Blogs about: Election Forecasting
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US Election – Post convention polling and market chaos.
Now that the conventions are over we have chaos in the markets as the Democrat polling bounce starts to fade and the Republican bounce goes into full swing. First up, our usual weekly update: On the w… more →
Possums Pollytics
US Election – Post convention polling and market chaos.
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Possum Comitatus wrote 1 year ago: Now that the conventions are over we have chaos in the markets as the Democrat polling bounce starts … more →
All you need to know about the Lyne by-election
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Possum Comitatus wrote 1 year ago: With acknowledgement to the Pollbludger of the same name The yellow is the Federal electorate of Lyn … more →
The Coalitions’ Demographic Train Wreck
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Possum Comitatus wrote 1 year ago: Back in March over at Australian Policy Online, Ian Watson published a really interesting paper titl … more →
Polling Analysis and Carr-ying on
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Possum Comitatus wrote 1 year ago: A long time ago in a poll far, far away – the September quarterly Newspoll breakdown to be pre … more →
A Jump in the Wayback Machine
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Possum Comitatus wrote 1 year ago: Way back in the annals of history, when the blog first started in May 2007, one of the first things … more →
The Headline Forecast – regression prediction model.
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: I’ve finally built the model to forecast the ALP TPP result. This gets a little stats heavy, s … more →
Teh Surge - Teh Narrowing -Teh Victory!
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: I probably wont be around much later tonight or tomorrow, so here was me in Crikey today. The Narrow … more →
Possums Official "Make your election tips" thread.
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: Ok folks, the last 2 weeks is upon us, and the time has arrived to start making your tips for how ma … more →
Rates of Gloom
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: It’s equation time! So how important is the cash rate on the Oppositions primary vote? We … more →
The Long View
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: Ahem… This election is about momentum, Barry. Doesn’t it make you feel all warm and fuzz … more →
Read like a book
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: Last night on one of the threads running here, I was chatting away and said: “Reading between … more →
Why Tassie?
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: Of all the seats in all the regions in all the States in the country, why is Howard spending his tim … more →
My, What a Big Swing You Have.
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: The quarterly Newspoll has been out for a few weeks now, so it obviously must be time to do a few se … more →
The Narrowing
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: Today I thought we might have a look at the grand old wives tale of pollypunditry, “The Narrow … more →
Running to Stand Still
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: Lounging around at The Poll Bludger last night, a net entity by the name of Scorpio pointed out a fa … more →
Capitulation
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: Thanks to the good people over at Crikey, the internal Liberal polling and analysis that the Murdoch … more →
Capitulation
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: Thanks to the good people over at Crikey, the internal Liberal polling and analysis that the Murdoch … more →
Hasta la vista, McPherson.
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: Well maybe not, but it’s going to be a lot, lot closer than most people realise. We are talking of c … more →
To Marginals and Beyond!
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Possum Comitatus wrote 2 years ago: In the Pantheon of Polls, Galaxy has consistently been the most favourable to the Coalitions fortune … more →
