Tags » Nate Silver

A Timberwolves title in the next 5 years? Chances look bleak

The Timberwolves are off to another painful start to a season. At 5-19, the hopes of a young Wolves team making a playoff run seem to have already faded. 210 more words


The Political Positions of Obama

This was one of my favorite fivethirtyeight entries, an assessment of the political positons of President-Elect Barack Obama.

The chart was surprisingly hard to find, as it’s no longer included in the fivethirtyeight archive. 477 more words


'Louisiana nail biter': Nate Silver predicts Bill Cassidy a 99.8 percent favorite in runoff

We didn’t think we’d sleep tonight in anticipation of tomorrow’s crucial runoff election in Louisiana between Rep. Bill Cassidy and incumbent Sen. Mary Landrieu, but we’ve been calmed by the latest statistical analysis from FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver, who names Cassidy a 99.8 percent favorite in the race. 236 more words

US Politics

Predictably perhaps, Minnesota weather ranks among the least predictable

How predictable are U.S. temperatures? http://t.co/N54XmDf1vy pic.twitter.com/D7BD3ki3KM

— FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) December 5, 2014

Those of us who live here might have forecast this. But when a well-known number cruncher sat down to calculate where America’s most unpredictable weather is found, Minnesota and some of neighbors ranked near the top of the list.

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In this age of data mining, collecting and breaches, it’s easy to get paranoid. Yes, the amount of data that’s being culled and collating is unprecedented. 74 more words


Five Thirty Eight: Texans Win Over Bengals Would Boost Playoff Odds 50 Percent

Not only does a Houston Texans win on Sunday give them a nudge in the AFC standings, it also significantly boosts their chances of making the NFL playoffs. 341 more words


The dimensions of the Rauner victory: historic and convincing

From Matt Custardo, his North Shore campaign field manager:

Historic: It was “the first time the president’s governor lost a re-election since 1892.”

Rauner “won by 5% in a state President Obama won by 25% — a 30 point swing.” 120 more words

Blithe Spirit