• What did not pour – would pour now!

• Heavy rainfall across the country?

• Monsoon to gain peak before ending!

Karachi sunset on August 30 after rain

The country has entered the month of September which is usually remembered as the month in which the monsoon starts to withdraw from the sub-continent. Heavy rainfall in September is quite uncommon in the western sub-continent especially Pakistan where usually the intensity of rains start to weaken during the first half of September. However since last two years that is 2010 and 2011, the country has observed widespread rainfall in this month including the dry areas like Sindh and south Punjab, it seems as if 2012 will also join those ranks as widespread rainfall is expected in the country in the month of September. 

Factors – Present Conditions

*Western trough ’20′ present over the northern areas, likely to persist till this week.

*Low pressure has formed in the Bay of Bengal and adjoining central-eastern coast of India.

*Upper air cyclonic circulations present over northern Arabian sea and adjoining Gujarat and Sindh.

Westerlies are being observed to increase their presence over the northern parts of the country while easterlies would flow from India to central and southern parts of Pakistan this week.

Latest condition of the ‘Dust Cloud’

“Green signal for rain!”

Complete dissipation on September 7

The atmoshperic rain blocking conditions that had gripped the country since the beginning of the monsoon has started to dissipate over many parts of the country, although such conditions dissipated over the northern areas in August during the ninth spell which resulted in widespread heavy rainfall there but central and southern parts had remained under its grip till now however latest charts indicate that the atmospheric rain-blocking cloud has started weakening hence giving a green signal to the monsoon moisture over India to move into Pakistan freely which would result in heavy precipitation over the country. Sindh, north-eastern Balochistan and south Punjab are also now free of these rain-blocking conditions which could experience some heavy rainfall. However the sad part is that much of Balochistan including Gwadar is still under the grip of this condition. Overall the situation has improved.

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)’s forecast

“Notice: This is the forecast from Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP), we are 70% confident with this prediction. There will be slight variations in our forecast as certain meteorological factors develop and fade as time passes by and these factors are too isolated to be noticed on numerical charts or models. According to various meteorological parameters this forecast has been made.”

Possible condition on September 5/September 6

• The Article would be updated if necessary!

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) successfully predicted the onset of all monsoon spells in northern and central parts of the country while PWP experienced difficulty in predicting few spells in Sindh. Overall PWP’s performance had been much better than last year.

As of 8:00 pm PKT September 3, Various models, numerical charts and other meteorological parameters observed by PWP for the track of low pressure indicates that;

*The upper air cyclonic circulations over north-west Bay of Bengal would intensify into a low pressure on September 3 and move rapidly inland. On September 5/September 6, it could be over eastern Rajasthan and adjoining area. During the same time, it could have interaction with the upper air cyclonic circulations in the Arabian sea causing some thunderstorms to form near Gujarat and adjoining Sindh. The weather system at the moment is not showing a mature track however it might move westwards/WNW. The low pressure could also further intensify during its life time. The exact date of dissipation varies from model to model.

Tenth monsoon spell (September 2 – September )

Circled area shows the chance of more than 100 mm rain

“Warning: There are 45% chance of scattered heavy downpours over west-north-western Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and adjoining Punjab, while few areas of north-eastern Punjab as well middle of this week.  Strong thunderclouds could form there that has the potential to drop more than 100 mm there due to the interaction of western and eastern winds. Local flooding could occur in these areas on September 5/September 6.“

The tenth spell that in the northern half started from September 2 has brought scattered moderate downpours to parts of northern Punjab and adjoining areas, the rainfall that was recorded since September 2 is given below;

• Islamabad got 183 mm.
• Kamra got 59 mm.

Islamabad city has already crossed the monthly average of September with just one wave of tenth spell as 161 mm rainfall occurred on September 2 night/September 3 morning.

Islamabad

More rain is likely in the capital as heavy downpours could occur during this week. The tenth spell would continue till five to six days with few intervals. Rain will be accompanied by thunder/lightning and strong winds (56 km/h).

Mercury is expected in Islamabad;

• 30°C to 33 °C in Islamabad.

Punjab

In Northern Punjab: Lahore, Faisalabad, Murree, Gujranwal, Rawalpindi, Sargodha, Sialkot and other adjoining cities. The tenth spell of monsoon would start from September 3 night/September 4. Rainfall will be isolated heavy in intensity while north-eastern parts could (45%) get scattered heavy downpour. Rain will be accompained by thunder and fast winds.

Following is the temperature forecast for Northern Punjab;

• 33 °C to 37 °C in Lahore.
• 35°C to 39 °C in Faisalabad.
• 26°C to 31°C in Murree.

Seventh monsoon spell

In Southern Punjab: Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Multan, Rahim Yar Khan, D. G. Khan and other adjoining cities. There are chances of rainfall on September 4 night as sixth spell would be nearby the area. There is some possibility of isolated heavy rainfall in south-eastern and western parts of south Punjab during this week, more over the rainfall would be moderate in intensity. Hence PWP maintains the chance of seventh spell hitting south Punjab to ’extremely high’.

In Southern Punjab, temperatures will be higher than Northern Punjab;

• 33 °C to 39°C in Multan.
• 35 °C to 38 °C in  Bahawalpur.

Sixth monsoon spell

“Warning: There are 25% chance of isolated to scattered heavy downpours over south-eastern parts of Sindh and adjoining coastal parts, while few areas of upper Sindh as well middle of this week.  There is a slight possibility that rainfall exceeding 100 mm would fall in northern Arabian sea.”

Sindh

In Upper Sindh: Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Kashmore, Nawabshah and other adjoining  cities. From September 4/September 5, rainfall with thunder/lightning and fast winds could occur in upper Sindh. There is also a possibility 25% of heavy downpour during this week.  PWP maintains the chance of sixth monsoon spell across Sindh to ’extremely high’.

Following is the range of temperatures expected in this part.

• 37 °C to 40 °C in Sukkur.
• 36 °C to 39 °C also in Larkana.
• 35 °C to 38 °C in Nawabshah.

In South-eastern Sindh: Mirpur khas, Umerkot, Tharparkar, Badin and Hyderabad. The sixth monsoon spell could cause rainfall with thunder/lightning and fast winds with 25% chance of isolated to scattered heavy downpour during this week. The rains would start from September 4.

Temperatures are mostly stationary in this part due to absence of heat waves and rains.

• 35 °C to 38 °C in Hyderabad.

In coastal Sindh: Karachi, Thatta, Keti, Shah Bandar and other coastal localities.  The sixth monsoon spell could cause rainfall with thunder/lightning and fast winds with 25% chance of isolated to scattered heavy downpour during this week including Karachi especially on September 5/September 6 till this week.

Due to frequent cloud over and fast winds the mercury in Karachi and other coastal cities has remained unchanged since July 1;

• 31 °C to 36°C in Karachi.

Monsoon deaths toll

29 deaths have occurred since August 27 mainly in the northern areas, keeping the intensity of fresh monsoon spell in mind there is fear that the death toll would easily rise, PWP advises people not to go on rooftops during the time of thunderstorms and strong winds.

Monsoon to withdraw soon!

It must be noted that another spell might occur in northern areas before the monsoon starts to withdraw from the country during the third week of September, chances of another spell is slim at the moment in south Punjab and Sindh.

Poll of the week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know that which city will be the all monsoon toppers, your vote is necessary;

Gwadar – A hope for Pakistan’s economy!

With skies all dry and dull there is little hope for the people of Gwadar to see rain anytime soon, the proposed ‘new city’ of Balochistan had been facing drought-like conditions since 2010. The Port city that was thought to be the changing face of Balochistan is on the edge of becoming a ghost town. What is the problem of the city? Water crisis. People of the city have vowed to either migrate to Quetta or Karachi if the situation does not improve. This really makes us re-think the importance of water;

“When the well is dry, we know the worth of water.”  (Benjamin Frankiln)

The population of Gwadar is around 0.2 million and it is said that the required water is 3.5 million gallons. The Ankara Kaur Dam that was built in 1993, is at dead level due to lack of rains. Water is the key reason for life on Earth, without it the planet would have been identical to Venus or Mars.

“If there is magic on this planet, it is contained in water.” (Loren Eiseley)

Main source of rainfall

Gwadar features an Arid climate that is mostly hot and dry all year round. There are only two sources of rainfall in the city;

• Western Disturbance
• Tropical cyclones

The port city does not lie in the monsoon zone however there are some exceptional years in which it get stray monsoon thunderstorms that mostly brings light showers to the city.

Western Disturbance

Western Disturbance’s thunderstorm over Gwadar in 2006

The western winds only affect Gwadar during the meteorological winter season (December – February) and brings the much awaited precipitation in the city. However after 2008 there had been no major coastal western disturbance that could yield enough rain to overcome the crisis.

December

The highest rainfall of this month is 142 mm in 1989 while the average is 21.6 mm and the highest 24 hour rain in this month is 71.2 mm occurred on December 6, 1997.

January

The highest rain for this month is 199.1 mm recorded in 1970 while the average is 25.9 mm. The heaviest rain in 24 hours occurred on January 13, 1970 that is 99 mm.

February

The highest monthly rainfall is 265.7 mm recorded in 1986 and average is 22.7 mm, while the heaviest 24 rainfall is 145.8 mm recorded on February 21, 1987.

Tropical cyclones

Cyclone Keila moving towards Oman

Cyclones used to be rare in the city before the 21st century however since the since 2007, Gwadar has been witnessing tropical rainfall. The such rains are welcomed by the local people who see it as a blessing of God since the western rainfall has been a disappointment. Following are the cyclones that have affected the city either directly or indirectly;

• In 1895, a cyclonic storm hit the Makran coast.
• In June 1948, a tropical storm made landfall just east of Gwadar city.
• In June 2007, a category-5 super Cyclone Gonu passed near the city as a cyclonic storm.
  On 26 June 2007, Cyclonic storm Yemyin made landfall east of Gwadar as a high-end tropical storm.
• In June 2010, a category-4 Cyclone Phet bypassed near Gwadar as a strong category-1 cyclone.
• In November 2011, the outer bands of cyclone Keila brought drizzle to the city along with high-waves.

Pray we must for our people

The government should create artificial downpours through the process of cloud seeding in the area as it could help ease the emerging drought conditions however its highly unlikely that they would take such an expensive step. Another solution is that we should pray for rain in Gwadar. Following are some verses from the Hadith that are recited during the period of drought;

‘O Allaah, send upon us helpful, wholesome and healthy rain, beneficial not harmful rain, now, not later.’

‘O Allaah, provide water for Your servants and Your cattle, spread out Your mercy and resurrect Your dead land.’

]]> http://pakistanweatherportal.com/2012/07/09/pakistan-weather-update-monsoon-alert-july-9-july-16/ Mon, 09 Jul 2012 17:49:28 +0000 PWP http://pakistanweatherportal.com/2012/07/09/pakistan-weather-update-monsoon-alert-july-9-july-16/

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) had successfully predicted the onset of monsoon (1st spell) over the northern areas during the late first week of July. PWP on June 25 forecasted these rains and on July 3 gave their arrival time on July 6/July 7. Monsoon brought scattered moderate downpours to many parts of northern areas as it advanced into Islamabad and Lahore. Monsoon would now shift its focus to central and southern parts in coming few days. Sharp pre-monsoon drizzle occurred in Karachi during the early hours of July 8, this activity started from July 5.

Precipitation and Temperature: From July 9 till July 16

The first monsoon spell started from July 7 and would last till July 10, although its intensity has decreased significantly since the last 24 hours due to weakening of monsoon in the north-western parts of India and disturbance in the activity in the western winds. The second spell would start from July 11 and last till four days with variations in different parts of the country.

Whats going to happen now?

Rainfall started from the early hours of July 7 and they gained peak intensity during the morning of July 8. On July 8, the northern and the central parts of the country experienced scattered moderate showers while some areas got isolated heavy rainfall. Western disturbance ’12′ entered the northern areas of Pakistan on July 6, it brought moisture in the northern as well as the central areas. WD 12 helped the monsoon to advance into the upper parts of the country.

Following is the rainfall that occurred in some cities of Pakistan till July 9;

• Sargodha got 75 mm.
• Risalpur got 57 mm.
• Jhang got 53 mm.
• Faisalabad got 51 mm.
• Saidu Sharif got 51 mm.
• Murree got 49 mm.
• Jhelum got 48 mm.
• Rawalpindi got 48 mm.
• Islamabad got 45 mm.
• Multan got 15 mm.
• Lahore got 0.5 mm.

• Monsoon failing to grip entire India

• Will rainfall occur in Karachi?

• Much awaited Low pressure is here!

Monsoon disappoints Indians

Monsoon remains flawless over east

The aging monsoon finally advanced into the capital of India on July 6, New Delhi after a week delay. The monsoon winds have gripped almost every part of north-western India however some extreme western parts are yet to experience rains.

Monsoon is yet to grip entire India, it is likely that it would do so around July 15 as fresh another cyclonic circulations would boost rains over the central parts while widespread heavy downpours are also expected along the eastern coast of India before July 15. However rainfall have been 30% below normal in the entire country till now.

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP)’s forecast

“Notice: This is the forecast from Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP), we are 75% confident with this prediction. There will be slight variations in our forecast as certain meteorological factors develop and fade as time passes by and these factors are too isolated to be noticed on numerical charts or models. According to various meteorological parameters this forecast has been made.”

Possible conditions on July 11 till early July 13

Forecast would be revised on July 10, if any new developments happens

Pakistan Conditions: Outlook for possible return of rains.

Latest satellite image as of July 9 indicates that low pressure over Madya Pradesh is moving in a WSW direction, if it keeps moving in such a direction then it would move towards Sindh. High level clouds have already started affecting south-eastern Sindh. Under the influence of this low pressure, a well developed thunderstorm has also formed over central Balochistan that is moving into Iran. Another has formed over central parts of Pakistan, however this thundercloud has minimum strength. Keeping certain meteorological parameters in mind as of July 9, PWP forecasts;

‘Moderate’ chances of monsoon hitting Sindh late this week.”

As of 8:00 pm PKT July 9, Various models, numerical charts and other meteorological parameters observed by PWP indicate that;

Expected path of the low pressure area

*The upper air cyclonic circulations that formed over Jharkhand on July 7 moved into Madya Pradesh on July 8. On the mid-day of July 9, it intensified into a low pressure over the same area as it remained stationary. This low pressure is expected to start to move in a west-south-west direction from July 9 night/July 10 morning.  By the mid-day/night of July 10, it should be over north-eastern Gujarat state and adjoining Rajasthan. On July 11, it would be dissipation stages over south-eastern Sindh and adjoining Gujarat and would disperse the on July 11 night/July 12, however moisture incursion would take place in the country from this weather system. This weather system is moving in a fast speed and it is not likely to dump any extreme rainfall unlike last year.”

*Monsoon winds would shift towards lower parts of the country; rains could re-organize in upper areas. Well-developed thunderstorms could affect the northern areas during the late this week and middle of July.

Following is the weather forecast that is expected;

Islamabad

Although the current spell of rains is weakening, a second monsoon spell would start from July 10 night/July 11 night. Rainfall with moderate with chances of isolated heavy falls. Rain will be accompanied by thunder and fast winds.

Mercury is expected in Islamabad;

• 35°C to 39 °C in Islamabad.

Punjab

In Northern Punjab: Lahore, Faisalabad, Murree, Rawalpindi, Sargodha, Sialkot and other adjoining cities. The second spell of monsoon would start from July 11/July 12. The effect of 1st spell is weakening in the northern areas and would further weaken by July 10 morning. Rainfall with moderate falls is expected. Rain will be accompanied by thunder and fast winds.

Following is the temperature forecast for Northern Punjab;

• 34 °C to 37 °C in Lahore.
• 42°C to 46 °C in Faisalabad.
• 28°C to 33°C in Murree.

In Southern Punjab: Bahawalpur, Multan, Rahim Yar Khan, D. G. Khan and other adjoining cities. Pre-monsoon showers are expected till 48 hours while there are chances that the actual monsoon could advance into this part from July 13 till July 16. Rainfall with moderate showers. Rain will be accompanied by thunder.

In Southern Punjab, temperatures will be higher than Northern Punjab;

• 36 °C to 45 °C in Multan.
• 37 °C to 44 °C in Bahawalpur.

Sindh

In Upper Sindh: Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Kashmore, Nawabshah and other adjoining cities. The 1st monsoon spell could begin from July 11/July12. The rains would be short-lived, they will be accompanied by winds and thunder, it will be light in intensity with slim chances of moderate falls.

Temperatures remained stationary in many parts of upper Sindh while few highs were recorded in few cities.

• 40 °C to 43 °C in Sukkur.
• 41 °C to 43 °C also in Larkana.
• 35 °C to 42 °C in Nawabshah.

In South-eastern Sindh: Mirpur khas, Umerkot, Tharparkar, Badin and Hyderabad. The 1st monsoon spell could begin from July 10 late/July 11. Rain will be accompanied by fast winds and thunder, it will be mostly moderate in intensity with slim chances (5%) of isolated heavy falls in some extreme eastern parts, bordering Gujarat especially Tharparkar district.

Temperatures will also remain calm in south-eastern Sindh.

• 34 °C to 39 °C in Hyderabad.

In coastal Sindh: Karachi, Thatta, Keti, Shah Bandar and other coastal localities. The 1st monsoon spell could begin from July 11/July 12 and continue till 48 hours, it will be mostly light in intensity with moderate falls.

Due to frequent cloud over and fast winds the mercury in Karachi and other coastal cities has remained unchanged since July 1;

• 33 °C to 36°C in Karachi.

Poll of the week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know;

Karachiites know how to make their city the topper of different fields; they have already topped the list of violence, pollution and overpopulation, Karachi is proud have to crown of all fields. Despite knowing the fact that rain is problem creator in the metropolis as it causes a major power outages and flooding, Karachiites pray and wish for ’heavy’ rainfall every month. Some people from the city are not even happy with the monsoon season that they get during the month of July and August.

Shall it be sunny or cloudy?

Have to arrange a big ritual now?

Karachiites should probably prepare for some rituals to cause rain in the city, right? No! Gone are the days  when people used to dance for the rain or to arrange a wedding of frogs or they used to slaughter animals to please the Gods for rain. Instead now we have technology to go in the atmosphere and do what we human beings do best that is to do build machines with the help of our scientific knowledge and that process is called ’cloud seeding’.

To ease the drought situation the Pakistani military government conducted series of experiments in early 2000s. By the process of cloud-seeding, artificial rain was created over Quetta city, Baluchistan that caused light downpours for 20 minutes. Twenty-four experiments were carried out, sixteen of them were successful.

China used this process before the 2008 Olympics to move the dust particles over Beijing. This was not the first time Beijing did this experiment. In 2003 and 2006, China conducted this experiment that brought as much as four-tenths of an inch of rain, the heaviest rainfall for 2006 in the capital. The rain was much-needed to alleviate drought, add soil moisture and remove dust from the air for better air quality. China is the world’s biggest user of cloud seeding while United Arab Emirates have also started using this method though the U.S scientists have questioned whether this technique is operational or not.

Heavens will pour with our technology

Though it is confirmed that weather can not be controlled but there are attempts and research to do so as mentioned above. We can say that the first successful attempt of controlling weather is “cloud seeding”.

What is Cloud seeding?

Cloud seeding is possible

Cloud seeding is to change the weather rather than to control it. Rain through cloud seeding can be dubbed as artificial rain. Such type of rain is produced by spraying clouds with Silver Iodide, which is hugely costly while cheaper ones like Carbon dioxide or Sodium Chloride can also be used. Cloud seeding had its beginnings in 1946 at the General Electric Research Laboratories in Schenectady, New York.

Cloud seeding is a form of weather modification, in which the amount or the type of precipitation is change that falls from clouds, by dispersing substances into the air that serve as cloud condensation. It is also used to vanish fog over the civil or army airports.

Project storm fury

How to kill a cyclone

The US government has attempted to modify hurricanes by dropping dry ice and silver iodide into these storm with the help of airplane;

•  Project Cirrus in the late 1940s and early 1950s.
•  Project Storm fury in the 1960s and 1970s.

All these projects were canceled because of its failure and it needed financial support from the government. It however did weaken the hurricane but for some time.

It is already happening!

“High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program”

High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program or HAARP is a program launched by the US air forces and the navy in the 1993. No ones for sure what research they conduct. There are many controversies surrounding USA’s HAARP, most nations believe that its main aim is to control weather system and patterns and use them against enemy states with out going through nuclear warfare. Its station is situated in Alaska, US.

The Wars of Weather – It did happen once

Spin the hurricane where you want

Many meteorologist, scientists and other people related to such fields do not rule out the possibility of climatic wars in the future. Militaries of major nations such as US, Russia and China are under speculation that they are using technologies to control weather and climatic patterns.

According to declassified files, top-secret “tsunami bomb” experiments utilising explosions to trigger mini-tidal waves were conducted off the coast of New Zealand in 1944 and 1945. The U.S. Defense Department had even expressed concern about earthquake-inducing technology in warfare well before the 2004 tsunami disaster in the Indian Ocean. In 1997 Defense Secretary of the United States William S. Cohen stated;

“Others are engaging even in an eco-type of terrorism whereby they can alter the climate, set off earthquakes, volcanoes remotely through the use of electromagnetic waves”.

The only country that is advancing into the field of alternating climate is U.S while the second country is China. Will World War III be a Weather war? Has the war of weather already started?

]]> http://pakistanweatherportal.com/2012/05/28/tropical-cyclone-in-the-arabian-sea/ Mon, 28 May 2012 14:49:10 +0000 PWP http://pakistanweatherportal.com/2012/05/28/tropical-cyclone-in-the-arabian-sea/ ”Increase in rainfall activity in western Indian coast”

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) on May 7 told its followers that a low pressure might form in the Arabian sea during the second last week of May as supported by an American model however the low did not form as it was expected but the same area of thundershower remained confined near the coasts of Yemen and Somalia as of May 30.

Omani Track – Is it out?

Is it really forming?

Other foreign models are not showing any kind of such development which shows that the threat of a cyclone is minimum in the Arabian sea. They show that the disturbed area would move towards central Arabian sea to dissipate as vertical wind shear remains high. If a cyclonic storm (Indian ranking) does form in the sea then it would be named as Murjan by the IMD.

• Murjan is a name given by Oman which is pronounced as ”Mur-Jaan”. It is an Arabian word meaning marine animals.

Old track of the storm

Thunderstorms near Somalia on June 1

Latest runs on May 28 by the same model indicate that the disturbed area would move towards the central Arabian sea and it would slowly organize itself into a tropical depression (25%) during the first week of June and may attain a weak tropical storm status (5%) as it moves towards Oman and decays after crossing the coast during the early two weeks of June.  The other track shown in the PWP-Track Map indicates that the upper air cyclonic circulation might intensify into a well-marked low pressure/weak depression status before moving towards Oman and adjoining Yemen.

Other tracks by the same model does indicate that even if the area of thundershowers does not intensify it would move towards Oman or Oman and adjoining Yemen and in this Oman may get some summer showers during early June. The other tracks would also revolve around them as well.

Day 1: May 29 at 10:11 pm PKT

New Track of expected 01A

There are chances that after 72 hours a low pressure area may form in the south-west Arabian sea that would eventually move in a north-north-eastward direction and it may intensify into a tropical depression (25%). As of May 29 at 10:11 pm PKT, the same model indicates a slightly different track that the depression will intensify into a tropical storm (5%) and move in a ENE direction before rapidly weakening and dissipating near the Indian coast of Gujarat.

Day 2: May 30 at 10:30 pm PKT

Track 5 of the low 01A

There are chances that after 48 to 72 hours a low pressure might form in the south-west of Arabian sea. The area of thunderstorm is present over the sector where the temperatures are about 27°C to 28°C that are likely to cause a low pressure to develop in coming days. Due to penetration of westerlies the track of the system has changed from NW to NE towards western Indian coast. The system may intensify into a tropical depression (25%) as it heads in a NNE direction over some what cooler temperatures than where it is situated right now. There are still 5% chance that it may intensify into a tropical storm. The storm is expected to weaken considerably before moving over any land, as shown in the above   Tracks of PWP-Map.

Latest satellite pictures indicate that the disturbed area near northern Somalia has persisted as of May 30.

Day 3: May 31 at 10:15 pm PKT

Track 6: Pre-monsoon in Gujarat

There are chances that after 36 to 48 hours a low pressure might form in the south-west Arabian sea that would move in a NNE direction and might deepen into a tropical depression (25%) but as it moves towards the Indian coast of Gujarat it would weaken rapidly and move over the coast as a remnant. PWP-TRACK 5 has slightly changed. The chances of intensification into a tropical storm has dropped to 3%.

Due to this track there are chances that Pre-monsoon showers would start over the Gujarat- adjoining Maharashtra coast on June 6/7 with some moderate falls as the low will attract the moisture from Kerala causing a slight decrease in activity over there.

Day 4: June 1 at 10:15 pm PKT

Track 7: Remnant moves inland

A low pressure might form in the south-west Arabian sea after the next 24 to 36 hours that would deepen into a tropical depression at 1004 mbar before weakening and heading towards the Gujarat coast and adjoining eastern coast. The track is shown in the above PWP-TRACK 7.

Pre-monsoon showers would start over the Gujarat- adjoining Maharashtra coast during the end of coming week with some moderate falls as the low will attract the moisture from Kerala causing a slight decrease in activity over there.

Day 5: June 2 at 10:00 pm PKT

Track 8 – Weaker !

A low pressure area might form in the south-west Arabian sea near northern Somalia after 12 to 24 hours and it is likely to move in a more eastwards direction as westerlies is expected to penetrate into the region, forcing the system to move further eastwards. The temperature where the upper air cyclonic circulation is favourable due to the change in track due to the westerlies the low may move in a the area of unsuitable vertical wind shear. It is expected to decay before moving over the land, the chances of intensification into a depression has dropped to 10%.

Due to further change in track, cloudy periods might occur at coastal Gujarat while increase in rainfall is expected in Maharashtra-Karnataka coast from this remnant.

Day 6: June 3 at 10:17 pm PKT – LAST UPDATE

The upper air cyclonic circulations in the south-west Arabian may intensify into a weak low pressure after that it would start to weaken, it may move towards the western Indian coast where it would persist for few days as an UAC. Track 8 valid.

Tropical Poll

The Bay of Bengal was actually two times forecasted to give birth to a depression however it failed to give birth both the times. A poll conducted by PWP on May 7 showed that 71% people believed that this year Arabian sea would give rise to a tropical depression earlier than the Bay of Bengal. What about now!

More information would be provided only if necessary!

Temperature and Precipitation across the region

Pakistan had witnessed very active weather since April 10 which is likely to continue, something that is not much seen in April and was missing since this winter season. A fresh Western Disturbance “02″ is likely to grip the country after 48 to 72 hours that is very likely to cause countrywide rainfall stretching from Karachi till Siachen. Precipitation of varying intensity with fast/strong winds (46 km/h 70 km/h) is expected in the country. A update will be issued whenever necessary.

Winter 2011 – 2012: Quiet and relaxed!

The current winter season was much quiet in the country as no widespread rainfall occurred in the country apart from few isolated events. However a total of 29 western disturbance affected parts of the country though none of them covered the whole country as they used to do in the past.

But April started with a boom and a bang, the first Western Disturbance of summer season, which PWP named as  ”01″ reached the country on April 9 and remained so till April 14. Rainfall occurred in Islamabad on April 8, heavy rainfall in Murree on April 14. While unusual light hailstorm  occurred in the southern city of Hyderabad on April 12. Drizzle occurred in Lahore on April 13.

Western Disturbance 02: Something new!

“Warning: Western disturbance has the potential to create severe weather conditions along the Oman and Makran coast. Sea conditions are likely to be rough along Makran coast.”

Timeline of  this system

Pakistan on April 16, thunderclouds visible

Western Disturbance 02 would reach western-central parts of the country on April 19. But due to the humid air, moisture incursion and the upper low, strong thunderstorm would form over northern Oman that might affect southern Pakistan. Following is the timeline of the western disturbance as well as the coastal thunderstorm (a part of WD 02);

• On April 17 mid-day this formation would be visible over upper Oman, few scatter clouds would be visible along the western Makran coast. On early April 19, they would move slight East in the Arabian sea and intensify further over the warm waters by that time thunderclouds would start to form over the Makran coast that would have the potential to bring rainfall. The main thunderstorm would keep moving east and would finally dissipate near the Sindh coast on April 21.
• Western Disturbance 02 would enter the western-central Pakistan on April 19 and persist till four to five days, it would start its influence over the Kashmir from April 20.

Stray thunderstorms/clouds would keep on forming over the different parts of Pakistan till one week. Fresh western disturbance 03 would also affect the northern areas of the country soon, once again highlighting that its going to be a very busy days for the skies of Pakistan.

International Weather for Oman and India

Severe thunderstorms could batter the northern parts of Oman including the capital Muscat, which had seen some thunder activity since past few week, from April 18 till April 20. Clouds that have been forming over southern Oman were stretching till the western coast of India, that is still visible.

With the entrance of western disturbance 02, thunderclouds could form over the western provinces of India that is Gujarat and Rajasthan with dust-laden winds.

Effects on Pakistan

Activity over Greater India

Scattered precipitation is expected in Azad Kashmir, Balochistan, Khyber, Punjab, Gilgit and Sindh in next few days. Rainfall in the northern areas would exceed 30 mm. Following is the province forecast of few areas;

Islamabad

Drizzle/isolated shower is expected in Islamabad throughout this week. From April 19 night till 2 to 3 days, Islamabad could experience moderate rainfall with thunder/lightening along with strong winds (56 km/h or greater).

Punjab

There are also chances of rainfall in many cities of Punjab which includes Lahore, Multan, Faisalabad and other surrounding cities. Rainfall along with period of hail could occur over the plains of Punjab. Throughout his week many cities of Punjab would witness cloudy intervals.

Balochistan

There are chances of heavy rainfall with fast winds (46 km/h) along the Makran coast especially the western parts including Gwadar on April 18 and April 19.

Sindh

Rain in Hyderabad few days back

Some parts of Sindh province would witness cloudy intervals on April 19 and April 20, there are chances of drizzle/isolated shower in Sukkur, Larkana and Nawabshah on these days as well.

There are chances of light rainfall in Hyderabad and Jamshoro during that period as well. (Image given by PWP reader Waseem Ahmed)

Siachen Tragedy – More severe weather ahead?

Cloud cover has remained over the area since past few days, with the advancement of western disturbance 02, dense cloud cover is expected over Siachen while there are chances of showers/snowfall from April 21 with gusty winds (80 km/h).

Karachi – All praying for Rain…Again!

Some people would say that why is Karachi’s forecast under a new heading, shouldn’t it be in the Sindh section, Well there are two things special for Karachi this time, those are;

• This could be the first April rainfall since 1997.
• Thunderstorm forming such south (by a western disturbance) of Pakistan since 2006.

1. 1997, 4 mm
2. 1988,
3. 1983, traces
4. 1982
5. 1981
6. 1970
7. 1965

What is going to happen on this Thursday and Friday

Due to the weakening of the thunderstorm, there are chances of scattered light rainfall with fast winds in the city on April 19 and April 20, GFS shows rainfall to remain under 10 mm while CFS shows 2 mm, however none has shown it to rise beyond 15 mm. Better enjoy this April rain!

Update issued on April 18 at 10:00 pm PKT

“Forecast of PWP remains almost same”

Rainfall in Oman on April 18, 2012

Western Disturbance ’02′ has entered west-central Pakistan, a day earlier than expected, showers occurred at many places of the country due to which parts of Balochistan including Quetta are expected to get showers at times moderate with fast winds till next few days, traces of rain also occurred at Makran coast. There are chances of isolated heavy rainfall with fast winds along the coast of Makran especially the western part as forecasted on April 16, while light showers also expected in various parts of Sindh including Karachi, Hyderabad, Jamshoro and other surrounding areas. This week the total rainfall at isolated places in southern-western Khyber province could (10%) exceed beyond 70 mm – 95 mm, as heavy downpour with strong winds (56 km/h) is expected from April 19 night/April 20. Rainfall is also expected in Islamabad and cities of Punjab including Lahore and Multan during this period. Following was the recorded rainfall that occurred today;

• Balochistan
• Barkhan got 50 mm
• Quetta got 30 mm
• Punjab 
• Bahawalpur got 48 mm
• Multan got 6 mm

Moderate rainfall also occurred in Muscat, Oman (Picture at the top is from Oman). Sea conditions in Oman especially the northern sector of the sea has been rough. Maximum wave height reached 1.3 metres, could reach 2 metres. More thundershowers with fresh winds expected in Oman including Muscat till 24 hours to 48 hours and then a stable weather would prevail. Following is the rainfall that occurred in Oman (station);

• Um zamaim got 108 mm.
• Ras Al Hadd got 98 mm.

Update on April 19 at 8:30 pm PKT - NEW

“Coastal thunderstorm becomes unimportant”

Karachi rain on April 19, 2012

The coastal thunderstorm that was expected to intensify further on April 19 has failed to do so due to which mostly light rainfall with fast winds occurred along the Makran coast during the last 24 hours. Due to the weakening phase, more drizzle/light rainfall could occur in Makran coast till 12 hours while the forecast of Sindh coast including Karachi has been same since April 15, that is drizzle/light shower is expected till April 20 mid-day, rain also occurred today in the city, the coastal storm would be completely dissipated by April 21 early morning. Sea conditions would be stable after 6 to 12 hours. Western Disturbance “02″ likely to cause rainfall/hailstorm in northern Pakistan with few isolated heavy falls after 12 hours including Islamabad, Peshawar, Quetta. Following is the rainfall recorded in Balochistan;

•  Ziarat got 24 mm.
•  Zhob got 21 mm.
•  Quetta got 19 mm.
•  Kalat  got 9 mm.
•  Sibi got 9 mm.
•  Lasbela got 8 mm.
•  No significant rainfall occurred at Makran coast

Though the same thunderstorm caused heavy rainfall with strong winds in northern Oman on April 17 and April 18. On April 19, the storm was expected to move away from Oman and it has done so as forecasted by PWP due to which stable weather prevails over the sultanate. Following is the rainfall recorded at few stations of Oman;

• Muscat got 12 mm.
• Ibra got 34 mm.
• Bidiya got 36 mm.
• Sur got 10 mm.

Stay tune for more developing story!

Karachi's sunset during the winter season

As the winter season continues, the southern areas of Pakistan have been under the grip of a, well a “heat wave” though not a real one, since the last 12 to 14 hours. Maximum temperatures have started to rise and it is already feeling as if the winter season has come to an end but it has not.

The temperatures in the south-western city of Karachi is already hovering around 30°C during the afternoon as it is near the coastline. However the northern parts of the country are still in the grip of a chilly weather as a cold weather pattern dominates the area that has been blowing cold winds and causing rainfall/snowfall there but the question is that why is southern Pakistan experiencing such an unusual weather?

Causes of this “Heat wave”?

A strong anti-cyclone has formed in the northern Arabian sea that is acting as a shield and blocking moisture as well as cold winds coming to lower Pakistan. The anti-cyclone will also influence the weather over some central parts of India due to which temperatures would also rise there and the rainy cold weather system would only be able to affect northern Pakistan and north-western India where it would intensify further.

This anti-cyclone over the Arabian sea is likely to stay for four to five days during this period the maximum temperatures would rise as dry hot air will penetrate through southern areas of the country. Thus, winds could gust up to 30 miles per hour with some passing clouds over lower Sindh. It must be noted that these winds are blowing in an opposite direction that is West or South-West, a summer-like pattern, against the usual winter winds of North-East.

Is this really unusual?

The anti-cyclone as of February 24 over India

No, not at all. There are some winters in which this pattern occurs during the end of the winter season and it appears that winter 2012 is one of them. Following are the maximum recorded temperatures in some southern cities of Pakistan during the winter season (February);

• In Karachi city, the maximum temperature was 36.1 °C on February 25, 1996.
• In Hyderabad, the maximum temperature was 38.2 °C on February 16, 1993.
• In Nawabshah, the maximum temperature was 38 °C on February 26, 2004.
• In Gwadar, the maximum temperature was 33 °C on February 27, 2008.

It is easily observable that temperatures tend to rise during the last days of February indicating that summer is approaching. But wait!

‘New’ Cold wave to battle with the existing heat wave?

The existing trend of high temperatures would remain till February 22/February 23 in southern Pakistan during this period the maximum temperature in Karachi could reach from 27°C till 29°C, after that the day time temperatures would start to decrease. The decrease would occur as the anti-cyclone would mainly influence the central parts of India including the coast of India, this anti-cyclone would grip central coast of India including some mainland after 120 hours (see the above image) by then the temperatures would start to decrease in southern Pakistan. The existing rainy weather system as it would start move towards India on February 21, it would be followed by a cold wave (mild) that would force its entry into southern Pakistan on February 23 as the weather system in the Arabian sea would start to fade away.

Due to which the temperatures would once again start to drop over many parts of the country till the weekend at least. In the end, it is worth mentioning that this winter season has been an extended one! 

Roads of Murree covered with thick snow!

After a hot start to winter in southern Pakistan, the winter conditions are likely to attain peak across the country in the coming year of early 2012 (January and February). La-Nina will influence the world winter with warmer than normal winter in many parts of the United States while colder than normal winter in India, Pakistan, eastern China and Australia.

The winter conditions over north-western India including northern Pakistan are likely to be cooler than normal average during the coming months.

Weather conditions in January and February in Pakistan

Factors that affect Pakistan

Only two weather phenomenons affect Pakistan during winter months;

1. Western disturbance:These storms have the potential to cause heavy precipitation with strong winds gusting to 100 km/h or more, they could cover whole Pakistan depending upon their intensity. It is major non-monsoon weather system in the north-western sub-continent.
2. Fog: It mostly affect the plains of Punjab and Khyber Pukhtoonkhwa, depending upon the prevailing conditions, fog could turn into the most threatening source of traffic accidents in the country. It rarely forms over southern Pakistan.

Winter of 2011-2012: First Outlook

Last year (2010 -2011), the intense La-Nina  conditions in the summer caused temperature to drop significantly in the country during winter. The Tokyo-based Regional Institute for Global Change (RIGC) has also forecasted that La-Nina conditions would last till early summer therefore the winter would also be affected.

Due to the prevailing conditions across the region, the winter in coming months is also likely to follow a similar path with Cooler than average conditions expected in northern and central parts of the country especially in the month of January and February. One to three heavy precipitation may occur due to strong western disturbances in north-western Pakistan mainly western Balochistan. (PWP will issue a second outlook on January 15, 2012).

Federal capital

The capital usually have a direct affect from the western disturbance since it is situated in the northern sector of the country.

Islamabad 

Western disturbance causes precipitation in Islamabad in the form of rainfall or hailstorm that are often mistaken for snowfall.

The highest temperature is 30.1 °C (1995) and lowest temperature is −3.9 °C  (1967). While the heaviest rainfall for this month is 166.7 millimetres (1954). In February, the highest temperature ever recorded was 30 °C (1985) and lowest temperature is −2 °C. While the highest rainfall is 268.5 millimetres (1998).

Sindh

Sindh mostly remain dry in winter as it is in a south-eastern direction and a little far from the zones of the direct impact from the westerlies. Following is the climatic conditions of Karachi, Hyderabad and Nawabshah in the months of January and February;

Karachi

Karachi winter rainfall in 2007

Skies over Karachi remain clear but there are one to three days in which overcast conditions are observed. Rainfall does occur in this month but are mostly short-lived and dissipate quickly. One to two western disturbance affect coastal Pakistan on normal basis.

The highest rainfall during this month was 89.3 millimetres, which occurred in 1995. The lowest temperature of 0.0 °C was recorded on 21 January 1934, while the highest temperature of 32.8 °C was recorded on 16 January 1965. In February, the lowest temperature was3.3 °C (37.9 °F) on 11 February 1950 and the highest was 36.1 °C (97.0 °F) on 25 February 1996. The highest monthly rainfall of 96 millimetres (3.8 in) was recorded in 1979.

Hyderabad

Like other parts of the country, Hyderabad too suffers from the influence of western disturbance.

The lowest temperature in the winter was 3.3 °C, recorded on January 21, 1973. The highest temperature in winter was 38.2 °C, recorded on February 16, 1993. The highest monthly rainfall in winter 106 millimetres was recorded in February 2003.

Nawabshah

The western winds usually cause light intensity showers in the city.

The lowest temperature in the winter was −3 °C, recorded on Fenruary 8, 2008. The highest temperature in winter was 38 °C, recorded also on February 26, 2004. The fastest rainfall in 24 hours was also recorded on 25 February 1993, 29 millimetres.

Punjab

The province of Punjab has a major affect from the western disturbance mainly the northern Punjab. The lower part of Punjab mostly remains dry. Following is the climatic conditions of Lahore, Multan and Faisalabad in the months of January and February;

Lahore

Showers and rainfall occur in these months, hailstorms could also occur in these months especially February. The most famous example was on February 26, 2011, when isolated but intense hailstorm created snowfall-like conditions in the cultural capital.

The highest temperature recorded in these month is from February that is 33.3°C (1953) while the lowest is -2.2°C recorded in 1935. The heaviest monthly rainfall occurred in February that was about 503.5 millimetres (1934).

Multan

Hailstorm that hit Lahore in February in 2011

Dust storms along with showers occur in this month, hailstorm has also been recorded in these month in this historical city.

The average lowest January temperature in the season of winter is 4.5 °C. While the average highest temperature in winter was recorded in the month of December which is of 22.7 °C. The highest monthly rainfall in winter occurs in February that is 9.2 millimetres.

Faisalabad

Faisalabad’s climate resembles the pattern of Lahore.

The lowest temperature in the season of winter is −4 °C recorded on 15 January 1978. While the highest temperature in winter was recorded in the month of February which is of 30 °C recorded on 10, 1993. The highest monthly rainfall in winter occurs in February that is 108.5 millimetres (4.27 in) in February.

Balochistan

Western disturbance and Shamal winds have the major affect on Balochistan. Following are the climatic condition of Quetta and Gwadar in the month of January and February;

Quetta

Rainfall do occur in these months in Quetta city along with occasional snowfall.

The lowest temperature in these months was recorded in January (1970) that was -18°C while the highest was recorded in February (1953) that was 27°C. The heaviest monthly rainfall in these months occurred in February (1982) that was 189 millimetres.

Gwadar

The coastal city and winter capital of Balochistan, rarely experiences Shamal winds in January. Western disturbance also causes rainfall in these months but with light intensity unlike the northern parts of Balochistan.

January is the coldest month of the city with lowest temperature of 2.3 °C on 31 January 2001 while the highest temperature is 31.1 °C recorded on 30 January 1963. The highest rain for this month is 199.1 millimetres recorded in 1970 while the average is 25.9 millimetres (1.02 in). February is also chilly in the city with lowest temperature of 1.2 °C on 1 February 2001 while the highest temperature is 33 °C recorded on 27 February 2008. Moderate intensity rains also occur in this month the highest monthly rainfall is 265.7 millimetres recorded in 1986 and average is 22.7 millimetres.

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) will issue a second winter outlook on January 15, 2012.

Past - Winter in Murree!

A shallow western disturbance might affect the extreme upper parts of Pakistan during the middle of November that may further cause the temperature to drop in the northern areas of the country. After experiencing a post-monsoonal weather in Sindh, the province is likely witness some dry winds with misty morning in the coming few days. Temperature in northern-western Balochistan are expected to drop.

Pakistan – Outlook

Following are the main features that Pakistan will experience in coming days;

*Western disturbance might affect the upper parts of the country.

*Dry weather will dominate the lower parts.

Western wave –  Another in coming?

WD 08 would affect the upper regions of Pakistani including Gilgit and Kashmir mainly around November 15. However few cloud covers are expected in Gilgit in the next few days. Following are  the western disturbance that affected Pakistan since monsoon withdrawal;

• Western disturbance 01 affected upper parts of Pakistan from October 5 to October 8 with strong gusty winds (76 km/h in Islamabad/Rawalpindi). In terms of strength this system was much stronger than the rest of waves that followed after. The rainfall was mostly light with isolated moderate falls.
• Western disturbance 02 affected north-western Balochistan province including from October 10 till October 11. The rain was light in intensity.
• Western disturbance 03 affected upper parts of Pakistan from October 13 night till October 14 morning. The winds gusted to 48 km/h in Islamabad/Rawalpindi, the rainfall was weak in intensity and isolated.
• Western disturbance 04 affected Northern Pakistan from October 20 till October 23 night, temperature dropped by 3°C  to 4 °C, 79 km/h winds were blowing in Islamabad.
• Western disturbance 05 affected extreme Northern Pakistan from October 28 till November 1.
• Western disturbance 06, shallow in nature affected upper parts from November 2 till early November 3.
• Western disturbance 07 , a large westerly wave in nature affected central and upper pats from November 8 morning till November 10, also caused season’s first snowfall at some hilly areas. It’s trough also interacted with deep depression ARB 03.

There had been a total of five western disturbance in the month of October while 2 in the month of November. Around November 15, a fresh western disturbance 08 would mostly affect the upper parts of Pakistan including Gilgit region. WD 09 might (15% – 45%) affect the country during late November.

However no major fog-like conditions likely to develop in Punjab atleast till the coming week. As far as temperature are concerned, about 2°C to 4°C drop is expected in the night temperature of the northern areas of Pakistan, in Islamabad night temperature may hover around 11°C in coming days. In Lahore, 15°C may be the lowest in the coming weeks. About 1°C to 2°C drop is expected in these areas in the daytime.  All indicating that winter is approaching!

Southern Pakistan – Dry days?

Stable weather is likely to stay in southern Pakistan that is southern Punjab and Sindh. Day temperatures are not being observed to change except a 1°C drop. Misty morning may return in the Sindh as dry winds will re-develop, however night temperatures may drop by 1°C to 2°C due to the expected arrival of WD 08  in few days.

Karachi is still pleasant!

Dry weather is also expected in the port city. The night temperature is likely to be 22° C - 18° C while the day temperatures likely to remain around 33° C –  35 ° C. Still considered a pleasant one!

Gwadar through bird's eye!

With the arrival of winter in the Balochistan province of Pakistan, a new capital has taken shape and that is the port city of Gwadar. The summer capital of the province is Quetta but like the change of the direction of winds during the winter season , it seems that capital winds have shifted from Quetta to Gwadar. The Chief Minister Balochistan Nawab Aslam Raisani issued directives declaring Gwadar as winter provincial capital of the province. The Chief Minister announced on October 28;

“Gwadar will be the winter provincial capital of Balochistan from Oct 21 to March 3”.

The proposal of making the coastal town the winter capital of the province was made by Speaker Aslam Bhootani two years back. Let us now see the climate of Gwadar from November till March!

Gwadar: Part of the Sultanate of Oman?

Before 1958, Gwadar was a territory of Oman but on September 8, 1958, Pakistan purchased the Gwadar for $3 million. Gwadar officially became part of Pakistan on 8 December 1958. At the time, Gwadar was a small fishing village with a population of a few thousand.

On July 1, 1997; The Pakistani government made Gwadar a part of Balochistan province as the district headquarters of the newly formed Gwadar District. Gwadar has an area total of 12,637 km² and today the city has a population of 53, 080.

Climate cycle of Gwadar

Gwadar is located at about 0 – 300 metre above the sea level. The hottest month of the city is June while the coldest month is January. The climate of Gwadar is somewhat identical to that of some Middle eastern countries. The average rainfall from January till December  is 227 millimetres. Following are the dominant features of the climate of Gwadar;

• Western Disturbances generally occurs during the winter months and causes moderate to above-moderate showers in the port city, temperatures also decrease due to it.
• Shamal winds mostly occur during the months of April till May, these winds are quite dusty and are stronger in the morning than at night.
• Continental air prevails during the period when there is no precipitation in the city.
• Tropical storm rarely moves towards the city’s coastline.

November

The highest temperature was 37.2 °C recorded on 1 November 1965 while the lowest temperature is 5.5 °C recorded on 27 November 2003. The highest rainfall of this month is 47 millimetres in 1963 while the average is 3.7 millimetres (0.15 in) and the 24 hour rain in this month is 42 millimetres (1.7 in) occurred on 24 November 1963. Rainfall in this part of the month occurs due to western depressions.

December

Winter: Gwadar is the new capital of Balochistan!

The highest temperature was 33.1 °C recorded on 8 December 2005 while the lowest temperature is 0.5 °C recorded on 15 December 2003. The highest rainfall of this month is 142 millimetres (5.6 in) in 1989 while the average is 21.6 millimetres (0.85 in) and the highest 24 hour rain in this month is 71.2 millimetres (2.80 in) occurred on 6 December 1997.Cold waves accompanied by western depression causes isolated heavy showers in this month.

January

January is the coldest month of the city with lowest temperature of 2.3 °C on 31 January 2001 while the highest temperature was 31.1 °C recorded on 30 January 1963. Western disturbance causes precipitation in this month of the year in Gwadar. The highest rain for this month is 199.1 millimetres (7.84 in) recorded in 1970 while the average is 25.9 millimetres (1.02 in). The heaviest rain in 24 hours occurred on 13 January 1970 that is 99 millimetres (3.9 in).

February

The lowest temperature of 1.2 °C was recorded on 1 February 2001 while the highest temperature was 33 °C recorded on 27 February 2008. Moderate intensity rains also occur in this month, the highest monthly rainfall is 265.7 millimetres (10.46 in) recorded in 1986 and average is 22.7 millimetres (0.89 in), while the heaviest 24 rainfall is 145.8 millimetres (5.74 in) recorded on 21, 1987.

March

The highest temperature of 40.1 °C recorded on 29 March 1999, while lowest temperature of 8 °C (46 °F) recorded on 4 March 2003. Rain is a rare in this month with average rainfall of 15 millimetres (0.59 in) while the highest for this month is 129 millimetres (5.1 in) in 2005 and the heaviest 24 hour rainfall occurred 2 March 2005 which is of 116 millimetres (4.6 in).

After March 2012, Gwadar will no longer be a capital of Balochistan, so enjoy the new capital for 5 months only!

• Cyclone Keila -First cyclone of 2011 !

• Post monsoon activity in Coastal Sindh!

• Heavy showers with strong winds!

Cyclone Keila has formed in the west central Arabian sea as of November 2, Keila is the first tropical system to reach cyclonic status on the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) scale. It is the second tropical storm from the Arabian sea while it is the third in the north Indian Ocean according to the Joint Typhoon warning centre (JTWC). Keila is a name contributed by Maldives, it is derived from Arabic word Kayla, which is a female name.

Cyclone Keila is the first tropical system to affect Oman during the month of November, in the past there had been post-monsoon tropical systems in other months but not even one struck Oman in this month, making Keila the first storm to do so since record keeping begin. The last tropical activity in the month of November was in 1993 in Pakistan, the deadly category-1 hurricane killed some 630 people in the country. However depression ARB 02 will not affect Pakistan directly.

What is a tropical depression? – Is it a cyclone?

Cyclone Keila is the first tropical cyclone from the North Indian Ocean 2011

Depressions are not a cyclone, but it could be termed as the early stages of a tropical cyclone. According to the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which is the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center responsible for forecasting tropical cyclones in the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal, if a well-marked low pressure intensifies then it is termed as a depression. Tropical depression has winds up to 30 mph (48 kmph) gusting to 35 mph (56 km/h). If depression further intensifies then it is termed as deep depression.

If a deep depression intensifies into a cyclonic storm on the IMD scale then it is given a name as per international practice. Cyclonic storm have winds 40 mph (64 km/h) and above. Cyclones are much better organized than both the tropical depressions, cyclones have a eye in the centre with the lowest pressure. In other parts of the world, cyclones are termed as hurricane and typhoon.

Timeline of the Cyclone Keila

An upper air cyclonic circulation on October 20 was seen persisting over the Indian state of Kerala. On October 22, the upper air cyclonic circulation moved to Lakshadweep and remained stationary over the same area. It was not untill on October 25 that the upper air cyclonic circulation intensified into a low pressure area at 1010 mbar. The low pressure formed in the south-eastern sector of the Arabian sea. On October 28, the low pressure further intensified as the pressure dropped from 1010 mbar to 1005 mbar. The strong low pressure was seen persisting in the central parts of Arabian sea. On October 29, the low pressure showed more signs of intensification as spiral bands developed around the low pressure system as the system continued to move towards Oman in a NW direction. The same day, the low pressure intensified into a well-marked low pressure and during the same afternoon, the well-marked low pressure intensified into a depression “ARB 02″. On October 31, the depression slightly weakened as the pressure increased to 1005 mbar, but persisting near Oman and adjoining Yemen and during the same afternoon the pressure again decreased to 1004 mbar. On November 1, the storm was seen persisting over west central Arabian sea with slight intensification. On November 2, the deep depression further intensified into Cyclone ‘Keila’ and moved closer to the Omani coastline just 150 km away from Salalah, Oman. On that night, it made landfall over southern Oman. On November 3, Keila weakened into deep depression over the same area. You can also read previous cyclone articles from Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP);

• Cyclone VS Karachi Saint
• Cyclone goes gaga over Sindh
• Detailed history of Cyclones in Pakistan
• Cyclone hits Karachi, India – War with Ghazi deepens!
• History of cyclones in the Arabian sea
• Monsoon 2011 and Cyclones – Sub-continent’s coastal threat?
• Super cyclones – The future of the Arabian sea!!
• Hypercanes – Can they happen?
• The Bhola cyclone – Not so “Bhola” at all!
• Cyclone Yemyin – The untold story!
• Is Arabian sea getting ready to give birth to “Tropical storm 2A”?

Updates regarding Cyclone Keila

WARNING” Fishermen should be cautious from Monday till Thursday in Oman while from Tuesday till Thursday in Pakistan as sea is likely to be rough and waves could reach 3 metres high.”

Both the state governments have always advised the fishermen and sea surfers to not to venture in deep sea due to high tides.

Update on November 4 at 2:00 pm PKT – LAST UPDATE

Remnant low pressure of Keila persists, it is over southern Omani coast and adjoining Arabian sea. Not a significant weather system now. Overall the cyclone Keila caused 14 deaths in Oman with widespread flash flooding due to 250+ mm rainfall in some southern parts of Oman. The system also caused post-monsoonal rainfall in Karachi and adjoining Sindh coast on November 2 and November 3.

Update on November 3 at 10:30 pm PKT

Remnants of Keila as deep depression persists near the coast of Oman, it has weakened further during the last few hours. Isolated to scattered rainfall is still predicted in southern Oman as the depression is still near the coast of Oman. Following are the mean features of the system;

• Movement: NW
• Winds: 35 mph (56 km/h)
• Pressure: 1000 mbar

Cloud cover over southern Pakistan has decreased while Makran coast is mostly clear at the moment. Clouds that covered Karachi this morning have moved completely into Gujarat and Rajasthan, they are dissipating stages.

Update on November 3 at 6:30 pm PKT

Cyclone Keila has weakened into a deep depression and persists over southern coast of Oman, it is gradually weakening. Keila did brought massive torrential rainfall to Oman, where dozens of streets were flooded, the rainfall exceeded 200+ in some areas. The level of moisture incursion into Pakistan has also some what stopped penetrating in the country’s coastline. Following are the mean features of this tropical depression;

• Movement: NW
• Winds: 35 mph (56 km/h)
• Pressure: 1000 mbar

Cloudy intervals may occur at few places of Makran coast and some parts of Sindh till 24 hours with slight chance of drizzle. Following is the amount of rainfall recorded in Pakistan and Oman in 24 hours, moderate showers occurred along Makran coast in the last 24 hours;

• Pakistan
• Karachi, Sindh got TR.
• Badin, Sindh got TR.
• Gwadar, Balochistan got 24 mm.
• Pasni, Balochistan got 16 mm.
• Jiwani, Balochistan got 16 mm.
• Ormara, Balochistan got 6 mm.
• Oman
• Muscat got 26.8 mm.
• Salalah got 12 mm.
• Qairoon Hairti, Station got 32 mm.

Update on November 2 at 9:39 pm PKT

Cyclone Keila has made landfall as of November 2 night as suggested by satellite image, the cyclone will weaken gradually and move along the coast of Oman and Yemen. Cloud cover from Keila has covered whole Oman while spiral bands have extended into adjoining Saudi Arabia. The trough extends into the Pakistani coastline, thunderstorms have covered Makran coast while the thunder clouds are SSW and WSW of Karachi and adjoining Sindh coast, clouds have also covered some central parts of Balochistan. Weak clouds have moved into Gujarat and Rajasthan, outflow into Pakistan has increased as Keila has made landfall over Oman. Following are the main features of Keila;

• Movement: NW (slightly)
• Winds: 40 mph (64 km/h gusting to 85 km/h)
• Pressure: 996 mbar

Update on November 2 at 3:03 pm PKT

  “Cyclone Keila forms in the Arabian sea”

Yesterday’s deep depression intensified into cyclone Keila and lies over west central Arabian sea near the Omani coastline at about 150 km away from Salalah, Oman. It is likely to cross the coast of Oman and adjoining Yemen by Novmeber 2 night/3 morning and weaken gradually. Following are the main features of Cyclone Keila are;

• Movement: WNW
• Winds: 40 mph (64 km/h gusting to 85 km/h)
• Pressure: 996 mbar

No direct affect likely from Tropical cyclone Keila however under the influence of moisture incursion and spiral bands of the Keila, isolated heavy rainfall may occur at few places of Makran coast till November 3 mid-day/evening. While there are also chances of rainfall with mostly light intensity in Karachi and adjoining areas of Sindh coast till 24 to 36 hours. Light showers occurred in many parts of Karachi today.

Update on November 1 at 9:45 pm PKT

Deep depression ARB 02 may intensify (Low probability due to cold waters) further into a cyclonic storm in 12 to 24 hours and move over Oman and adjoining Yemen by November 2 late. Latest satellite images does indicate deepening and thickening of clouds, the storm has more organized itself today. Well-developed Spiral bands can also be seen west of the deep depression ARB 02. Showers have also extended into the Omani capital, Muscat. The trough is seen extending into the Makran coast and adjoining Sindh coast. A thunderstorm will tore away from the tropical system and start to move towards the Makran coast. The tearing feature was first witnessed on October 30. Following are the main features of the system as of now;

• Movement: WNW
• Winds: 35 mph (56 km/h)
• Pressure: 1000 mbar

No direct affect likely on Pakistan, under the influence of moisture incursion and outer bands of this storm, isolated heavy rainfall may occur at many places of Makran coast from tonight/tomorrow. There are chances of rainfall along the Sindh coast from November 2 evening/night. Moderate rainfall occurred at isolated places of Makran including Jiwanai;

1. 20 mm rainfall occurred on November 1 morning

Update on November 1 at 2:56 pm PKT

Yesterday’s tropical depression ARB 02 has intensified into a deep depression ARB 02 and persists near south Oman, over west central Arabian sea. Images do indicate overnight intensification of the system. However no direct affect on Pakistani coast likely. Trough extending towards Pakistani coastlines. Following are the main features of the system as of now;

• Movement: WNW
• Winds: 35 mph (56 km/h)
• Pressure: 1000 mbar

Due to the outer bands and moisture incursion of this deep depression, isolated to scattered heavy rainfall likely along the Makran coast from tonight/tomorrow while chance of isolated heavy rainfall along Sindh coast from November 2 evening/night.

Update on October 31 at 10:25 pm PKT

Tropical depression ARB 02 persist near south Oman, over west central Arabian sea. Latest satellite image does indicate strong clouds in the south-west of the storm while small cloud but thick cloud in the north-east. The trough of the system now seems to be extending into the Indian Gujarat and adjoining Sindh. However the system is near Omani eastern coast and likely to cause heavy showers in next 24 hours. Light rainfall with 32 km/h winds is being reported in Masirah right now, during the afternoon heavy showers occurred in Masirah, the rainfall reached 48 mm in the area. Following are the main features of the storm as of now;

• Movement: WNW
• Winds: 30 mph (45 km/h)
• Pressure: 1004 mbar

The outer bands of depression ARB 02 likely to cause scattered heavy rainfall along the Makran coast from November 1 evening while chance of isolated heavy rainfall along the Sindh coast from mostly November 2.

Update on October 31 at 3:00 pm PKT

The depression ARB 02 persists over west central Arabian sea. It is moving in a north-western direction slowly and due to the interaction with cold water and dry air from the Arabian peninsula, the depression may find it hard to intensify. This  morning, the depression pressure has increased from 1004 mbar to 1005 mbar. Following are the main features of the storm as of now;

• Movement:  WNW
• Winds:  30 mph (45 km/h)
• Pressure:  1005 mbar

The depression’s outer bands may cause heavy rainfall with strong gusty winds along the Makran coastal areas from November 1 night while isolated heavy rainfall with fast to strong winds along the Sindh coast from November 2.

People’s forecast

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know its reader’s thoughts!

This is a “live tropical coverage” that started from October 31 and will end on November 4. 

Background

Precipitation and Temperature forecast

After three days, the month of November will start across the world. November is known in Pakistan for being an unsettled month interms of weather as temperature across the northern parts of the country start to drop further while the cold waves also start to affect the central and southern parts of the country with weak intensity. Most rainfall that occurs in November in the country is due to western disturbance that cause moderate rainfall, hailstorms and strong winds mainly in the northern parts of the country. Punjab and Khyber experience foggy conditions in month. The southern parts of Pakistan have dry weather in November with misty mornings.

Main features

Following are the main features that Pakistan might experience during the first week of November;

*Western disturbance 05 will continue to affect the extreme northern parts of Pakistan till October 31.

*Fresh western disturbance 06 might affect the upper parts of Pakistan including Islamabad and Peshawar during the end of the first week of November.

*Post-monsoonal tropical depression is in formation that might cause rainfall along the Pakistani coastline during the first week of November; mainly from November 2.

Western Disturbance 05 – Target Gilgit and Jammu & Kashmir

The westerly wave will contine to affect the extreme upper parts of Pakistan till 2 to 3 days after that it will move into India. The strength of WD 05 is weak, it might cause isolated showers in northern Khyber and Gilgit till October 30/31. However due to it’s presence the temperatures will further drop in these areas and adjoining areas.

Western Disturbance 06 – Its Path?

The fresh westerly wave might also affect the upper parts of the country but it will be slightly south-wards therefore north-western Punjab, Khyber and Kashmir will get rainfall due to this system. WD 06 will mostly affect from November 3 night/November 4, due to this wave the weather will get colder. After WD 06, there is no western system in sight.

The plains of Punjab and Khyber could experience foggy conditions, the intensity of fog will increase during the end of November in Punjab and Khyber. Temperatures will decrease further in Islamabad, Khyber, northern Punjab, Gilgit, FATA and Kashmir during the coming week. Following is the forecast of temperature across upper Pakistan;

• Islamabad: Highest (29°C) – Lowest (13°C – 15°C)
• Lahore: Highest (31°C) – Lowest (16°C – 18°C)
• Peshawar: Highest (28°C) – Lowest (15°C – 16°C)

Tropical Storm 02A in development!

• Post-monsoon development!

• Depression 02A: Oman the likely target?

• Not one but two low pressure in Arabian sea!!

The low pressure is expected to attain a deep depression status on the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) Scale. While it may attain “tropical storm 02A” status on SSHS scale.

Depression ARB 01 on October 29

On October 28, the low pressure further intensified as the pressure dropped from 1010 mbar to 1005 mbar. The strong low pressure is seen persisting in the central parts of Arabian sea. On October 29, the low pressure showed more signs of intensification as spiral bands developed around the low pressure system as the system continued to move towards Oman in a NW direction. The same day, the low pressure intensified into a well-marked low pressure and during the same afternoon, the well-marked low pressure intensified into a depression “ARB 02″. The storm might deepen further as pressure dropped to 1004 mbar.

As forecasted eariler, the weather system will move towards Oman and adjoining Yemen and weaken gradually due to cold waters. The storm teared into two parts on October 30 morning but later during the day it again started combining. Due to this weather system, showers could extend to coastal parts of Balochistan including Gwadar and some parts of coastal Sindh including Karachi, due to which rainfall/showers may occur from November 2 till 4 morning.

Number of International models hint about a fresh low pressure forming near the Kerala coast of India during the first week of November and that will move towards central Arabian sea and after that it will change its course. It may intensify further during its lifetime in the central Arabian sea. However it is too early to look into this expected system.

Poll of the week

Pakistan Weather Portal (PWP) wants to know;

Gwadar City is the Dream Project of Pakistan

Key Note on Gwadar Progress and Development:

Gwadar project has a very significant role not only for Pakistan but also for the whole region. Pakistan’s unique geography and geo political factors in the region have made it one of kind opportunity for Pakistan. Solid commitments by Chinese and Pakistani government with concrete steps on ground, growing interest by Gulf countries and Investors around the globe are indicators of the bright future of Gwadar.

Investment in any Project in E.P.Zone  Gwadar is an investment with a 20 years Tax Holiday facilities and  trustworthy, reputed company committed to excellence and confidence and in a location which is already focus of the world.

Which are the countries directly benefited by Gwadar?

Because of unique geography, Gwadar virtually benefits all countries in the region. In today’s increasingly interdependent world it would not be wrong that indirectly it benefits the whole world. However, some of the important countries directly benefited by Gwadar beside Pakistan and China are as following:

a.      Tajikistan. A land locked country that will get access to international waters for its Oil and Gas exports and other imports.

b.      Uzbekistan. Again a land locked country, greatly benefited by Gwadar.

c.      Turkmenistan. Same as above.

d.      Afghanistan. Afghanistan has been historically dependent upon Pakistan for its sea routes. Present reconstruction efforts need more and more materials, but the existing port facilities already under pressures from Pakistan’s needs find it difficult to manage. Besides, through Gwadar the access to international waters would be further reduced to great advantage of Afghan reconstruction.

What is Chinese Interest in Gwadar?

China has a great strategic interest in Gwadar. Following are the important ones:-

a.      China is heavily dependent upon the oil from the gulf, at present this oil passes via a very long route, through the straight of Malacca under US influence. After this oil has reached the Shanghai or the Chinese East Cost, it has to be transported thousands of miles in land to West of China. By using Gwadar port and than Karakoram Highway (KKH) its much safer, cheaper and shorter route to west of china.

b.      Middle East is very important region in the world because of its Oil Reserves and large markets. China has a natural dependence on this but does not have means to influence it. Government of Pakistan has already committed to providing a Navel Base to China in Gwadar. This will not only help secure the Gwadar but also take the Pakistan China Friendship to new heights.

c.      Chinese Goods will find an easier, shorter and secure route to Middle East increasing profitability and increasing trade.

d.      China will greatly benefit from the industrial zone by setting up industries close to the markets.

Chinese Commitments:

It is important to understand the Chinese commitments which are indicative of importance that china attaches to Gwadar. China has very strongly committed to Gwadar project, because of her interests. Following are the major inputs from the China:-

a.      China has been instrumental in design of the project.

b.      China is providing approximately 80% of the cost of Port in shape of grants and soft loans.

c.      Over 500 Chinese workers have worked on the project on 24 hour basis to complete the port setup. There are still a large number of Chinese workers and engineers working on the project.

d.      China has further committed to provide money and resources as and when needed.

e.      China is setting up a Dry Port at the Pak China border to take advantage of shorter route to sea through Gwadar.

f.       China has paid US$ 360 million to Pakistan for expansion and up gradation to all weather traficability of Karakoram Highway linking Pakistan with China. The contract has been awarded to Frontier Works Organization, who has also started the project.

g.      Feasibility and engineering studies to connect China with Gwadar through pipeline and railway track has already begun. This railway track also has the significance of being an engineering marvel of the world.

What is International Significance of Gwadar?

Another angle to look at Gwadar is its significance and effect to rest of the world. Following are the major developments in this regard.

a.     India is threatened by Gwadar as this new port and associated developments will help increase the influence and significance of Pakistan. This development also brings Pakistan and China more close. A stronger Pakistan with higher stature in the international world is not welcome to India. India is also weary of increased dependence of CAR’s, Afghanistan and China on Pakistan, with obvious benefits to Pakistan. Pakistan will become an important player in the region through Gwadar and India is troubled by the very thought.

b.    This is the best and most advanced port in the whole region, it is therefore getting heat from many corners. In reality this is going to be to the benefit of every one. Shorter and more economical route to CAR’s and Afghanistan is especially going to be beneficial to India who eagerly looks to increasing trade with them.

c.     Turkmenistan is a country blessed with natural gas and oil. But being land locked, it can’t benefit from them. Trans Afghan Gas Pipeline (TAP) from Turkmenistan to Gwadar, the long dormant project that hopes to pump Turkmen natural gas to markets in south Asia is finally ready to step off the drawing board. This project is being developed by CENTGAS.

d. Kazakhstan is also a country with lot of Oil but no means to access the international market. A pipeline is also planned to transport this oil to Gwadar and than rest of the world.

e.      Many more companies in the world from various countries would be setting up their businesses to take the advantage of State of the art world class port the best in the region, with cheap labor and close proximity to the huge Middle East market.

f.       Due to good geography and unscathed sand beaches, tourism and recreation resorts have good potential and large multinational companies are taking up locations for the purpose.

oil prices also expose their plans in the area.

Congratulation: Prime Minister Yousf Raza Gillani visit Gwadar soon to boost gwadar port activities as well as to attend meetings to approve all infra structure development program in E.P.Zone, and make sure that the gwadar port will be successfully operative and functional via import of wheat and open the gwadar port phase II for Afghanistan trade transit in placement of karachi port.

Government of Pakistan in budget 2008/09 has allocated one Billion Rupees for completion of fast development work in E.P. Zone due to near by the Port Area and allocated one billion rupees for wider Makran Coastal Road from Tee Mor to Jinnah Avenue Road for fast construction economical activities in the area of E.P. Zone, Congratulation to the Project managers of E.P. Zones that they will be the amongs first whom will play active role in Development of Gwadar. 

Naveed Akram

Is Dream City Gwadar is with in E.P.Zone ? Request for complete information? Is this scheme is near by Jinnah Avenue, Baluchistan Broad way, as well as on Makran Coastal Highway? As they claim that the scheme is near 5 kilometer to TEE MOR, were railway station, sea port area, and new subzi mundi is existing and the area is completely developed with all infrastructure. Is it Secure area and secure investment in this Dream City Gwadar. Their land price is high then other scheme why? Please reply.

Asad Mehmood.

Reply: Yes, The Dream City Gwadar is within E.P.Zone and i got information from their website: dreamcitygwadar.dreammarketingnetwork.com GDA NOC is verified and the scheme have  small and medium plots therefore its investment is safe and hope full that the price will rise 1000% with in 2010 due to prime location. For further information related to Dream City Gwadar please ask the promotors and marketers.

Fakir Muhammad

We have visitied the site of Dream City Gwadar, it is located on Makran Coastal Highway, Location of the project is ideal for early business setup. Marketers allowed construction on full payment. I personally think that this project is small and medium but the most attractive early business site to participate in development of Gwadar. I wish them success and hope ful for early constructions in project.

Noman Ali:

What is the importance of Show room plots in dream city gwadar? is it for display center as well as assembling product ware house plots…?

Reply:
Dream City Gwadar is located in E.P.Zone area, were it is an Industrial Base Project. That means that they have the previlleges to Product the goods as well as to Assemble the product in their Schemes. This advantage is not access able to any complete residential or complete commercial schemes. The promotors of Dream City Gwadar had planned well and the marketers have design the lay outs Show Room plots ( 18 feet x 60 feet ) = 120sq. yds for display as well as assembling items from China as well as ware houses in ground + 2 stories. ( 30 feet hights)

As per our knowledge that they are working fast to construct the residential plots as well as show room plots to avail early benefits of Gwadar Export Processing Zone advantages.

They have declare the real price at the moment and it will be rise time to time by the re-sellers. As the location is in prime area, therefore no doubt of its early success.

Hope they may success in their objectives through this, We think due to their activities they will generate jobs to benefits to local baluch peoples, We also like to give you the true images of Baluch Common People they are very loving, and carring they are only keen to get proper law ful jobs and business earning, Hope that this type of small and medium projects will definely develope early and support and assist the Baluch Brothers to earn and generate their own income from the training as well as working, as the promotors are also from Gwadar Family so it is easy to generate resources for their Baluch Brothers from out side world and hope full that Government will early established Technical Training Centers for the local people of Baluchistan to understand how to assemble and market world wide the electronic items as well as automobiles, generators, motor cyles, mobile phones, and food processing and packaging product in value added forms.

We think Dream City Gwadar is the fast developing Project which is going to enhance the gwadar product marketing, projecting, and supporting in Gwadar early Development Activities..

All above information we get from the Marketers in their breifing. Depending on you to verified by your self.

If you are interested in investment in Gwadar avail the residential as well as commercial plot near the area between TEE MOR to Jinnah Avenue, Which is 100% secure as well as 1000%  increase in profit investment. The Area beyond this location will be fully occuped and developed till 2010. And the land price will be out of reach

For more details read the following:

Gazi Furqan.

Reply: Those Private Schemes which are near to Jinnah Avenue, Makran Coastal Highway from Tee more are most costly because the activities starts early before 2010, The land price you get in these area in sq. feets. not in sq. yds … The prices of land will 1000% times up in all commercial, industrial, housing areas with in E.P.Zone, because all infra development is quickly in progress. And the places are planing not only for development of roads, water lines, sewerage lines but also in progress for building and constructions in the area to avail benefits of 40 years tax holidays… Simply a plot is most commercial area such as like karachi saddar, clifton, defence or Lahore Gulburg area, or Islamabad Blue Area can not compare with the area which are far from the commercial, industrial, residential business points. Depending on your own choice to decide, whether you are buying plot in gwadar for you or for your grand children. you want to earn early returns from your investment with multiply in 1000 times or just to double.. in 2 to 10 years …..choice is yours

salam,
Please tell me,
how long it will take Gwadar to developed. And were is Coast Way Residency project?

Reply: it is in Chitti Shumali, outside Gwadar Master Plan. Watch GDA Master Plan and find the location. It is approx. 50 kilometers from Gwadar Port. 25 kilo meters from Jinnah Avenue.. required 25 to 30 years to developed.

Salman.

Dubai is risky, Gwadar is highlighted every were but gwadar development is question? How long Gwadar Developed and were to invest in Gwadar. Identify the real important place to invest in Gwadar were returns could be in 1000 times. And early returns must be important for investment…

Murad Shah Jaipuri.

Reply:
Depends on location….
Area from Tee More to Jinnah Avenue attached with Makran Coastal Highway with in 2 years development and activities you will see. Due to E.P Zone, were 40 years Tax Free, Business and Housing Schemes are developing Fast. Were the concept is not for allotting plot but to build the plot to get in early advantages of Businesses. Tee more is the high targeted place were its on left is Subzi Madi, on Back its Railway Station, and Back of Railway Station is the port area, on front its start Makran Coastal Highway and near by the N.H.A work shops this Makran Coastal Highway is the very important location for whole Commercial, and Industrial activities were development activities are under way for importers and Exporters who wish to work with China Assemble products as well as wish to spread the china product to world wide, in other hand there are importers who like to spread foods items and other general commodities from the world to Afghanistan and other Central Countries through Gwadar Free Port.

If you desire to buy any plot residential or Commercial and wish to avail 1000% early returns. Than buy the plots in private scheme which are at Makran Coastal Highway and nearby Tee more to Jinnah Avenue.

Those areas which are far from Tee more and Jinnah Avenue with in Gwadar Master Plan will be developed 5 to 10 years. and those private schemes which have NOC with marking “B” will be developed 25 to 50 years. and Those which are outside Gwadar master plan have no future for the generation to come.

salam,
Please tell me,
how long it will take Gwadar to developed. And were is Coast Way Residency project?

Reply: it is in Chitti Shumali, outside Gwadar Master Plan. Watch GDA Master Plan and find the location. It is approx. 50 kilometers from Gwadar Port. 25 kilo meters from Jinnah Avenue.. required 25 to 30 years to developed.

Salman.

Dubai is risky, Gwadar is highlighted every were but gwadar development is question? How long Gwadar Developed and were to invest in Gwadar. Identify the real important place to invest in Gwadar were returns could be in 1000 times. And early returns must be important for investment…

Murad Shah Jaipuri.

Reply:
Depends on location….
Area from Tee More to Jinnah Avenue attached with Makran Coastal Highway with in 2 years development and activities you will see. Due to E.P Zone, were 40 years Tax Free, Business and Housing Schemes are developing Fast. Were the concept is not for allotting plot but to build the plot to get in early advantages of Businesses. Tee more is the high targeted place were its on left is Subzi Madi, on Back its Railway Station, and Back of Railway Station is the port area, on front its start Makran Coastal Highway and near by the N.H.A work shops this Makran Coastal Highway is the very important location for whole Commercial, and Industrial activities were development activities are under way for importers and Exporters who wish to work with China Assemble products as well as wish to spread the china product to world wide, in other hand there are importers who like to spread foods items and other general commodities from the world to Afghanistan and other Central Countries through Gwadar Free Port.

If you desire to buy any plot residential or Commercial and wish to avail 1000% early returns. Than buy the plots in private scheme which are at Makran Coastal Highway and nearby Tee more to Jinnah Avenue.

Those areas which are far from Tee more and Jinnah Avenue with in Gwadar Master Plan will be developed 5 to 10 years. and those private schemes which have NOC with marking “B” will be developed 25 to 50 years. and Those which are outside Gwadar master plan have no future for the generation to come.

Are you a dreamer? Do you have a desire to do something great with your life? Do you have unique talents and gifts that you long to share with others? If so, then take your hand right now, tap yourself on the shoulder, and shout “Tag! I’M IT!”

That’s right! You’re it! You are responsible for making those dreams happen. No one else is going to do it for you. Not your boss, your co-worker, wife, husband, father, pastor or friend. You and you alone are responsible for making your God-given dreams a reality.

Too many of us surrender our dreams to others, chance, or the direction of a passing wind. For some reason, we are trained to think that dreams just somehow happen or that they can only happen if someone takes us under their wing and guides us on to our ultimate destiny.

Yet, the bible itself is power-packed with verses that tell us that we indeed have the power and the ability to do our dreams. It holds us completely accountable for what we have been given and it reassures us that God himself is enough. He will accomplish his dream in us if we just believe.

Self-help and success books are constantly prodding us to believe this truth. Titles like “Take Control of Your Life!”,” If It’s Going to Be, It’s Up to Me!” and “The Power of Believing” are just a few of the wonderful books on the market that support us in making our dreams a reality.

Nothing is going to happen if we do not take the initiative to make it happen. Here are 3 keys you can apply today to make your own personal dreams a reality.

1) Stop whining and start working! If you find yourself whining about the fact that your dreams are just not happening or that no one is taking you under their wing and guiding you to success – stop it! Remember, the cure for “E”motion is in the word itself. Drop the “E” and you find the answer – “motion” Motion, is always the key to dealing with emotion.

2) Believe and receive! Start believing that you are capable of making your dreams a reality. If you feel small and weak, don’t worry. Your belief should not lie in your own strength but in God’s power working in you. As you believe, you will receive direction, guidance, peace and ultimately the realization of your dreams.

3) Be dynamic and different! Realize that making a decision to do your dreams automatically puts you in a minority. Like it or not, you are different! Most people live a “settle for” life but you have chosen excellence. Therefore, you can expect to receive some flak. Being dynamic in your attitude and vision helps you rise above the norm. It is the key to keeping you “up” in a “down” world.

So take control of your life and dreams today and you will be well on your way to making all of your most passionate dreams real!

Remember Fortune Knocks only once and it is knocking now!

There will be a day when all will distinguish actual heroes and zeros who have invested in Gwadar. We will find out people who had made tons of money legally from Gwadar and will find out people who have wasted their time, energy, and money in Gwadar because due to they invest outside Gwadar Master Plan.

DREAM CITY GWADAR

Prime Location in E. P. Zone – Business Opportunities – 40 Years Tax Holidays
G.D.A NOC NO: 12/IND/07/ZONE – “A” FOR N.O.C VERIFICATION : CALL G.D.A OFFICE NOW: 092-864-210953

PROJECT FEATURES : VIEW LOCATION MAP OF DREAM CITY GWADAR

WHY DREAM CITY GWADAR IS PARADISE FOR INVESTORS?

• Because its Prime Location, tax holidays, business opportunities, and future prospects.

• Best Opportunity for Investment & Residential Purpose.

• Very Small Investment with very huge Returns in future.

• Very Limited Plots are Available on Resale Basis.

• A Name of Trust Real Estate Developers.

• If you are interested get your name Registered Right Now!

• Make decision on the Spot Book your plot Click Here!

• 100% Guarantee land at Gwadar the future business hub.

• 100% Genuine buying and 100% Possession Guarantee.

• Book your Plot only through Pay order / Demand Draft no cash payment is acceptable to any booking agent world over.

• Pay order in Favor of M/s. Rajwani Associates Gwadar

• For Booking and Golden Offer call now:
  Customer Service Centers: 09221-5639793 – 7003056 – 4223380
  CELL: 092- 0300-2285165, 0300-2913686, 0321-2733653, 0300-8982400 - 0302288061
  For NOC Verification from GDA Office: CALL GDA OFFICE NOW: 092-864-210953

• PRICE AND SCHEDULE: CONTACT: Dream Marketing Network

• Important Note: There is no Authorized Booking Agent Out Side Pakistan..

• For Booking and Golden Offer call now:
  Customer Service Centers: 09221-5639793 – 7003056 – 4223380
  CELL: 092- 0300-2285165, 0300-2913686, 0321-2733653, 0300-8982400 - 0302288061
  For NOC Verification from GDA Office: CALL GDA OFFICE NOW: 092-864-210953

Before investment in any investment scheme in Gwadar you must follow the following guidelines:

Find the NOC number issued by the Gwadar Development Authority at the official G.D.A. website: http://gda.gov.pk/pages/gdaoffers.html to verify the N.O.C. number.

However, be vigilant to watch for N.O.C. numbers marked with “B”, as they represent building schemes outside the recognised GDA Master Plan and these private schemes have no realistic completion dates before 2020 at the earliest. The G.D.A has an undertaking from external (B) schemes that external (3rd party contractors) are responsible for the development of their own infrastructure including roads, sewerage, electricity and water supply.

It is up to you to decided that you are buying a plot for your grandchildren or for you.

What is the importance of such NOC which GDA issued with marking (B) ? And why GDA is issuing NOC Outside Gwadar Master Plan? Why GDA is not cleared that such investment of the common people arround the world wil be blocked for 20 to 25 years. What is the interest of GDA for issuing NOC outside GDA Master Plan?

Reply:
We don’t know. Ask GDA in this regards, How ever we think that may be the policy of GDA as under:
1. The land all around Gwadar is not owned by Government of Pakistan. Its belongs to the local balouch people. May be GDA Management thought to take in umbrella as much land as they can through private housing scheme projects through giving NOC.

2. As there is no owned land of GDA and through only NOC of Gwadar Private Scheme Housing they get
the ownership with capturing Parks, Roads, and 2% reservation for GDA in all schemes as well as all public building with in Housing Scheme.

3. What we think that the scheme owners will be under GDA Byelaws 2004. Must given under taking that if they fail to full fill the development work. GDA will take over the Project. While the private Owners think in NOC marked (B) that they get maximum returns from the easy installment which will be received from the allottee and then left the scheme or give and encourage the GDA to take over the scheme. While GDA at such movement take over the scheme and ask the allottee to pay more for completing the project in the area of NOC marked with (B). And all the burden of External Development will be automatic transfer with the interference of GDA with taking over the project. As well as this will be the time when private owners housing scheme in NOC (B) backup and get away without fulfillment of the commitment. And this will be the time to start Suffering by the all allottees who had paid complete installment to the private housing scheme which are marked NOC (B).

And at that movement the allottees approach to GDA for completing the project of NOC Marked (B) and the GDA after collecting handsome amount from the allottees of Marked (B) will take over. All this will be happend after 20 to 25 years and during the period the allottee of NOC Marked (B) suffered allot.

Through this the GDA will be the owner of the Scheme without any investment, (only issueing a letter of NOC with marking B.) And after completing the development work with in GDA Master Plan they think they will expend the Development after 25 years.

So, Once again we suggest the investors to be careful and invest in only projects which are within Gwadar Master Plan to get maximum early returns and maximum security of the GDA.

God knows the best.

Gwadar Investments: Understand Gwadar Master Plan

Remember Fortune Knocks only once and it is knocking now…

About Gwadar:
Too many people know plenty about Gwadar and too many are not even familiar with this word.

Why Gwadar?:
Why not Khuzdar? Why not Zhob? Why not Sukkur? Why not K.T Bandar? Why not existing well developed city like Karachi? Why Gwadar?

Top City: The Futuristic City of Pakistan. Located at the entrance of the Persian Gulf and about 460 kms from Karachi, Gwadar has had immense Geostrategic significance on many accounts. Gwadar is now destined to be the most important upcoming coastal town located on the inter junction of the three most strategically and economically important regions of the world.

The well planned master plan consists of Five Star Hotel, High Rise Luxury Apartments, Schools, Colleges, Play Grounds, Tennis Courts, and Horse riding Club, Post office, ample green areas and all the state of the art civic facilities. Development work is in Progress and the price will be doubled during next few weeks. Gwadar will have all local and international banks, offshore banking will be started, factories, warehouses and storage, fast food chains and tourism industry will be promoted in the area. Beside this an export processing zone will be set up, making Pakistan a very attractive place for direct foreign investment, and Gwadar port a regional hub of trade and investment activities.

As of right now Gwadar is a great deal of importance for many developed and developing countries for example China, almost all the Central Asian Republics (CARs), European Countries and for other neighboring countries. Reasons for which Gwadar holds a key role for above nations are as follows;

China:

Today, China’s 60% economy is dependent on imported oil which is transported through this energy corridor.
Xinjiang, China’s dry port to Pakistan is only 2250kms from Gwadar port while, Shinghai port is 16,000kms from Xinjiang.

Central Asian Republics (CARs):

Almost all the CARs are landlocked areas, meaning they have no access to import from or export to rest of the world. Gwadar is the closest and most efficient gateway to all these CARs. Moreover, Tajikistan has world’s highest oil reserves which will be transported through Gwadar port.

European Countries:

European countries will have cheaper goods from many areas which never had a chance to transport their goods through an efficient route.

This article is an ongoing topic. Every day I get to hear some kind of news about Gwadar. There will be a day when all will distinguish actual heroes and zeros who have invested in Gwadar. We will find out people who had made tons of money legally from Gwadar and will find out people who have wasted their time, energy, and money in Gwadar.

Today also, when usually people get scared when they hear a deal about Gwadar, there are people who are willing to explore Pakistan’s dream city and invest in it safely.

Middle East:
Gwadar because of its geo-strategic location had the potential to become a regional maritime hub.

Oman has offered $ 100 million aid for the development infrastructure facilities in Gwadar. Out of this, Oman has provided $7 million for extension of runway at Gwadar Airport, construction of Jetties, up gradation of Gwadar Hospital, provision of 100 engines to fishermen and construction of powerhouses. Beside this Oman is also financing construction of Gwadar-Hoshab Road, water supply scheme in Gwadar area and construction of irrigation dams.

Today that project, with the help of People’s Republic of China, and Gwadar’s 600 km long coast line has put Gwadar’s importance at the top and people with a futuristic approach can see it developing into one of the most modern and beautiful port in the world. Contact For more details Remember Fortune Knocks only once and it is knocking now.

Gwadar Port would emerge as the national gateway to and from Pakistan and a major transhipment Port of the region catering to the needs of Pakistan and Central Asian States. 14.5 meter deep draft of Gwadar Port would be able to attract up to fifth generation ships including Panamax and mother vessels. In addition to the location of Gwadar and the depth of the channel, low operations cost will provide competitive advantage to the Gwadar Port, he added.

With the completion of Gwadar Port the government had fulfilled another commitment with the people of Balochistan. The operations of Gwadar Port would usher in a new era of development and prosperity for the people of Balochistan as it would generate economic activity and a significant number of jobs will be created.

Free zones which will be set up along the port will contribute to harnessing of Balochistan”s potential in natural resources and development of heavy and large scale industries, petrochemicals and manufacturing.

The deep-sea Gwadar Port will emerge as a central energy port in the region.

Gwadar port will become an important and strategic storage destination because it is located near the world”s largest hydro-carbon resources. With the passage of time the port will help improve the living conditions of the people of Balochistan. It will also increase job opportunities in the area.

Gwadar will become an attractive destination for cargo traffic as it will provide better facilities to larger vessels.

The cost of doing business in Gwadar would be less than in Dubai while it had all prospects to become a support centre for Dubai.

Read more about Gwadar or Mega Gwadar Deep Sea Project.

PLAN TO INVEST IN GWADAR?

Why do people care so much about the area where their property is situated?
Well, consider this: the one thing you will never be able to alter about your estate is its actual geographical location because that’s the only thing unalterable about it. It would indeed be an intelligent move to bargain for a better locale rather than cheaper cost since location is of prime importance. The viability, practical use and total worth ultimately depend on this single most important aspect. The worth of estates in the neighborhood, availability of goods and services, land use pattern in and around your property, transport and communication facilities and how in-your-face the entire package are all inextricably linked to the area where it is situated.

DREAM CITY GWADAR
40 Years Tax Holidays – Prime Location – Business Opportunities
G.D.A NOC NO: 12/IND/07/ZONE – “A”
FOR N.O.C VERIFICATION : CALL G.D.A OFFICE NOW: 092-864-210953

• Affordable price.

• Easy payment schedule of installments.

• Each Flats unit has 2-bed rooms with attached wash rooms.
  Each bungalows has 3 bed rooms with attached wash rooms.

• Excellent approach from Jinnah Avenue/Airport Road.

• Situated in the unpolluted natural scenery.

• The project is Very close proximity of Sea view, Sea Port, Airport, Central Park, Foreign Institute Area, Boating Club, Ferry Service, Sports and Cultural Complex, Subzi Mandi and Railway Station.

• 24-hour security system.

• Each unit is equipped with intercom.

• Round-the-clock maintenance service.

• Availability of car porch.

• Garbage collector.

• Mini market at the start of street

COMMERCIAL:

• Affordable price.
• Easy payment schedule of installments.
• Excellent approach from Jinnah Avenue/Airport Road.
• Available 120sqyds Whole Sale Show Room Ware Houses for Importers and Exporters.
• The project is Very close proximity of Sea view, Sea Port, Airport, Central Park, Foreign Institute Area, Boating Club, Ferry Service, Sports and Cultural Complex, Subzi Mandi and Railway Station.
• Round-the-clock maintenance service.
• Garbage collector.

PRICE AND SCHEDULE:
Contact your nearest Area, City, Country Booking Agents or

CONTACT:

Importance of Location in Gwadar – Where to invest:

The most important factor in buying a property is its location and when it comes to Gwadar, this factor is of utmost importance; just buying property in Gwadar is of no use unless it is on prime location in order to add value to your investment. Like other places Gwadar also has its peak and off peak locations, therefore it is advised to keep the following few points in mind while purchasing land in Gwadar.

Therefore, in order to get maximum profit of your investment, only buy the property in area which is attached or near the Makran Costal Highway and the residential area attached to it.

PLEASE NOTE:
*** Indicates shows Zone “B” Area as well as out side the area of G.D.A Master Plan. Therefore Development work will be not done by the GDA. The Area indicate*** have no future before 20 to 25 years, there for the land/plots price available in the market is very low. And its are very long term unsecured investment. How ever the area indicated in GDA Master Plan are available in high price because it will be almost complete within three years or before/on year 2010. And its short term secured investment due to G.D.A Backups.

xxx indicates means very high level desert area and almost under wind storm and difficult to maintain demarcation due to land is not leveled. While ### means no way to visit the site without 4 powerful four wheels as there is no roads available for drive only high level sands and desert snakes..

Mater Plan help you to invest in gwadar location. And to know your investment is safe or you are investing in such location which have no future before 20 to 25 years. And unsecure.

GWADAR MASTER PLAN ZONE A

PLEASE NOTE:
*** Indicates shows Zone “B” Area as well as out side the area of G.D.A Master Plan. Therefore Development work will be not done by the GDA. The Area indicate*** have no future before 20 to 25 years, there for the land/plots price available in the market is very low. And its are very long term unsecured investment. How ever the area indicated in GDA Master Plan are available in high price because it will be almost complete within three years or before/on year 2010. And its short term secured investment due to G.D.A Backups.

xxx indicates means very high level desert area and almost under wind storm and difficult to maintain demarcation due to land is not leveled. While ### means no way to visit the site without 4 powerful four wheels as there is no roads available for drive only high level sands and desert snakes..

Futuristic Real Estate Business Group:
Futuristic Investment Group offer customers with fantastic choices and affordable prices. On the other hand if you are looking for an investment opportunity with a guaranteed increase of value in the next few years, we can offer the best! valuable plots of all sizes, with panoramic view in Gwadar Karachi Lahore Islamabad.
We understand that all our clients are capable enough to take the right decision and would always know what they want, but we can still come up with some suggestions which may help you a great deal in the future…