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“It is much easier after the event to sort the relevant from the irrelevant signals. After the event, of course, a signal is always crystal clear; we can now see what disaster it was signaling, since the disaster has occurred.
Tags » Nate Silver
Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don’t
by Nate Silver
Some days we are capable of convincing ourselves of the wisdom of very stupid ideas.
I was reading an insightful book the other day called… 311 more words