John McCain continues to improve on intrade As the chart shows, McCain price is still improving, albiet at a slower rate. Even a conservative estimate would put McCain’s chances of winning at a… more →
The Political Tipsterfridaymoney wrote 1 month ago: The word of the day is arbitrage. Arbitrage can be loosely defined as, “Taking advantage of market … more →
insert foot here wrote 3 months ago: Time magazine is reporting that Treasury Secretary di jour, Timmy (Geithner) may have lied about mo … more →
enzofabioarcangeli wrote 4 months ago: http://grapes-of-wrath.ilcannocchiale.it/post/2189528.html We have this blogpost IN ITALIAN, where w … more →
Al wrote 4 months ago: Fascinating analysis. Ever hear of Intrade.com? If not, you should go check it out. It’s a … more →
Bernie Latham wrote 4 months ago: Intrade graph on Jindal for President before and after his speech Nate Silver … more →
fiscons wrote 6 months ago: If you don’t know about Intrade.com, the premier online futures trading market, you are, quite … more →
Bryan Jacobs wrote 7 months ago: Terrence Tao has a great blog entry about the mathematics of polling. One thing he points out, whic … more →
jacob1207 wrote 7 months ago: The Majlis, Iran’s 290-seat parliament, has impeached the country’s Interior Minister, A … more →
razma766 wrote 8 months ago: Kurt Bouwhuis, Mackinac Center Intern This clip demonstrates that perhaps a crowd of “une … more →
Swan wrote 8 months ago: Web2.0 is all about contributions from end-users aka. The wisdom of the Crowds. Prediction Markets … more →
The Liberal Crab wrote 8 months ago: For those not familiar, there is a website (actually a few of them) that is a cross between the stoc … more →
underdogtheorem wrote 8 months ago: Would more United States citizens participate in the political process if it were legal for them to … more →
ReyMac wrote 8 months ago: As the presidential campaign nears its conclusion, I have to do what Chris Rock said my job is: Ke … more →
Jon Taplin wrote 8 months ago: In his book, The Wisdom of Crowds , James Surowiecki writes that betting markets, where gamblers ar … more →
jacob1207 wrote 8 months ago: MSNBC reports that the contest to pass or defeat California’s Proposition 8 is the second most … more →
jacob1207 wrote 8 months ago: Arizona has a good flag. But don't worry, I'm sure there'll be news from a state with a … more →
Daniel wrote 8 months ago: I discovered a website just a few minutes ago, http://www.intrade.com/, which allows people to … more →
patrioticwomenspeak wrote 8 months ago: http://www.intrade.com/ … more →
Andy D. wrote 8 months ago: Seal released a timely new video cover of the 60’s civil rights theme of Sam Cooke’s … more →