Keys: Showers possible, though elevated, at leading edge of warm advection. With very dry layer below, consider possibility of evap cooling leading to frozen precip at the sfc…check wet-bulb te… more →
AFD Logwrote 1 year ago: Keys: Showers possible, though elevated, at leading edge of warm advection. With very dry layer bel … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Wk warm air adv in advance of approaching trough keeps lows warmer Saturday night. Initial w … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Sfc low moving under deepening upper trough leads to rapid cyclogenesis. 925mb winds give cl … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Light winds without potential to mix down (anyway) so consider fog potential. Don’t forg … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Note elevated CAPE is untapped due to lack of large scale forcing and high “base” … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Dependence of temps on cloud cover. Remember to evaluate for baroclinicity aloft. Certainty in … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Midlevel drying/warming will allow fair wx cu, but not more. Note approaching shortwave bring … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Weak shortwave/MCV may result from MCS. Keep an eye on moisture convergence plus forcing mecha … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: WAA aloft can lead to increase in cloud cover. Remember that frontogenesis can be indicated si … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Advection is a factor in cloud cover forecast. Consider shear as a factor in determining threa … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Never forget to check isentropic lift/WAA to diagnose prcp. Wind profilers can be used to asse … more →
wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Midlevel cooling + dynamic lift may help initiate convection. When evaluating convective threa … more →