May soybeans finished up 16½ at 1411½, 5½ off the high & 22½ up from the low. July soybeans closed up 19¼ at 1375¼. This was 24¾ up from the low & 2½ off the high. May soymeal closed up 8 at 401.3. This was 9.3 up from the low & 2.4 off the high. May soybean oil finished up 0.8 at 48.98, 0.13 off the high & 0.98 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 17-4

May soybeans finished down 18 at 1395, 24¾ off the high & 1¼ up from the low. July soybeans closed down 23¼ at 1356. This was 1½ up from the low & 24¼ off the high. May soymeal closed down 6.9 at 393.3. This was 1.0 up from the low & 8.7 off the high. May soybean oil finished down 1.05 at 48.18, 1.16 off the high & 0.09 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 16-4

Economic News
1Q13 GDP -1.4% QoQ versus expected +1.7%
1Q13 GDP -0.6% YoY versus expected 0%
Feb Retail Sales ex auto +10% YoY versus expected +4%
Feb Retail Sales -2.7% YoY versus expected -3.5%

IRS

The monetary policy statement came and went and USD/SGD again in an amazingly tight range of 1.2350  – 1.2427. The 6M SOR held steady between 0.38242 -0.41119.

No moving SGD rates in a quiet week of trading, the only tenors of interest are the 3-5Y which came under selling out of local banks, yet again, against the steepener pay flows on supposed hedge fund activity. Volumes relatively light without much challenge to the mid week selling activity and market died down to a hush in the past 2 days with the gold rout.

Another week and yet another can of worms. Tying in with the MPS, rates should continue in free fall mode except that there are no bids to catch be it for a lack of trading interest or traders. Considering that most of the rates are now at support levels before the next break down to last year’s historical lows, it should that the USD/SGD and SGD fwds to dictate the next move. Suggest small paids in the short end to hedge event risks, the other tenors are not going anywhere for now.

SGS

Bonds rallied hard the week before on BoJ and said nothing to the MAS MPS.

Slow markets without much activity on the week with small profit taking selling along the way. With yields treading near their historic lows, the only bonds left with some meat would be the 20Y and 30Y, at 2.14% and  2.56% (historic low 1.91% and 2.25%).

A trader likened it to squeezing water out of stone. After the bull flattening over the past 2 weeks with yields down 7 to 26 bp, the market is heading to take a breather for the time being.

Corporates

CWT 6Y 3.9% SGD 100 mio SOR +290 bp. ~ swap neutral
HPL 7Y 3.9% SGD 50 mio SOR +265 bp. ~ swap neutral

Related articles

• What A Safe Monetary Policy Statement ! (tradehaven.me)

May soybeans finished up 11 at 1413, 6 off the high & 13½ up from the low. July Soybeans closed up 11 at 1379¼. This was 14 up from the low & 4½ off the high. May soymeal closed up 5.2 at 400.2. This was 5.8 up from the low & 3.1 off the high. May soybean oil finished down 0.54 at 49.23, 0.77 off the high & 0.23 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 15-4

Established in 1878, SGS transformed grain trading in Europe by offering innovative agricultural inspection services. The Company was registered in Geneva as Société Générale de Surveillance in 1919. Shares were first listed on (SWX) Swiss Exchange in 1985. Since 2001, SGS have only one class of shares consisting of registered shares.

The current structure of our company, consisting of ten business segments operating across ten geographical regions, was formed in 2001. From their beginnings in 1878 as a grain inspection house, SGS have steadily grown into the industry leader. SGS have done this through continual improvement and innovation and through supporting our customers’ operations by reducing risk and improving productivity.

SGS IN BRIEF

Wherever you are in the world, in whatever industry, you can rely on the SGS international teams of experts to provide you with specialized business solutions to make your business faster, simpler and more efficient.

SGS partner with you to offer independent services that will help you reduce risk, streamline your processes and operate in a more sustainable manner.

SGS GROUP PROFILE

SGS is the world’s leading inspection, verification, testing and certification company. SGS are recognized as the global benchmark for quality and integrity. With more than 75,000 employees, we operate a network of more than 1,500 offices and laboratories around the world.

SGS core services can be divided into four categories:
1. Inspection: comprehensive range of world-leading inspection and verification services, such as checking the condition and weight of traded goods at transshipment, help you to control quantity and quality, and meet all relevant regulatory requirements across different regions and markets

2. Testing: global network of testing facilities, staffed by knowledgeable and experienced personnel, enable you to reduce risks, shorten time to market and test the quality, safety and performance of your products against relevant health, safety and regulatory standards

3. Certification: enable you to demonstrate that your products, processes, systems or services are compliant with either national or international standards and regulations or customer defined standards, through certification

4. Verification: ensure that products and services comply with global standards and local regulations. Combining global coverage with local knowledge, unrivalled experience and expertise in virtually every industry, SGS covers the entire supply chain from raw materials to final consumption.

SGS are constantly looking beyond customers’ and society’s expectations in order to deliver market leading services wherever they are needed. As the leader in providing specialized business solutions that improve quality, safety and productivity and reduce risk, SGS help customers navigate an increasingly regulated world. SGS independent services add significant value to customers’ operations and ensure business sustainability.
As well as delivering services that promote sustainable development, SGS values also show a commitment to corporate sustainability.

For them, sustainability is about managing a long-term profitable business while taking into account all the positive and negative environmental, social and economic effects we have on society.

SGS VISION

SGS aim to be the most competitive and the most productive service organization in the world. Their core competencies in inspection, verification, testing and certification are being continuously improved to be best-in-class. They are at the heart of what SGS are. Their chosen markets will be solely determined by their ability to be the most competitive and to consistently deliver unequalled service to our customers all over the world.

SGS VALUES

SGS seek to be epitomized by passion, integrity, entrepreneurialism and innovative spirit, as they continually strive to fulfill their vision. These values guide SGS in all that they do and are the bedrock upon which the organization is built.
SGS (UK) Ltd
Unit 73 Kelleythorpe Industrial Estate, Kellythorpe, Driffield, North Humberside, YO25 9DJ
Tel: 01377 272602
Web: www.sgs.com

Posted using Tinydesk Writer iPhone app

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Want to feel what gestures can do? Here’s an application which will let you turn off/on your screen just with a swipe!! Swipe your hand over the proximity sensor (Located near the earpiece on top of the phone).

Features:
• Support for tablets with Light Sensor only (Make sure you set sensor sensitivity to low).
• Tasker integration with quick service start/stop toggle
• Pocket/Flip or Smart Cover Mode: Turns screen OFF when sensor covered and ON when uncovered. (Feature requested by Galaxy Note users)
• Swipe to Screen Off: Turn OFF the screen by sliding your hand
• Turn Screen On/Off with following gestures:
1) Swipe Once,
2) Swipe Twice,
3) Swipe and Hold,
4) Hold and Swipe and
5) Cover and Hold
• Ignore Apps list: Add the apps/games where you want to disable the service
• Widget: to start and stop the service
• ScreenOff shortcut: to turn off the screen by launching the app.
• Sensor Configuration : Based on your device select the sensor of your choice, or the one that’s available and configure their values, as they are different for different devices.
• Enable screen on/off during calls only
• Disable call handling completely
• Battery Saving options:
1) Option to De-Activate sensors after timeout
2) Option to De-Activate sensors if power button is pressed or phone goes idle
• Override power button and screen-on by other apps (Phone is in pocket and you get a call or you accidentally press the power button, screen will remain off)
• Prevent accidental screen on
• Disable accidental lock – in Swipe to Screen Off mode if the sensor is covered for longer than specified duration screen wont turn off
• Vibration on screen On/Off

Download

ScreenShots:

Download

May soybeans finished up 9¼ at 1402, 4¼ off the high & 19½ up from the low. July soybeans closed up ¾ at 1368¼. This was 13 up from the low & 7½ off the high. May soymeal closed up 2.1 at 395.0. This was 5.2 up from the low & 4.1 off the high. May soybean oil finished down 0.26 at 49.77, 0.38 off the high & 0.1 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 12-4

May soybeans finished down 2¾ at 1392¾, 17 off the high & 7¼ up from the low. July soybeans closed down 3¾ at 1367½. This was 8¼ up from the low & 14½ off the high. May soymeal closed down 1.9 at 392.9. This was 2.4 up from the low & 8.0 off the high. May soybean oil finished up 0.05 at 50.03, 0.2 off the high & 0.42 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 11-4

Rana Rizwan Hussain

Role of judiciary in a country is of significant importance to set an environment for international arbitration. Pakistan is one of the countries which are known for their unfriendliness towards international arbitration. Although international and domestic arbitrations are governed under different law regimes but a friendly domestic arbitration practice serves as good base for international arbitration to grow in that country. Out of several elements constituting to an arbitration friendly environment, eg developed arbitration law regime, developed arbitration institutions and training facilities for law professionals in arbitration etc, the role of judiciary stands paramount.

Pakistan faced a great deal of criticism due to HUBCO v WAPDA[1] and SGS v Pakistan[2] cases in which Pakistani courts played a role against the expectations of international arbitral community and passed anti arbitration injunctions. Pakistan also became the attention of international arbitration community in a case Dallah v Pakistan [2010] 3 WLR 1472 in which Pakistan is accused of causing delay in arbitration proceedings due to its unwillingness to arbitrate the matter. The said matter was disposed off by the ICC tribunal in Paris in almost eight years. Although, this matter was also taken up in Pakistani courts but no anti arbitration injunctions were issued in it. In the first two cases Pakistani courts are said to have breached the international arbitration law regime by intervening into the arbitral process by accepting the jurisdiction upon the matters where exclusive jurisdiction should have been allowed to the arbitral tribunals.

Certainly, these cases should have been better addressed by the courts but contrarily what has been ignored so far is to analyse the overall judicial stand of Pakistani courts and judge the element of judicial bias in the light of overall court practice. A quick perusal of court decisions of Pakistan shows that majority decisions uphold the arbitration agreement and refuse the court jurisdiction in favour of arbitration proceedings. In case titled as Metropolitan Steel Corporation Ltd v Macsteel International UK Ltd PLD 2006 KAR 664,  suit for recovery of money was filed by plaintiff against which defendant raised the objection that there was an arbitration agreement between the parties to refer all the disputes to arbitration and thus requested the court to refer the matter to arbitration. Plaintiff denied the contention and said that there was no agreement between the parties. Court looked into the detail and found that parties had agreed upon arbitration in the correspondence between them. Court stayed the proceedings of the suit in favour of arbitration and gave finding that the arbitration agreement could also be inferred from the correspondence between the parties and directed the parties to resort to terms of sale contract for the settlement of dispute. In another case titled as Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines v Hassan Ali & Co Cotton (Pvt) Limited CLD 2006 KAR 153 Sindh High Court Karachi acting as the executing court of a foreign award gave finding that court while considering the enforcement of foreign awards merely acts as an executing court and while doing so it cannot go behind the award and sit as an appellate court and make appraisal of evidence. In the same line there are number of other precedents which uphold the arbitration agreements and enforce the foreign awards.[3]

Before giving an analytical view about the judicial bias in Pakistani courts, there is a need to draw a clear distinction between the element of ‘lack of judicial independence’ and ‘judicial bias’:

The purpose of drawing distinction between both the elements is to draw attention to the fact that the effect of lack of judicial independence in the court decisions should not be mixed with the effect of judicial bias.

Supreme Court of Pakistan fought its battle of independence (known as the “lawyers’ movement”) against the establishment in the era of 2007-2009. The HUBCO and SGS cases were decided in between the years 2000-2002. A common element in both the cases was that in these cases, state or the state interest was directly involved. Hence, the element of influence upon the judiciary cannot be overlooked. While, the element of judicial bias can be rebutted in the light of majority judgments referred above and the receptivity of legal system towards ADRs including arbitration. There are enactments in Pakistan eg Co-operative Societies Act, 1925 and Electricity Act 1910 which specifically contain the provisions which allow the parties to resolve their disputes through arbitration. Pakistan Law Commission which works for development of law and justice in Pakistan consists of Chief Justices and senior judges of superior courts along with other law personalities, has approved various draft statutes, such as the Small Claims and Minor Offences Courts Ordinance, which recognize the ADR mechanism. This receptivity of top judicial body towards arbitration system negates the existence of element of bias for arbitration in the mindset of judiciary.

Irrespective of the discussion above HUBCO and SGS cases can also be considered as the exceptions to general practice which can take place even in the reputed arbitration friendly jurisdictions. As Dallah v Pakistan is one of the most recent examples, in which English court refused to enforce the award rendered by the French tribunal and based its refusal upon section 103(2)(b) of English Arbitration Act, 1996 which reflects article V(I)(a) of the New York Convention according to which recognition and enforcement of award may be refused at the request of the party if the arbitration agreement between the parties was not valid under the law to which the parties have subjected it to or failing any indication thereon, under the law of the country where the award was made. In Dallah case there was no express agreement upon the choice of law applicable upon the arbitration agreement, hence the tribunal should have decided the validity of arbitration agreement under the French law. While, the tribunal decided the validity of arbitration agreement under the principles of international law, which was rejected by the English court at enforcement stage. Although, the awards could be enforced at Dallah’s plea before the enforcing court that the principles of international law constitute to the part of French law, as the French law promotes the approach that arbitration agreements are governed under the transnational principles of law. This example brings forth that exceptions to the general practice can also take place in reputed arbitration friendly jurisdictions. Although Pakistan has failed to develop a friendly image in the field of international arbitration but the responsibility of it is not upon the mindset of judiciary but upon other factors.

Supreme Court of Pakistan after being successful in its battle for the sake of rule of law has passed several bold decisions at national level without accepting any pressure or influence of any other body, which is admirable. January 2010 decision of declaring National Reconciliation Ordinance, 2007 void ab intio and non est which was aimed at providing unlawful relief to the political elite of the country is an example. In this sequence, if a matter relating to international arbitration comes to be dealt by the court, the best expectations are that the court would follow its independent approach and the decision passed would be reasoned and free from the effect of either of the elements discussed above.

May soybeans finished up 17½ at 1395½, 1½ off the high & 20 up from the low. July soybeans closed up 13¼ at 1371¼. This was 17¾ up from the low & 1¼ off the high. May soymeal closed up 1.5 at 394.8. This was 3.4 up from the low & 2.5 off the high. May soybean oil finished up 0.46 at 49.98, 0.07 off the high & 0.61 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 10-4

May soybeans finished down 10¼ at 1361¾, 11¾ off the high & 7¼ up from the low. July soybeans closed -8 at 1343¾. This was 7¼ up from the low & 9¼ off the high. May soymeal closed down 5.3 at 391.8. This was 1.5 up from the low & 5.8 off the high. May soybean oil finished up 0.28 at 48.83, 0.15 off the high & 0.53 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 9-4

Economic News
None till 12 April

IRS

USD/SGD barely budged on the week, compared to the movements in the JPY driving the NEER to 145 bp. This is not a good sign going into the MPS, which effectively rules out the potential of a tightening.

Thus we had the SOR spiking almost 4 bp higher into today’s fix above 0.4% again, a level not seen since mid March.

Flows on the week has been light with local banks slamming curve flatteners against some payers who were riding off the back of relative value plays vs the USD curve. The 2-10 flattened some 6 bp as a result.
My view now is that for any weakness in the SGD currency and even with a surprise announcement of weakening on Friday (from the 15% fall in JPY ytd), the impact would be short lived. The chances of SOR heading to zero in the future has increased considerably since last week and we note that BoJ’s program could stretch up to 5 years.

SGS

Bonds outperforming on BoJ, keeping pace with UST, in anticipation of a surge in inflows. Volumes suggest trading book positioning with the short end seeing great interest despite most issues under 09/2016 trading under 0.20%.

The big picture for bonds has become rosier, dampened only by casual ADB warnings of asset bubbles which is a good reason to load up on SGS. Because bubbles have to grow and the issuance calendar will be light for another 6 weeks till end May where we will have more bond supply in a 7Y reopening.

Corporates

Swiber 4Y SGD 160 mio 7.125% SOR +650 bp
Goodpack Ltd 10Y SGD 50 mio 4.7% SOR+300bp

May soybeans finished down 8¼ at 1372, 11¾ off the high & 11 up from the low. July soybeans closed down 6 at 1351¾. This was 11½ up from the low & 9¼ off the high. May soymeal closed down 0.9 at 397.1. This was 3.7 up from the low & 2.2 off the high. May soybean oil finished down 0.6 at 48.55, 0.7 off the high & 0.3 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 5-4

May soybeans finished down 10½ at 1383½, 13¾ off the high & 8 up from the low. July soybeans closed down 16¾ at 1357¾. This was 5½ up from the low & 19 off the high. May soymeal closed down 4.1 at 398.0. This was 2.9 up from the low & 4.6 off the high. May soybean oil finished down 0.44 at 49.15, 0.67 off the high & 0.02 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 4-4

Economic News

26 Mar
Feb Industrial Production -0.7% MoM vs expected -0.3%
Feb Industrial Production -16.6% YoY vs expected -7.9%
3 April
Mar Electronics Sector PMI 51.9 vs expected 52.5
Mar Purchasing Managers Index 50.6 vs expected 49.8

IRS
No real flows or interest in the market which is a sign of the new norm or perhaps consortiums at work. Economic numbers looking weak with the Feb Industrial Production coming out on the low end of the scale which is very telling of the new economic model for Singapore.

Market took the new 9 mth low in the 6M SOR in its stride with the 1Y irs failing to break the 0.36% before rebounding above 0.4% briefly. Activity for the rest of the curve centred on selling in the 5Y and 10Y irs to no challengers as local bank and his friendly parties continue to dominate the market. Thus just calm into the MAS monetary policy statement and 1Q flash GDP numbers next week before we get an inkling of what lies ahead.

Rates now below their 200 day moving averages and moving into filmsy support levels before the historic low abyss-zone of 2012. The strength of the inflows into ASEAN for Q1 has got the region worried for outflows to come and thus, perhaps, pose a new challenge for the central bank’s decision next week.

Suggest profit taking on shorts into MAS MPS and sitting into the event with a clear head.

SGS

Cyprus effect and yet SGS did not see the rally that matched UST or JGBs, probably because of the absence of POMO here.

Yet we saw a decent rally in the long ends, the 15Y SGS which caught the fancy of a local bank for it to be the best performer on the week, its yield falling 10 bp at one point before another local bank came out to take profit. It still remains the highest premium bond on the curve at 116 handle.

The 30Y SGS deserves special mention after its auction at 2.77% end Feb. The bond managed a credible rally to 2.7% while the new 5Y is holding the 0.5% level (auctioned at 0.57% last week).

The market is caught in a disconnect as the US stock market rally year to date pours cold water on the need for a safe haven hedge in SGS.

Probability of slightly higher prices going ahead without much conviction of a sustained rally.

May soybeans finished up 3¼ at 1394, 11¾ off the high & 8 up from the low. July soybeans closed up 2¼ at 1374½. This was 7¾ up from the low & 11½ off the high. May soymeal closed up 3.6 at 402.1. This was 2.9 up from the low & 2.3 off the high. May soybean oil finished down 0.47 at 49.59, 0.69 off the high & 0.14 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 3-4

relatively

it’s been a short time since i left the school i called my home
a short time since i walked the corridors late at night when everyone had left
and early in the mornings before they got there.
not long at all since i swung the hoover again and again over the floors
and sang castle on a cloud.
a short time has passed since i called alana by her surname
since she stood outside the classroom door watching silently as i cleaned
and sang of hoping for a better day.
since she saw me walking down the corridor
bent over from the weight of all the things in my heart
and snapped at me lovingly “scarlett! head up!”
i still think of that
when life becomes tiring
when i walk down the street and find myself looking at the floor.
i think of sally and her own brand of concern,
of brigitte and wendy
and the time they spent ensuring that i was ok
even when i wouldn’t let them
(especially when i wouldn’t let them).

of mark and tracy, who wouldn’t let me give up on myself
(my self)
even when i broke
even when i couldn’t stand it any more
mark would make snipping scissor motions with his fingers:
‘do you want to be a hairdresser?’
tracy, making me smile
showing me how to understand
that i didn’t have to apologise
for being
me.

of joe, who gave me the key to the little hut
and told me it wasn’t alarmed
when he found me sitting outside the school door at 6am
for the fourth week running.
i went to the hut that evening
and opened the door
inside the cupboard at the back was a duvet and a pillow.

they made me understand kindness, these people
the ones i knew cared, even when i wouldn’t really let them.
they taught me so much more than their lessons contained
held me up to the window and showed me the light of day
through the cracks
i waited
bided my time
held on with them behind me
my silent guardians, watching, willing me collectively on.

i want to do them proud
they are what keeps me going
when i see them again
i feel how others must feel when they go home.

these people are more than my friends
more than my surrogate parents, even
they have been my saviours through the years
when i was too tired or too naive to save myself.

i have no words, really
to express the gratitude i feel towards them.
and yet somehow i must write something
even though it can’t come anywhere close
to what i’d like
to say.

i guess really
that the only thing i can say to all of them
is
i love you all
and thank you
more than you will ever
ever know.

· for sgs ·

May soybeans finished down 14 at 1390¾, 17½ off the high & 4½ up from the low. July soybeans closed down 13¼ at 1372¼. This was 5½ up from the low & 16 off the high. May soymeal closed down 5.1 at 399.5. This was 3.1 up from the low & 6.8 off the high. May soybean oil finished down 0.05 at 50.06, 0.44 off the high & 0.74 up from the low.

Further information can be seen in the attached pdf ….

Morning Report 2-4

Description

I have not been a fan of research plans.  Recently I posted about them:

https://genealogycertification.wordpress.com/2013/03/09/have-you-done-a-research-plan-before/

…and I received some great comments from Yvette!  Thank you.  Her comments illustrated how (and why) a research plan for a client is helpful.  In discussions with others in the class, a second scenario was presented.  One of the class members uses a very short (one page or less) research plan every time she is researching problem A and she runs into problem B.  Problem B could totally divert her from working on problem A. Instead, she quickly writes a research plan on problem B and move back to Problem A.  She stated sometimes she ends up with quite a stack of problem statements/research plans but at least she knows where the gaps are.

Pretty cool and probably obvious to many!  I have no clear system for tracking identified problems but ones that cannot be addressed at the moment.  This seems like a reasonable way to do it.

One of the common issues with the research plans of the class is that they ended up writing more of a report and less of a plan.  They incorporated the implementation of the plan as part of the plan.  It seems to me that  “A Plan” is strictly that….what you will do in the future to address the problem.  Even BCG when it requests the research plan, restricts it to one page (part of the document work segment.) Many of the commenters suggested alternative sources and places to look.  While this was helpful it didn’t address the effectiveness of the structure of the plan itself.  The lesson for me was to see how quickly I could write a research plan–the quicker I write them then the more likely I am to write many more.  I need to keep refining the process and worry less about the product.  I also learned that one type of problem, say document retrieval, might not elicit the need for a plan and others might vary in what is needed to include.

So if you care to look (and comment) here is my revised class submission:

2013 0327 research plan

(The client, whose name has been changed, approved the inclusion of this in my blog.)

Happy Hunting!

Jill

What I have done since the last posting:  submitted my assignment (took comments and revised it accordingly and that is what is posted here), participated in the group critique, got out a SGS newsletter (painfully), attended SGS Board meeting, got 2 more clients (!), got a request to present my Civil War Prisons presentation to SGS (end of April) and to present at the fall seminar. I also started researching doing house histories (I will blog about that soon), read Inheritance in America: from Colonial Times to the Present by Shammas (I’ll blog about that as well), skimmed The Law of Sexual Discrimination by Lindgren, and am in the midst of reading Visiting the Courthouse.  I found that my great grand uncle purchased a parcel of land using the Timber Culture Act, which I had never heard of; that’s a blog topic for the future as well.  I am starting the layout of the Spring SGS Bulletin, which must be published by the end of the month.  Whew!  It’s an over achiever month.

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