Well, true to his word, “I don’t bluff. I make promises.”, Glenn Beck has released sensitive information on the Saudi National linked to the Boston Bombings.

This “person of interest” looks to be in much better shape than the Tsarnaev lad, doesn’t he? Actually, he looks pretty damn smug.

Additions:
CVI (4/21/13, +0.00%)
HCA (4/21/13, +0.00%)

Subtractions:
None

Last week all the major U.S. indexes cratered on volume. The NASDAQ plunged 2.7%, and the Dow, S&P 500, and NYSE composite each dropped 2.1%. On Monday, the IBD outlook once again slipped to “uptrend under pressure” and then on Wednesday rolled over to “market in correction”. So much for that distribution plagued rally. Raise cash on any strength, don’t let gains you may have on long positions turn into losses, keep your watch lists updated, and feel free to play on the short side until we see the next follow through day, signifying the start of a new uptrend.

With the market in correction, none of the watch list stocks can be considered as buy candidates.

/as usual, your mileage may vary, always do your own homework

The following stocks currently exhibit potential technical characteristics consistent with historically successful shorting opportunities, emphasis on POTENTIAL:

APOL
BBG
MCRS

INCORRECTLY SHORTING STOCKS CAN LEAD TO UNLIMITED LOSSES. Proceed at your own risk.

/How to Make Money Selling Stocks Short by William J. O’Neil

With many of the top women out of the field, Maria Sharapova becomes the favorite at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix.  (J Pay Carter/AP)

The Watch List spotlights the must-know storylines for the upcoming week in tennis. This week, Rafael Nadal goes for his eighth title in Barcelona, while Maria Sharapova returns to the red clay to begin her quest for a second French Open title.

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix

[Complete Singles Draw]

Seven of the top 10 women are in Stuttgart for the first WTA Premier event of the season held on red clay. While Serena Williams, Victoria Azarenka, and Agnieszka Radwanska are not in the field, defending champion Maria Sharapova returns to the tournament that kicked off her triumphant clay season last year and culminated in her title at Roland Garros. She’ll receive a first-round bye, along with Li Na, Angelique Kerber, and Sara Errani, who round out the top-four seeds.

Sharapova and Li will play their first clay matches of the year here, so it will be our first look as to their form. That especially holds true for Li, who I like as a top-five favorite for the French. She wasn’t able to get much traction after making the Australian Open final due to injuries, but I expect that to change as we transition to clay. A semifinal here would put her on the right track.

With just a 32-player field, the draw is packed with blockbuster matches from the first round on, including Ana Ivanovic against good friend Andrea Petkovic, Sam Stosur vs. Jelena Jankovic and a tricky opener for Caroline Wozniacki against clay stalwart Carla Suarez Navarro. Look for a few players to suffer (or benefit) from a Fed Cup hangover, with tough duties over the weekend either leaving them drained or buoyed with confidence.

Kerber suffered a tough loss to Ivanovic during the Fed Cup, while Ivanovic played exceptionally well in winning both her matches for Serbia. On the flip side, the waterlogged tie between Australia and Switzerland meant the entire day was pushed to Monday, so Stosur will probably have to play two matches in one day (weather permitting) before flying to Stuttgart for her first-round match against Jankovic. In short, the week’s results are going to be very tough to predict. That said …

Prediction: Sharapova d. Errani.

Notable potential early-round matches: Ana Ivanovic vs. Andrea Petkovic (first round), Samantha Stosur vs. Jelena Jankovic (first round), Caroline Wozniacki vs. Carla Suarez Navarro (first round), Julia Goerges vs. Kirsten Flipkens (first round), Ana Ivanovic vs. Nadia Petrova (second round), Angelique Kerber vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (second round), Samantha Stosor or Jelena Jankovic vs. Sabine Lisicki (second round), Maria Sharapova vs. Nadia Petrova (third round), Angelique Kerber vs. Caroline Wozniacki (third round), Li Na vs. Petra Kvitova (third round).

Barcelona Open

[Complete Singles Draw]

I’m not sure I’ll ever get used to seeing Rafael Nadal’s name not on the top line of a clay-court tournament, but he’ll try to put the disappointment of losing to Novak Djokovic in Monte Carlo behind him in Barcelona, where he’s won the the title seven of the last eight years. The reason he’s not the No. 1 seed is the return of David Ferrer, who skipped Monte Carlo after a grueling Miami final, where he was a point away from beating Andy Murray. Despite his loss in Monte Carlo, Nadal’s obviously the heavy favorite to win his eighth title here. His toughest road to the final would be Carlos Berlocq, Benoit Paire, Jerzy Janowicz, Tomas Berdych and Ferrer. Unless Janowicz or Berdych has one of those days where he serves 20 aces and crushes winners on the lines, there’s little stopping Nadal.

Prediction: Nadal d. Ferrer. 

Notable potential early-round matches: Ernests Gulbis vs. Radek Stepanek (first round), Tomas Berdych vs. Nikolay Davydenko (second round), Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tommy Robredo (second round), Fernando Verdasco vs. Ernests Gulbis (second round), Alejandro Falla vs. Marcel Granollers, Bernard Tomic vs. Juan Monaco (second round), Milos Raonic vs. Ernests Gulbis (third round), Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Berdych (third round), Benoit Paire vs. Rafael Nadal.

Savannah Challenger

[Complete Singles Draw]

It’s not often that you see a former top-10 player in a $50,000 Challenger field, but that’s precisely the situation in Savannah, Ga., as Mardy Fish has taken a wild card. Fish returned to the tour in March at Indian Wells after shutting down his 2012 season at the U.S. Open due to complications stemming from a heart arrhythmia. Fish played well upon his return, forcing two tiebreakers against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, and has passed on the early European clay season to play Challenger events in Savannah and Tallahassee, Fla., next week. It’s a smart move for Fish, who is still trying to cope with his nerves and trust his body in the heat of competition. That comfort level can only increase if he gets matches under his belt.

BRD Nastase Tiriac Trophy

[Complete Singles Draw]

Can Janko Tipsarevic finally get back on track? After winning Chennai in January, the No. 2 Serb endured a five-match losing streak through Indian Wells and was a mess in his second-round loss to Dimitrov in Monte Carlo. He’s the top seed in Bucharest, followed by Gilles Simon, Andreas Seppi and Mikhail Youzhny. Perhaps dropping down to play the smaller events will help him build momentum.

Grand Prix de SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem

[Complete Singles Draw]

Slovakia’s Dominika Cibulkova has to be exhausted after a draining tie against Russia over the weekend, when she played two singles matches and a doubles match in two days. She tops the field in Morocco, along with Sorana Cirstea, Alize Cornet and Kaia Kanepi. Francesca Schiavone, Flavia Pennetta and Daniela Hantuchova are among the veterans in the field who have seen their rankings drop precipitously this year.

The Chechens’ American friends: The Washington neocons’ commitment to the war on terror evaporates in Chechnya, whose cause they have made their own

“Alice in Wonderland is an understatement if you understand the full reality of what’s going on.”

Rowley is, of course, a national hero and national treasure, who tried desperately to stop the 9/11 attacks before they happened, but she was repeatedly blocked from doing so by superiors at FBI headquarters.  When she says “down the rabbit hole,” she is not exaggerating, nor being facetious.  This is realty in America: the US government plays both sides of the terrorism game.  Do you understand this?  Do you want to understand this?

Terrorism is a useful tool — in their view — when directed at one’s enemies, and the US government has been using it for as long as you have been alive, in various ploys and disguises around the world.

So when people jump to conclusions about possible “false flag” scenarios, they may be premature, but not without precedent.

PS

You really, really need to read Coleen Rowley’s piece on the Chechen / Al Qaeda connection if you give a damn about any of this. Ignorance is not bliss. Nor is stupidity glamorous or hip.

Additional articles cited by Coleen Rowley:

The Terrible Missed Chance
by Philip Shenon Sep 4, 2011

‘Our (New) Terrorists’ the MEK: Have We Seen This Movie Before?”
by Coleen Rowley, 09/27/2012

The chart shows an 8-month uptrend and is just ranging in the short-term. Throughout its sideways range, it has established numerous supports (shown by the dotted blue horizontal lines) and a major support at P1.80. The stock has a major resistance at P2.00. Based from my technical indicators, the stock looks good to buy at these levels. Prices ranging from P1.86-P1.91 is a decent buy. In case the stock goes down and reaches P1.80, then I would still recommend a buy. The stock’s chart has a similar chart pattern with ALI. There is a good possibility that the stock could go up and reach P2.00 and even break P2.00 to make a new 52-week high.

“Blessed are those who are persecuted because of righteousness, for theirs is the kingdom of heaven. Rejoice and be glad, because great is your reward in heaven, for in the same way they persecuted the prophets who were before you. ‘You are the salt of the earth. But if the salt loses its saltiness, how can it be made salty again? It is no longer good for anything, except to be thrown out and trampled underfoot. You are the light of the world. A town built on a hill cannot be hidden. Neither do people light a lamp and put it under a bowl. Instead they put it on its stand, and it gives light to everyone in the house. In the same way, let your light shine before others, that they may see your good deeds and glorify your Father in heaven’.” (Matthew 5: 10 – 16)

Additions:
None

Subtractions:
CVI (2/17/13, -13.35%)
HCA (2/10/13, +2.96%)

Last week all the major U.S. indexes bolted higher. The NASDAQ rocketed 2.8%, the S&P 500 soared 2.3%, and the Dow and NYSE composite each vaulted 2.1%. On Wednesday, the market’s positive action on higher volume pushed the IBD outlook back up to “confirmed uptrend”. Although the rally has resumed, the distribution count remains dangerously high, so remain cautious. That said, as a so far unimpressive earnings season ramps up in earnest, the tape is currently indicating that it wants to move higher, don’t fight it.

This week, one watch list stock is in a proper buy range. GRFS, trading at $29.88, found support at its ten week line as in buy range up to $32.58.

/as usual, your mileage may vary, always do your own homework

In all seriousness, though, I’m fucked if anyone decides to arbitrarily check my browser history. Here’s a few just to give you an idea:

Airport Security

Homemade Bombs, Pipe Bombs, 21st Century Boobie Traps

How to Cover Up a Crime, How to Evade Police, How to Escape

Crime Scene Ballistics, Gun Residue, Silencers

Diamond Heists, Human/Drug/Antiquities Trafficking, Black Market Organs

If that right there doesn’t set off some bells and whistles on WordPress alone, I don’t know what will.

FOR THE RECORD, IT’S RESEARCH! I’m but a mere civilian struggling to keep her head above water in a genre I’m obsessed with but admittedly know little about. Forensic Files, Law & Order, and CSI can only get you so far, people. I need to be legit… so sayeth my bwainz. (Sunday night Walking Dead shout out!)

Am I entirely overthinking this? Exactly how dumbed down or non-explicit or non-specific can I get away with? These are things that vex me while writing things that aren’t a part of my normal everyday life. People say to stick to what you know and love, but I love crime stuff. I can be pretty slippery and sneaky and shady when needed (it went over much better in my youth), but I don’t have any nefarious intentions. In fact, this is the first time I’ve ever used the word ‘nefarious’ in a legitimate sentence. Aye… Oh… it felt good. Bada bing, bada boom. Fuhgetaboutit.  <lights a smoke>

Sorry ’bout that last part. The reading of Donnie Brasco is still in progress. “You wanna be a dumbski?”

So I guess my concern is this: how far into the unknown can I or should I go if it’s a topic/genre/plot I’m truly in love with? It’s not that the research itself is dissuading me or hindering me, really… it’s just that it’s a lot to learn as far as nomenclature and situations and making sure everything is copasetic for the discerning reader or, fingers crossed, audience member. How much is too much on a single script for a neophyte such as myself?

Alas, I shall keep up the research, since it’s interesting, until I fall into a dark chasm of writer’s despair at which time I’ll probably cry a little before pulling up the ol’ panties and attacking another idea.

Onward and upward!

BPI – The stock has gone up from a low of P100.90 and closed at P103.80 last Friday. The stock is possibly consolidating for a while due to bears still posting a considerable volume of shares on the sell side. A nudge by the bulls can push the stock’s price up to P106. In case the stock falls below P100.00, then it might be best to re-evaluate the direction of the stock. Take note though, a break below P100.00 could also be a shakeout. Line on sand is at P97.00.

AEV – Just like PNX the stock is just ranging and positioning itself to go up. Some owners of the company have been selling the stock at these prices, but there are bulls who are willing to absorb their shares. The stock’s indicators and price movement look good though. There is a good possibility that the stock could go up in the short-term. An important immediate resistance to break is P56.10.

Both stocks still look bullish in the short-term unless price action this week says otherwise.

EW is in a long-term uptrend and it seems it has been forming 3-4 week uptrend. Can it finally break P35.30 to go back to its previous high at P36.00? There is a short-term resistance at P36.00, but given a good amount of bullish momentum, that can be easily broken to make an all-time high. In case the stock shows weakness in the coming days, buying the stock as close to P34.00 can be a good idea. In case the stock goes down to P32.00, then that can be a strong buy for a range trade in the short-term or a hold for the longer-term if you’re patient enough to wait for a break above P36.00. P33.30 is a possible support that the stock could establish a support if the stock breaks below P34.00.

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