Blogs about: Isentropic Lift

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7 November Afternoon

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Showers possible, though elevated, at leading edge of warm advection.  With very dry layer bel … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, 925mb temps, PWAT, warm fropa, upper level divergence, negative tilt, differential pva

21 October Afternoon

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys:  Wk warm air adv in advance of approaching trough keeps lows warmer Saturday night.  Initial w … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, 925mb temps, LLJ, elevated convection, q-vectors, lake effect, frost

19 October Morning

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys:  Sfc low moving under deepening upper trough leads to rapid cyclogenesis.  925mb winds give cl … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, 925mb temps, thickness, forecast soundings, q-vector convergence, 925mb winds, wind advisory, cyclogenesis

3 October Afternoon

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Light winds without potential to mix down (anyway) so consider fog potential. Don’t forg … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, 925mb temps, Mixing, q-vector convergence, fog, Blocking, onshore winds

24 July Afternoon

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys:  Note elevated CAPE is untapped due to lack of large scale forcing and high “base” … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, 925mb temps, LLJ, cold fropa, baroclinic zone, elevated convection, consensus, forecast soundings

22 July Morning

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Dependence of temps on cloud cover. Remember to evaluate for baroclinicity aloft. Certainty in … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, LLJ, cold fropa, baroclinic zone, elevated convection, deep layer shear, Shortwave

13 July Morning

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Midlevel drying/warming will allow fair wx cu, but not more.  Note approaching shortwave bring … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, midlevel drying, LLJ, corfidi vectors, CAP, baroclinic zone, PWAT

25 June Morning

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Weak shortwave/MCV may result from MCS. Keep an eye on moisture convergence plus forcing mecha … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, LLJ, baroclinic zone, fog, MCS

16 June Afternoon

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys: WAA aloft can lead to increase in cloud cover. Remember that frontogenesis can be indicated si … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, baroclinic zone, elevated convection, Shortwave, frontogenesis, cloud forecast, MCS

16 June Morning

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Advection is a factor in cloud cover forecast. Consider shear as a factor in determining threa … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, LLJ, baroclinic zone, deep layer shear, Shortwave, mlcape, warm sector

Morning

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Never forget to check isentropic lift/WAA to diagnose prcp. Wind profilers can be used to asse … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, LLJ, CAP, baroclinic zone, mucape, PWAT, Heat Index

Morning

afdlog wrote 1 year ago: Keys: Midlevel cooling + dynamic lift may help initiate convection. When evaluating convective threa … more →

Tags: Discussions, mkx, waa, cold fropa, CAP, baroclinic zone, dynamic lift, 0-6km shear, mucape


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