Blogs about: Soft Topics Uncertainty
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Why Financial Gambling is Easier than Life Gambling
In my view one of the most important component of alpha generation (financial gambling) is weighting. How large to make your bets. Interestingly this is not often discussed in the class room or the … more →
Certain in Uncertainty
Why Financial Gambling is Easier than Life Gambling
wrote 4 months ago: In my view one of the most important component of alpha generation (financial gambling) is weighting … more →
Distribution of Estimates or Estimates of Distributions
wrote 7 months ago: Bernanke should receive the Nobel Peace Prize…what he did for the U.S. economy and there in by … more →
Is More Information Better?
wrote 7 months ago: My undergraduate thesis was entitled ‘Is More Information Better.” It was a study of t … more →
Those who are right are wrong
wrote 7 months ago: People like things that are clear, ‘If you are right, you are right and if you are wrong your … more →
Why you want her to say no.
wrote 7 months ago: Now I’ve use a matrix framework (game theory) to describe how to think about epidemics as a po … more →
Epidemics and You
wrote 8 months ago: Epidemics are great case studies to think about probabilistic thinking. Deadly flu epidemics are ex … more →
Be Confident that we don't know...
wrote 8 months ago: In an era of fairly dire economic predictions it is, in a way, comforting to reflect that these pred … more →
Crowds
wrote 8 months ago: The economist highlighted a statistics that this weeks crowds at the G-20 meeting in London where re … more →
Quantity vs. Quality
wrote 8 months ago: People are prone to over weight information. You should note that when someone say that we must do … more →
Confirmation Bias
wrote 9 months ago: Voltaire said ‘doubt is not a pleasant condition but certainty is absurd.’ Although man … more →
Bonus?
wrote 9 months ago: Everyone is up in arms about the AIG bonuses. The story goes if the company is not making any money … more →
Stewart vs. Cramer
wrote 9 months ago: Most of you have seen the Stewart vs Cramer interview. Stewart did a good job bringing the financia … more →
More of the Same
wrote 9 months ago: The Fed’s Flow of Funds came out last week. For the most part it wasn’t particularly su … more →
Superbowl lessons
wrote 11 months ago: The superbowl offers some interesting question. A perennial — How do advertiser decided what t … more →
The Department of the Unseen
wrote 11 months ago: The man on the street evaluates policy in a very emotive way. When he is asked if he like a certain … more →
Gretzky is a Policy Wonk?!
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wrote 12 months ago: The hockey legend explained his success when he said, ‘I skate to where the puck is going to b … more →
History: Condemned to Repeat It
wrote 1 year ago: In an era when we are said to be living through a historic moment, I ask myself some questions to de … more →
Ten Years of Uncertainty
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wrote 1 year ago: Today’s FOMC releasediscussed the Fed’s decision to continue the quantitative and qualit … more →
Federal Reserve Challenge: When normal just doesn’t cut it.
wrote 1 year ago: When the economy slows, the first responder is the Federal Reserve. It eases monetary policy by lowe … more →
