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How today's jobs report makes Janet Yellen's life even harder

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen faces the biggest decision of her career later this month, when a Federal Reserve committee may raise interest rates for the first time since 2008. 345 more words


The US interest-rate rise conundrum continues

It was only yesterday that I analysed the risk that the European Central Bank eases monetary policy again. In essence it boils down to the level of the Euro with a soupcon of oil price influence. 1,219 more words

General Economics

USD and Fed Rate Hikes: More Complicated Than Simply ‘buy the rumour, sell the fact’

Fed comments at Jackson Hole indicate that they are in wait and see mode about both domestic data and financial market/China stresses. But for now they’re… 3,261 more words

Monetary Policy

Fed's Fischer: Too Early to Decide on Sept Hike

It’s too early to determine if recent market turmoil has made a September rate hike more or less compelling, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer told CNBC on Friday. 585 more words

Market News

Notes From Underground: The Fed Moves From Wall Street to Madison Avenue

Last week New York Fed President Bill Dudley opined that the economy looks great but is less compelling in regards to raising interest rates, while the Fed’s Vice Chairman insisted that we only want to do things right. 757 more words


Phillips Curve, the FOMC´s Lullaby

Just two days ago, I had something to say on the Fed and the Phillips Curve. Today, Tim Duy concludes, after a lengthy discussion of all the wrong arguments for a rate rise in September: 168 more words

Monetary Policy

An Autumn Reassessment – Will the fallout from China favour equities, bonds or the US Dollar?

Macro Letter – No 40 – 28-08-2015

An Autumn Reassessment – Will the fallout from China favour equities, bonds or the US Dollar?