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SciCast - Crowdsourcing future development in science and technology

Today’s guest blog post is written by Alan I. Leshner, CEO, American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).

If crowdsourcing can raise money for research worldwide, why can’t it raise questions and predict probabilities of future developments in science and technology? 152 more words

Anthro In The Media

The Hedgehog and the Fox Redux

Many fund managers will be aware of Philip Tetlock’s book “Expert Political Judgment” published in 2005. In the book, Tetlock analyzes forecasts collected from 284 experts over twenty years. 534 more words

Expert Forecasts

Challenges In Global Affairs

Eighteen months ago I posted What 2013 Has In Store, and looking back at that single paragraph it seems pretty prescient in terms of the issues I outlined. 526 more words