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Why Do Most Computer Models Fail Martin Armstrong

New post on Armstrong Economics

Why do Most Computer Models Fail?

by Martin Armstrong

Computer Models typically fail for the same reason why human forecasting from a gut personal perspective becomes a joke. 89 more words


The 50 MPH Tropical Storm Ana has just made landfall in South/North Carolina, bringing with it, rain, thunderstorms, and some storm surge.  Tropical Storm Ana is the first storm of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and is also one of the earliest landfalls by a Tropical Cyclone on record. 110 more words

Duke Says "Climate Models Wrong"

Our climate models are WRONG: Global warming has slowed – and recent changes are down to ‘natural variability’, says study

  • Duke University study looked at 1,000 years of temperature records…
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Computer Models

Where's soon-to-be Ana heading?

Have a look at our graphic, the red line on the coast means that imminent landfall is expected in the next two days.

Our graphic shows Invest 90L, which will then likely be Ana, moving into the SC/NC coastline, but due to the current run of the European computer model, we are having this storm ride up the coast a bit further, then veering out to sea before having a chance to make landfall in New York and New England. 100 more words


The computer models in a way have shifted overnight, instead of a track more into South Carolina, the majority of the computer models are suggesting that  this storm will likely impact northern parts of South Carolina, and mostly coastal areas in North Carolina. 148 more words

Study: Global Warming Actually More Moderate Than Worst-Case IPCC Models

From Duke University, where they validate what we’ve been saying for quite some time: there’s a divergence between climate models and reality.

Global warming progressing at moderate rate, empirical data suggest… 641 more words


Phineas Fahrquar reblogged this on Public Secrets and commented:

Reality further diverges from the sacred models. Whatever will the hierophants of the Church of Anthropogenic Global Warming do?

Harvard-Smithsonian Physicist: Computer Models Used by U.N. Overstate Global Warming | CNS News

So goes the liberal battle cry… If it ain’t true, fake it!

(CNSNews.com) – A scholarly paper explaining why predictions made by climate computer models used by the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) tend to exaggerate global warming has ignited a political firestorm.

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