Poker buddies are cutthroat, heartless bastards *lol*  At least the ones I play with on Saturday nights are.  Got a call today from the one who cleaned me out last week questioning my Silver short play when Christmas [and he believed jewelry demand] should be increasing here……so here goes boyz.

Not only is the chart itself screaming *short me!* as it broke down from its wedge, it’s now come back and backtested that resistance with Stochastic never able to even get above 80.  MACD continues to weaken showing decreased demand and ADX is just plain old weak; no strength in this last attempt. 

Now let’s talk seasonality.  Raw material demand is usually high in May or September…….before back-t0-school shopping and the Winter holidays.  November/December are actually low demand months as you will see at the chart [right] so unless there’s a sudden currency shift or manufacturing decides to skyrocket [as silver is used in electronics, autos, etc] then yep, silver should wilt and pull back in the weeks to come.  Load up by shorting SLV or going long ZSL……………..and kick ass at your next Texas Hold’em game.

With all the focus on gold, I’ve shifted my focus to other precious metals and become pretty bearish on silver as of late.  On a percentage basis, silver has actually outperformed the yellow metal so the theory goes, those with the largest gain have the most to give back.  Now watching it recently, silver failed to achieve a new swing high.  I’m not going to theorize on *why*; I’ll leave that to the pundits.  Merely reading the charts, negative divergence in both MACD and Slow Stochastics leads me to believe the weakening in silver will continue.  So call me Mrs. Scrooge; I’ve bitten the bullet.  I am long a sizeable position in ZSL (ultra short silver) with a stop @ $4.50

Att påstå att olika livsmedel har hälsobefrämjande egenskaper verkar bli mer och mer populärt hos tillverkarna. Hälsopåståenden som att omega-fettsyror kan bidra till bättre syn och ökad hjärnverksamhet eller att steroler och stanoler sänker kolesterolnivåerna i blodet är exempel  som förekommer flitigt i marknadsföringen. Detta är visserligen ingen ny kritik, men nu händer det saker. Livsmedelsverket berättar att European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) nu har beslutat sig för att sätta ned foten och förbjuda hälsopåståenden som inte är vetenskapligt grundade. Det första exemplet med omegafettsyrorna är nu ett osant och därmed förbjudet påstående. Det andra som beskriver vissa fettsyror som kolesterolsänkare är vetenskapligt belagt och därmed är det fortsatt okej att kommunicera just detta.

I EU:s lista finns sju godkännanden och 16 icke-godkännanden, fler granskningar i ärendet kommer framöver.

Pialena Krischél
Pr-konsult

We got to participate in a discussion about this topic with another CAPS member and the results—posted on The Motley Fool website—were pretty interesting (in our unbiased opinion LOL).

Summary of Intelledgement’s model macro strategy model investment portfolio performance as of 30 September 2009:

Gold has just hit a new contract high of $1,035.00 on a nominal basis.  While this is far short of an inflation-adjusted price compared to the 1980’s highs, this is still a nominal high.  The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) are up 1.7% at $101.55 this morning, which is above that old $108.08 high.  We have been noting an affiliate of ours who has been calling emphatically for higher gold prices.  Yesterday,  in a call that was against the US Dollar and against the S&P 500 Index, the call for gold was for a move above the old power band and a surge to $1,200.00 or possibly even higher.  Gold’s gains are taking silver and copper higher as well.  We have the iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV) up 3.2% at $16.91 in pre-market trading, although its recent high is $17.26.

JON C. OGG
OCTOBER 6, 2009

Anne-Marie Schwirtlich

Anne-Marie Schwirtlich, the Chief Executive Officer and State Librarian of the State Library of Victoria will be joining delegates from all over in Australia for the Change and Challenge conference.

1. Can you please give us a taste of what you will be speaking about at the conference?
The panel on which I am participating is reflecting on the opportunities and challenges presented by some of the social trends we are witnessing. I plan to speculate about how a couple of these trends might shape our work over the years to come.

2. What is inspiring, exciting or challenging you at the moment?
The potential for Australian content to feature on the national broadband network; the research underway in Victoria on advocating the value of public libraries; the first signs of spring in Melbourne (sadly, these include hayfever); and an imminent holiday to Egypt.

3. If you will be visiting Townsville for the first time, what are you looking forward to the most? If you are a local or know Townsville, please share your favourite thing to do or place to visit in Townsville.
I last visited Townsville in 1994 also for a conference, and enjoyed the views and walks and basked in the sunshine. I look forward to all this and more!

School-Located 2009 H1N1 Influenza Vaccination (SLV)
ボランティア等参加計画 – 学校に設置する新型インフルエンザワクチン接種専用クリニック
school-located 2009 H1N1 influenza vaccination clinics における接種対象者は生徒・学生のほか、米国がワクチン接種を推奨するグループを含む計画でもよい。
CDC公表 Sept 13, 2009
　http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/vaccination/slv/

QUESTIONS & ANSWERS
Monitoring Influenza Activity, Including 2009 H1N1
September 11, 2009
　http://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/reportingqa.htm
Reporting of Influenza and Pneumonia-Associated Hospitalizations and Deaths for the

2009年8月30日から始まった”2009-2010 Season”では、インフルエンザおよび肺炎による入院と死亡（ICD-9に基づく確定または推定症候群患者）に限ったCDC週報システムに変更されます。2009 H1N1 ウイルスを含む報告です(8月29日時点で全A型の97%を占める）。

It’s Jiffy Pop Time and the Gold market is just starting to pop, pop, pop. The heat is being generated by the whirring printing presses at the U.S. Treasury; which are running full steam ahead, unabated, and with no prospect of turning them off. This forms the stove with Inflation, (soon to be Hyper-Inflation) are the burners, blazing red hot. Extra energy is coming from the falling dollar and rising prices/Inflation regardless of what the manipulated Government reports may say. True Inflation right now is approximately 18%+. The tin foil on the Jiffy Pop is starting to rise and Gold has closed today at an 18 month high. We are moving out of the deflation stage and into the inflation stage, if Bernanke is truly dedicated to saving the U.S. economy the he need to tell Geitner to turn off the presses now. We have already doubled, no almost tripled the amount of dollars in circulation now; just in the last 8 months.

The popping is growing louder and mmm- the smell of fresh popped Jiffy Pop Popcorn. The heat is high and I hope you are on the right side of the markets- especially Gold and Precious Metals and in Stocks. For Gold in the coming week I fully expect we will take out the $1033 high. I would not be upset if we built a base down here around $1000 -  $1015 during the next few days and closing out next week at $1025 – $1040. This thrust will take us up to $1075- $1100 Then a retracement to back to $1025-$1033 before taking out $1100; and then getting to $1250 – $1300 by the end of the year. We will see a futile attempt to prop up the U.S. Dollar but there is nothing they can do short of raising Interest rates which will sink the fledgling recovery. Oil wil come back and take out first $75 a barrel and then $100 a barrel by the end of the year.

On stocks, I made a mistake on the wave/formation pattern, I still feel we are in the process of creating a head and shoulders top, the exception is that we are still forming the head. I think we will top out the head at DJI 9750- 9800. From there it will be a vicious drop off the cliff preceded by a short right shoulder buildup. I think the big crash is going to occur very soon in the next few weeks. Keep your stops very tight and get ready to play the downside.

I initiated two positions Thurs late afternoon, I bought (DGP) at 2245 and I sold (DGZ) at $22.60. I am getting ready to buy Dec call options for (GLD) and (RGLD) on Monday. You can follow my trades on twitter right after I initiate them.

Have a Great Investing Day! -

Follow Me on Twitter and be notified whenever I make a new post!

===================================================

Claim a gram of FREE GOLD today, plus a special 18-page PDF report;

Exposed! Five Myths of the Gold Market and find out:

• · Who’s been driving this record bull-run in gold?
• · What Happens When Inflation Kicks In?
• · Why most investors are WRONG about gold…
• · When and How to buy gold — at low cost with no hassle!

Get this in-depth report now, plus a gram of free gold, at BullionVault

===================================================

Four Keys To Gold’s Next Move – Seeking Alpha

By Jeffrey Nichols of Nichols On Gold

Gold may have moved too high too soon . . . but whether or not the metal manages to recoup and hold onto recent gains near or above the $1000 an ounce level in the days immediately ahead . . . we are nevertheless looking for new highs (above $1032) in the closing months of the year with gold possibly at $1200 or $1300 before the New Year.

Key One: India

I’ve just returned from India, one of the most crucial markets for gold with a long history and big appetite for the yellow metal. What happens next for gold may depend most on the strength — or weakness — of Indian buying. And, Indian buying is both price sensitive and in sync with various holidays, festivals, and the wedding seasons.

With current rupee-denominated prices near historic highs, many are waiting either for a correction or evidence of staying power before returning to the market for new purchases. And while festival and wedding-related buying is expected later this month, the two-week period up to September 19th is considered inauspicious for gold purchases and many potential buyers will wait until later in the month.

If gold can remain near $1000 for the next week or two, giving Indians a sense of confidence that the price is not about to retreat, we can imagine stronger buying interest sufficient to get the price moving toward its previous historic peak and beyond into uncharted territory.

Key Two: China

Official — but unreported — buying on behalf of the central bank and possibly the country’s sovereign wealth fund, the China Investment Corporation, is being joined by growing private-sector demand for both investment bars and jewelry.

Press reports suggest that the Chinese government has adopted a new — more positive — attitude toward private-sector buying of both gold and silver. With China now the number one gold-mining country, it is in their interest to see a higher gold price as long as demand can be satisfied by domestic mine production and scrap reflows. Additionally, it has been suggested that the new pro-gold policy is intended to channel speculative funds away from real estate and equity investments.

The recently announced agreement for the People’s Bank of China to purchase from the International Monetary Fund about $50 billion in SDR-denominated, IMF-issued interest-bearing securities has also contributed to the latest round of dollar selling . . . and, to the extent that dollar weakness is a plus for gold, this has also supported the early September gold rally.

Key Three: Barrick

Barrick Gold’s (ABX) smart move to buy back its gold hedge position provided a temporary booster shot that helped propel the yellow metal through the $1000 an ounce barrier.

If I remember correctly, as of midyear, Barrick — the world’s largest gold-mine producer — had about 168 tons of gold outstanding on its hedge book . . . and would have to buy back this quantity to regain full exposure to future gold-price moves.

Anticipating an announcement effect, Barrick most likely accelerated its gold repurchase program in the days leading up to the September 7th announcement and probably paused to let the market recover from the news and prices to back off a bit before it resumes its repurchase program. With another tranche still to be repurchased in the months ahead, I expect Barrick to buy into price weakness, helping to underpin the price at moments of weakness.

Key Four: Monetary Factors

Of course, clients and readers of NicholsOnGold know that we think U.S. monetary policy and money supply growth are the primary determinants of U.S. price inflation, U.S. dollar performance, and the future price of gold. Last weekend’s communique from the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors was a reminder that monetary stimulus is likely to stay for some time. This — along with last week’s report from the United Nations critical of the U.S. dollar’s roll as a global reserve asset — has pushed the dollar lower in foreign-exchange markets to the benefit of gold.

If you haven’t already read the full text of my speech to the 6th Annual India International Gold Convention in Goa, India last week, I suggest you take a look for more about gold’s supply/demand situation, important changes in central bank gold policies, and implications of U.S. monetary policy.

===================================================

How to Trade Natural Gas, Crude Oil and Gold ETF Funds – Seeking Alpha

By: Chris Vermeulen of The Gold and Oil Guy

How to trade hot commodities like natural gas, oil and gold? We should see big moves in the coming weeks as gas bottoms, and oil and gold breakout or breakdown. A lot of money is going to be exchanging hands quickly and the key is to be on the receiving end of things. Below are some charts showing where these commodities are trading.

How to Trade Gold – Weekly Chart

How I trade gold is relatively straight forward. I use a simple trading model which allows me to identify the down side risk for a potential gold trade. I also use the same model for trading oil, gas and silver.

Beyond finding good entry points, it is crucial to know when to take some profits off the table. The weekly gold chart clearly shows gold trading at a resistance level which means there are going to be more sellers than buyers, hence the reason it is called resistance.

To trade gold I enter with my low risk entry points and sell half my position once I reach a resistance level. Thursday for example gold moved up into this long term resistance level and then started to head south. We took some profits off the table before gold dipped in the late afternoon for a healthy gain. Taking profits is a must or you’ll simply hold onto winning positions until they eventually turn into a loser.

How to Trade Crude Oil – Weekly Chart

Trading crude oil is exciting because it moves much faster than gold. How to trade crude oil with low risk can be done by using my simple trading model which is a combination of indicators like momentum, support & resistance, volume, price patterns and media coverage. All these things combined allow for highly accurate trades with minimal down side risk.

Crude oil looks ready to make a big move. The odds are pointing to higher prices because oil has a multi month bullish price action and the falling US dollar helps increase the price of oil. I can see oil breakout and rally into the $95 per barrel level if things go that way in the coming weeks.

How to Trade Oil (USO Fund) – Weekly Chart

USO tracks similarly to the price of crude oil and it provides some great trades for both swing traders and day traders. I focus on trades that bounce off support with low downside risks, which occur on both the daily and weekly charts.

How to Trade Natural Gas – Weekly Chart

Natural gas is looking ready to bottom here. If you go back to the early 90’s the $2-3 range is a major support level. While I don’t generally try to pick bottoms, there are some signature price patterns and volume patterns that have proven to be very profitable for catching sharp bounces.

How to Trade Natural Gas – Daily Chart

The daily chart shows a perfect waterfall sell off with the price of natural gas dropping to a long term support level. This pattern combination shows panic selling which indicates a short term bottom is close.

The extreme panic selling and sharp decline in price, removes much of the down side risk. Scaling into a position over a few days, if the price continues to move lower, is important for this strategy to work its magic.

The black horizontal lines show my resistance levels for taking profits. If the price were to drop below $10 then I would exit the second half of the position to lock in the rest of the profit.

How to Trade Commodities Conclusion:

Trading commodities is very simple with all the ETFs and funds available. The energy funds like oil and gas have some issues with following the prices of their underlying commodity but I do not find it a problem with my style of trading.

I would really like to know the entire story about what is going on with the oil and nat gas funds which have crazy contango issues. Why do other commodity funds like GLD (gold bullion) and SLV (silver bullion) not have these issues? Why can’t they make a fund which follows oil and gas properly? All I know is that there are a lot of dishonest people in the financial industry taking honest hard working peoples’ money.

Visit The Gold and Oil Guy

===============================================================

(9-11 Postscript): I salute the fallen hero’s of 9-11 – we will not forget you! Our prayers are still with the families of the fallen and the survivors. We will never forget…

===============================================================

I will be starting regular daily posts next week especially since the markets are heating up- Like I said it’s “Jiffy Pop” time! – Have a great weekend-jschulmansr

===============================================================

Nothing in today’s post should be considered as an offer to buy or sell any securities or other investments; it is presented for informational purposes only. As a good investor, consult your Investment Advisor/s, Do Your Due Diligence, Read All Prospectus/s and related information carefully before you make any investing decisions and/or investments. –  jschulmansr

Two months ago it was a carnal sin to suggest that certain exchange-traded funds or notes which track commodities would start trading more like a closed-end fund based upon supply and demand moves in shares caused by in-flows and out-flows of orders rather than solely by the direction of the prices of underlying commodities.  It has been our ongoing prediction that many commodity ETF/ETN products (and maybe some leveraged products as well) will become more like closed-end funds. Yet here under new regulations that have not even become gospel, we have seen new share issuances either denied or withdrawn from some of these ETF or ETN products.  And we are getting to see a premium in pricing to boot.  The United States Natural Gas Fund LP (NYSE: UNG) is the most classic example out there.  This ETN was at a 15% to 16% premium to the actual gas futures as investors are choosing to pay higher prices just for the ability to get exposure in the portfolio in case these prices rise.  The UNG has already confirmed that no new shares would be issued currently, and it is now so large that it controls closed to 20% of the benchmark natural gas contracts.  Limitations of this sort will drive a free-market theorist nuts, but the other reality is that this can also create large directional price moves that have nothing at all to do with fundamentals.

It turns out that the PowerShares DB Oil Fund (NYSE: DBO) traded about 0.3% higher than its actual value in crude futures late last week, and limits to shares could exaggerate premiums and discounts.  And the PowerShares DB Crude Oil Double Long Exchange-Trade Note (NYSE: DXO) has also suspended issuing new shares. Barclays has also said that it would, at least temporarily, suspend new shares from being issued in its natural gas ETN called the iPath Dow Jones-AIG Natural Gas Subindex Total Return Exchange-Traded Notes (NYSE: GAZ).

Barclays also said that it would stop issuing new shares of the iShares S&P GSCI Commodity Index Trust (NYSE: GSG) once the outstanding amount reached 55.9 million shares. If our data is accurate on the latest count, that looks to stand at roughly 52 million shares.  This is a semi-diversified product that tracks about 24 different commodities in energy, agriculture, industrial metals, prcious metals and livestock.  It is energy dominant, but this was a much more diversified fund that decided to limit its size.  This one also has traded at a premium to its underlying value.

It is unlikely that either Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) nor Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) will get to escape with total exemptions on limits to the size of the markets despite the notion that these are two of the largest players in the commodities trading space.  In the past, it has not been uncommon for those traders who trade futures to suddenly have the NYMEX or other exchanges suddenly impose higher margin requirements just to trade or hold positions in futures in commodities.  The underlying theme there is that you might not be able to stop speculation, but you can drive up the costs of playing poker for the same results.

There is a key takeaway for investors to consider here.  The “GLD” or the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) is probably not going to be immune to this trend of limiting the size or scope of speculative investment limits in the commodities markets.   The market cap of the “GLD” is over $33 billion and that is effectively just about all in direct holdings of gold bullion.  Should an ETF product have more gold than all but a handful of the world’s largest central banks?  Our belief is that this will be next on the list after the CFTC and regulatory bodies get limits on these energy contracts.

Ditto for the iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV) with about $3.9 billion in assets and the iPath DJ AIG Copper TR Sub-Idx ETN (NYSE: JJC). These are not as much of leaders as some of the other ETF or ETN products out there, but the rules will probably be extended out to these next year.  Could you imagine the disparity between inflation of commodities if you had a market where speculation size limits were imposed in the energy markets but not in the prices of metals and other hard commodities?  Many of the soft commodities have had size limits imposed for years because of the size of the overall markets.

Many of these key ETF and ETN products are already starting to resemble closed-ends funds.  While the financial stocks are not at all related to size limits of commodity ETF or ETN products, many leveraged an inverse stock ETF products have been under regulatory pressure.  Look at what Direxion said about its highly-leveraged financial ETFs called the Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (NYSE: FAS) and Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (NYSE: FAZ).  This fund management group has been ahead of the curve by saying that these should not be held for the long-term and showed how the underlying index performance differed from the spot performance of those ETFs.

What many will want to know is if tulip contracts will be issued soon, and more importantly if there are going to be size limits on those.  After all, that is the most classic case of speculators driving prices above and beyond the reality of a fair market rate in history.  All joking aside, the size limits to some of these products will be here for a while.  It is also unlikely, although not definite, that investors will get a wave of newer competing ETF and ETN products that can compete against those already in existence.  Any time you see an ETF or ETN that has a fixed number of shares that cannot grow and any time these have a  real premium or discount to the net asset value that is beyond just a few snapshots due to market volatility and an inability for all prices to react simultaneously, then you are talking about closed-end funds.

This trend is not likely to be referred to in the history books as the “blip of time in 2009 where commodity ETF’s were capped.”  Speculators will still get to speculate.  But the price of poker will be higher.  This might even sound so late-Twentieth century, but most investors might even have to go back into investing in the stocks of the companies that actually are the real market participants in each commodity.

JON C. OGG
August 24, 2009

The simple answer is yes. The key question is… are we going to test $1000 or back below $900? If you look at the daily charts Gold has been inching slowly upwards, the first resistance in $965, then a successful close above $980-$983, will confirm the upside new assault on $1000. I am still sticking to my prediction of Gold at $1250 by the end of the year.

The charts are almost indentical to 2007 before the big breakout, check it out for yourself. A major factor which few are talking about is any breakout above $1000 will cause a massive short squeeze or an even more massive loss for the Big 3 (banks) who are heavily short. Posistions starting as low as $750 -$800. Due to this there exists an even larger potential for Gold to actually go as high as $1500 by year end.

Silver on the other side is going to go to $25 by year end and an even bigger short squeeze potential exists in that market. By the way look for Crude oil to be at or above $100 barrel. The dollar is doomed either way and inflation will have accelerated to the 12%-15% range at about the same time.

I’ll update the stock markets tomorrow and even though I think we still a tiny bit of room to the upside as we finish “the head” of the head and shoulders pattern that has been forming. Keep your stop loss orders tight and as always, Good Investing! – jschulmansr

Please Follow me on Twitter & FaceBook at: 
http://twitter.com/jschulmansr - Overall Markets and Trading Blog
http://twitter.com/daresomething - Politics
http://twitter.com/tweetsgold - Gold and Precious Metals
http://twitter.com/tweetsthecash - Internet Marketing and Affiliate Marketing
FaceBook http://facebook.com/jschulmansr
==============================================================

BONUS! The most accurate predictor of inflation (video)

 ==============================================================

Claim a gram of FREE GOLD today, plus a special 18-page PDF report;

Exposed! Five Myths of the Gold Market and find out:

• · Who’s been driving this record bull-run in gold?
• · What Happens When Inflation Kicks In?
• · Why most investors are WRONG about gold…
• · When and How to buy gold — at low cost with no hassle!

Get this in-depth report now, plus a gram of free gold, at BullionVault

 ==============================================================
Why Gold ETFs Are All About Timing --- Seeking Alpha

By: Tom Lydon of ETF Trends


Investor sentiments change with the seasons and summer proved to be


a lackluster season for gold. Nevertheless, a new season may provide

gold and related ETFs with the opportunity to shine.

A recent dip in gold prices renewed fund manager interest in gold,


citing the pullback as a buying opportunity, remarks Dan Well for


MoneyNews.
 
Gold abated from its recent high of $992.10 an ounce on June 3, but


many investors still believe inflation will kick in sooner or later.

Some portfolio managers believe gold may even touch $1,300 as soon


as spring. Gold is a popular hedge in inflationary times.
 
In the short term, seasonal changes may be a significant factor in


gold’s decline. Historically, gold prices tend to dip during summer


because the period lacks big gift-giving holidays. But purchases of


gold-related products resume in the fall when the Indian wedding


season, Ramadan, Christmas, and the Chinese New Year kick in.
 
Many people don’t know how many ounces a bar of gold actually


contains, comments Jim Wang for Bargaineering. In Wang’s search for


the answer, he discovered that there’s really no standard when


referring to “gold bars.” There is, however, the “400 ounce London


Good Delivery.” At $946 an ounce, the price as of Aug. 11, one


hefty stick of gold comes to $378,704. Yowza.
 

iShares COMEX Gold Trust (IAU): up 7.3% year-to-date




SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): up 7.4% year-to-date

=====================================================

Nothing in today’s post should be considered as an offer to buy or sell any securities or other investments; it is presented for informational purposes only. As a good investor, consult your Investment Advisor/s, Do Your Due Diligence, Read All Prospectus/s and related information carefully before you make any investing decisions and/or investments. –  jschulmansr

The timer is ticking and drawing ever closer. The Markets are behaving just like I felt they would be. The (DJI) is making it’s final push while the broader market is starting to lag. We are almost at the top of the head in the head and shoulders pattern for the (DJI). Will it break 10,000? Personally I do not think so. The market rallied today on “funny” unemployment figures released by the government this morning. What happened to the 750,000 unemployed workers which have seemingly vanished? They certainly were not hired on new jobs! Where did they go? Add them back, you now have a more real picture of unemployment. Please keep your stop losses tight and be prepared to be stopped out.

Gold and Precious Metals… Like I said the timer is drawing down to zero. Keep accumulating and add on to your (DGP) positions too. Buy producers and those near production with proven reserves. I still see $1250 by year end for Gold, $25 for Silver and /or better! Buy now! Your Children and Grandchildren will Thank You!   Another stock I like is Apollo Gold (AGT), they recently have started production and are ramping up for more. At .45 cents a share you can get a nice position for a small investment. Another “Buy and Forget”. By the way I still also feel Silver will outperform Gold on a percentage basis (see article below).

Have a Great Weekend, I will be resuming regular daily posts as soon as I have finished setting up a couple of new web sites. My other vocation, I am also an Internet Marketer. Remember, set up as many multiple income streams as you can. Good Investing! -jschulmansr

Please Follow me on Twitter & FaceBook at: 
http://twitter.com/jschulmansr - Overall Markets and Trading Blog
http://twitter.com/daresomething - Politics
http://twitter.com/tweetsgold - Gold and Precious Metals
http://twitter.com/tweetsthecash - Internet Marketing and Affiliate Marketing
FaceBook http://facebook.com/jschulmansr 
Thanks Again!
Jeff aka jschulmansr

================================================

Claim a gram of FREE GOLD today, plus a special 18-page PDF report;

Exposed! Five Myths of the Gold Market and find out:

• · Who’s been driving this record bull-run in gold?
• · What Happens When Inflation Kicks In?
• · Why most investors are WRONG about gold…
• · When and How to buy gold — at low cost with no hassle!

Get this in-depth report now, plus a gram of free gold, at BullionVault

================================================

Subject: Two trending markets revisited and analyzed for you

Here is a video analysis of the S&P and Gold markets. The technical analysis was right on at the time, but those markets have changed quite a bit in the last few days. The S&P had a huge rally and Gold is climbing at a steady rate, so what’s the new analysis? Glad you asked!

Below are two free videos, one on Gold and one on the S&P, that gives us an in depth technical look into these markets. Again the videos are free and very informative. Just Click on the Links Below…

S&P Video Analysis:                                                    Gold Projections:

Also- Here’s your chance to analyze that stock you have been thinking about adding to your portfolio. Just enter the ticker of any company, name of a commodity, or forex pair and get your complimentary technical analysis. It cost you nothing and no payment info will ever be requested.

Click Here To Enter Your Symbol/s

==========================================

Insiders are Selling – MarketWatch

By: Mark Hulbert of Hulbert Financial Digest

ANNANDALE, Va. (MarketWatch) — Corporate insiders have recently been selling their companies’ shares at a greater pace than at any time since the top of the bull market in the fall of 2007.

Does that mean you should immediately start lightening your equity exposure?

It depends on whom you ask.

But, first, the data.

Corporate insiders are a company’s officers, directors and largest shareholders. They are required to report to the SEC whenever they buy or sell shares of their companies, and various research firms collect and analyze those transactions.

One is the Vickers Weekly Insider Report, published by Argus Research. In their latest issue, received Monday afternoon, Vickers reported that the ratio of insider selling to insider buying last week was 4.16-to-1, the highest the ratio has been since October 2007.

I don’t need to remind you that the 2002-2007 bull market topped out that month.

To be sure, the weekly insider data can be volatile, especially during periods like the summer, in which the overall volume of insider transactions can be quite light. That is one of the reasons why Vickers also calculates an eight-week average of the insider sell-to-buy ratio, and it currently stands at 2.69-to-1. That’s the highest that this eight-week ratio has been since November 2007.

To put the insiders’ recent selling into context, consider that in late April, the last time I devoted a column to the behavior of insiders (and when the rally that began on March 9 was still only six weeks old), the comparable eight-week sell-to-buy ratio was just 0.72-to-1. ( Read my April 27 column.)

Why, given this, shouldn’t we be running, not walking, to the exits?

May be you should, of course.

But, in deciding whether to do so, there are several other factors to consider.

The first reason to be at least a little bit skeptical of insiders’ current pessimism is that they, on balance, failed to anticipate the 2007-2009 bear market. On the contrary, as I reported on numerous occasions during that bear market, they were largely bullish throughout. The average recommended equity exposure of Vickers’ two model portfolios, for example, was around 90% from late 2007 through the early part of this year.

What makes insiders more worth listening to now than then?

It’s a fair enough question, of course. What those who are inclined to follow the insiders can say by way of response is that insiders, over the years, have been more right than wrong — even though by no means infallible.

Another reason not to immediately go to cash in response to insiders’ increased recent predisposition to sell their companies’ stock: They are often early.

In fact, Investors Intelligence, a newsletter edited by John Gray and Michael Burke, bases one of its market timing indicators on how the insiders were behaving 12 months previously.

A similar point was made earlier this week by Jonathan Moreland, editor of the Insider Insights newsletter. While acknowledging that recent insider behavior “seems totally inconsistent with this rally continuing unabated,” Moreland went on to argue that “it may take weeks or even months for insiders to be proven right. Money can be made in the meantime.”

The bottom line? Insiders are not always right. And even when they are right, they often are early.

Even so, it’s difficult to sugar-coat the recent increase in the pace of their selling,

Mark Hulbert is the founder of Hulbert Financial Digest in Annandale, Va. He has been tracking the advice of more than 160 financial newsletters since 1980.

===========================================

Fundamentals Are in Place For Silver To Move Higher – Seeking Alpha

Source: The Silver Analyst

The fundamentals are in place for silver and gold to move higher. The ongoing issuance of US treasuries and further quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve inevitably point to continued dollar weakness. The interesting fact that the Fed stepped in recently to indirectly buy some of the auctioned bonds points to a decreasing lack of investor appetite for US debt. That the Fed indulged in QE is no surprise – they announced that months ago. It was more the fact they had to step into the void created by the absence of buyers that was more telling. So much for the fundamentals – now what about the technicals of timing?

No doubt you are aware that the US Dollar Index has breached longer term support at 77.7 and is currently slogging to retrieve that level of support. We don’t think it will succeed but for how long it will hold out is as yet uncertain. The breach is slight and we are still looking for a decisive breach that will propel gold and silver higher. The chart below sums up the dollar situation with potential overhead resistance at 79.

Looking at silver, we are seeing a pattern emerge that suggests if the dollar breaks to the downside, silver will be targeting its former high of $21 though we are uncertain of it completely taking that high out in the medium term. Nevertheless a buying opportunity is present and as advised to subscribers, we already have gone long in July.

The question for those with positions is when to exit? The silver chart is shown below displaying the longer term trend in terms of months with the prospect of the upper channel being tested if the dollar falls through to its lower channel in the low 70s. As a guide, remember when the US Dollar fell to 70 in March 2008, silver went to $21.

Zooming into the daily charts, we see silver has begun a move up since mid-July not dissimilar to the moves up in February and June. Those moves lasted two to three months and we anticipate something of the same here. Note the support lines in the two prior moves and their similar angles of ascent. By way of projection I have copied the first trend line from February and superimposed it on the current move. It meets the longer term line of resistance at about $18. That is the kind of price action we hope silver will indulge us when the dollar breaks down further.

You will also note the Elliott wave notation. The last move up from April to June was a clear impulse wave and this current wave looks to be in a wave 3 now with all the upside potential that such a wave brings.

So the stage is set for some fireworks but to aid our silver and gold cause the resistance line on the US Dollar Index chart needs to hold. So far it is and next week should prove to be very interesting.

Disclosure: The Silver Analyst is long silver bullion!

============================================

Here is where I buy my Bullion, get one free gram of Gold just for opening an account! Catch the New Bull! – Buy Gold Online – Get 1 gram free just for opening account- just click here and then again on the Gold Bar!, no minimums – Buy Safely, quickly, and at low prices, guaranteed! - Bullion Vault.com

============================================

Gold Bullion Regaining Its Glitter – Seeking Alpha

By: Prieur du Plessis of Investment Postcards

Is gold bullion coming back to life? Should one read anything into the rise of 6.2% (+$56) since the yellow metal’s low of early July?

When it comes to gold bullion and gold stocks, I need to confess I started my investment career in 1984 as none other than a mining analyst. Ever since those days of calculating net present values on my trusted HP 12C I have been intrigued by the shenanigans of the yellow metal and related stocks. And I have also learnt over the years that one should never underestimate the ability of the gold price to surprise when least expected.

Admittedly, part of the improvement in the gold price can be ascribed to the fading US greenback, which declined by 3.9% over the same period. I always have more faith in gold’s rallies when they are not only a reflection of US dollar weakness, but gold is also appreciating in most currencies. This serves as an indication of increased investment demand and is a phenomenon one should keep an eye on as gold might just have started moving independently of the dollar over the past few days.

Considering the fundamental outlook for gold, a very comprehensive report was recently published by Austria’s Erste Group. The analysts list the positive and negative influences below, leading them to conclude that gold is only half-way through a secular bull market and offers an outstanding risk/return profile.

Negative factors:
• Clearly falling jewellery demand.
• Recessions are basically not a good environment for the gold price (the gold price gets stimulated at a later stage by the measures taken during the recession).
• Gold tends to be held as asset and cash of last resort, which means it is liquidated in extreme financial situations. Given that more than 70% of jewellery is bought on the Indian subcontinent, the supply of recycled gold might continue to rise.
• De-hedging is coming to an end.
• The futures positions (CoT) would suggest a short-term correction.

Positive aspects:
• The worldwide reflationary policy will continue for a while.
• Global USD reserves are excessive, and the need to diversify is enormous.
• De facto zero-interest policy in USA, Japan and Europe.
• Central banks have changed their attitude towards gold.
• Supply still in long-term downward trend.
• Investment demand will remain high; Wall Street has discovered gold.
• Commodity cycle has a long way to go.
• Geopolitical environment remains fragile.
• China will increase its gold reserves.

Gold’s technical picture is certainly looking up. This is explained by Adam Hewison of INO.com who prepared a short analysis of gold’s most likely direction. (The analysis was done on Tuesday, but is still as relevant today as it was then.)

Click here or on the image below to access the video presentation.

Seasonally, September also seems to be a good month for gold, with an average gain of 2.6% for the month since 1970.

Source: Plexus Asset Management

I am bullish on gold in the medium term, especially as I believe the vast money printing by central banks could set off strong inflation pressures down the road. I will not be surprised to see bullion passing the infamous $1,000 resistance level over the next few weeks – a question of fifth time lucky – and I will be inclined to add bullion to my portfolio on pullbacks.

===================================================

Claim a gram of FREE GOLD today, plus a special 18-page PDF report;

Exposed! Five Myths of the Gold Market and find out:

• · Who’s been driving this record bull-run in gold?
• · What Happens When Inflation Kicks In?
• · Why most investors are WRONG about gold…
• · When and How to buy gold — at low cost with no hassle!

Get this in-depth report now, plus a gram of free gold, at BullionVault

====================================================

Nothing in today’s post should be considered as an offer to buy or sell any securities or other investments; it is presented for informational purposes only. As a good investor, consult your Investment Advisor/s, Do Your Due Diligence, Read All Prospectus/s and related information carefully before you make any investing decisions and/or investments. –  jschulmansr

In the world of metals and commodity ETF products, the iShares Silver Trust (NYS: SLV) has been the go-to ETF for traders wanting exposure to the price of silver as it has an objective to reflect the price of silver owned by the iShares Silver Trust after the fund’s expenses and liabilities.  There are other silver ETF products that traders and investors can use, but a new competing ETF has launched today.  The ETFS Silver Trust (NYSE: SIVR) has now launched and has issued shares backed by physical silver SIVR for NYSE listing.

There is a fairly high benchmark here and it will be some time before traders and investors can determine whether this is a success or not.  That measure will come through volume and liquidity.  The iShares Silver Trust (NYS: SLV) trades on average 8.8 million shares.  At $13.57, its 52-week trading range is $8.45 to $17.68 and its market cap is $3.9 billion.

PowerShares DB Silver (NYSE: DBS) is far smaller and far thinner in trading volume.  At $24.67, its 52-week range is $14.81 to $33.00 and market cap is listed as almost $83 million.  This one only trades almost 100,000 shares on an average day.  There is also the E-TRACS UBS Bloomberg CMCI Silver ETN (NYSE: USV), although this one is so small and thinly traded that we do not even rank it very high.

Then there is leveraged-ETF trend seen in the the Ultra Silver ProShares (NYSE: AGQ), which is double-leverage against silver bullion.  At $41.22, its 52-week trading range is $21.60 to $57.32 and its average volume is roughly 250,000 shares.  Its double-short inverse is the ProShares UltraShort Silver ETF (NYSE: ZSL).

Despite the “four letter ticker” that might make you think this is a NASDAQ traded instrument, it trades on the NYSE.

JON C. OGG
JULY 24, 2009

This vertical spread trade was started on March 23, 2009.

SLV traded for $13.17 at the close on Friday July 17th.  Both Puts, the one sold (written) and the one bought (long), expired worthless.

We realized the maximum gain for this trade of $0.40 (less trading costs), if we assume $0.15/share as trading costs, we have a gain of $0.25/share.  We risked $0.75/share, which makes our return on this trade 33% (0.25/0.75) for four months or approximately 100% APR.

Please note that $0.15/share trading costs assumes that only one option contract was used.  These costs go down (dramatically) if more than one option contract is used which would raise the return of this trade.