Blogs about: Predictive Modeling 2
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Forecast Friday Topic: Evaluation of Forecasts
(Last in the series) We have finally come to the end of our almost year-long Forecast Friday journey. During this period, we have discussed various forecasting methods, including regression analysis,… more →
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Forecast Friday Topic: Evaluation of Forecasts
wrote 2 years ago: (Last in the series) We have finally come to the end of our almost year-long Forecast Friday journey … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Does Combining Forecasts Work?
wrote 2 years ago: (Forty-second in a series) Last week, we discussed three approaches to combining forecasts: a simple … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Procedures for Combining Forecasts
wrote 2 years ago: (Forty-first in a series) We have gone through a series of different forecasting approaches over the … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Judgmental Bias in Forecasting
wrote 2 years ago: (Fortieth in a series) Over the last several weeks, we have discussed many of the qualitative foreca … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Other Judgmental Forecasting Methods
wrote 2 years ago: (Thirty-ninth in a series) Over the last several weeks, we discussed a series of different non-quant … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: The Delphi Method
wrote 2 years ago: (Thirty-eighth in a series) Last week we discussed the role of expert judgment in making forecasts. … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Expert Judgment
wrote 2 years ago: (Thirty-seventh in a series) Last week, we began our discussion of judgmental forecasting methods, t … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Judgmental Extrapolation
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wrote 2 years ago: (Thirty-sixth in a series) The forecasting methods we have discussed since the start of the Forecast … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Stationarity in Time Series Data
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wrote 2 years ago: (Thirty-fifth in a series) In last week’s Forecast Friday post, we began our coverage of ARIMA … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: The Autocorrelation Function
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wrote 2 years ago: (Thirty-fourth in a series) Today, we begin a six-week discussion on the use of Autoregressive Integ … more →
Don’t Ignore Business Rules When Building Predictive Models
wrote 2 years ago: The development of predictive models does not occur in a vacuum. The model-building process requires … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Calendar Effects in Forecasting
wrote 2 years ago: (Thirty-third in a series) It is a common practice to compare a particular point in time to its equi … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Leading Indicators and Surveys of Expectations
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wrote 2 years ago: (Thirty-second in a series) Most of the forecasting methods we have discussed so far deal with gener … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Two-Stage Least Squares
wrote 2 years ago: (Thirty-first in a series) In the last two Forecast Friday posts, we set up the discussion of how to … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: Structural and Reduced Forms
wrote 2 years ago: (Thirtieth in a series) Last week, we discussed the identification problem – a common occurrence in … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: The Identification Problem
wrote 2 years ago: (Twenty-ninth in a series) When we work with regression analysis, it is assumed that outside factors … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: The Logistic Regression Model
wrote 2 years ago: (Twenty-eighth in a series) Sometimes analysts need to forecast the likelihood of discrete outcomes: … more →
Forecast Friday Topic: The Linear Probability Model
wrote 2 years ago: (Twenty-seventh in a series) Up to now, we have talked about how to build regression models with con … more →
Read All About It: Why Newspapers Need Marketing Analytics
wrote 2 years ago: After nearly 20 years, I decided to let my subscription to the Wall Street Journal lapse. A few mont … more →
