break-out levels no matter which direction the market moves. To the upside, we have an emerging bearish Gartley pattern (beginning with X1) along with an intertwined butterfly pattern (beginning with X2) projected to complete near 1.05 or 1.06 (see chart below). They key will be for prices to stay above 1.2040 supports (point C at 78.6% of AB), and move above near term resistance above between 1.037-1.04 (61.8%-78.6% of AB)….

If near-term resistance between 1.037-1.05 holds, and prices drop below 1.240 support (78.6% of AB), then a potentially strong bearish continuation move may be in progress initially down to bullish butterfly pattern completion (point D) near 1.0110 followed by 1.0017 (see chart below)….

(chart 3 of 3)

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Source: USD/CHF Break Out Levels…

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