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Risk-Off Flight to Euro

The euro has oscillated in a relatively narrow 1.08 to 1.10 range in recent weeks, as investors have sought refuge in established safe haven assets in response to a surge in global volatility caused by financial turmoil in China. 130 more words

Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts

Argentina: Peso Devaluation

Run-off elections on November 22, 2015 saw the centre-right opposition leader Mauricio Macri secure the vote to succeed incumbent Cristina Fernández de Kirchner as President, ousting the Peronist party. 184 more words

Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts

Foreign Exchange Volatility

Driven largely by divergent policy trends, uneven global growth, persistent geopolitical risks and uncertainty in China, FX volatility has been amplified entering 2016. The long-awaited start to US monetary normalisation took place on December 16 as the US Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points. 105 more words

Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts

ECB Ready to Act

The euro tumbled more than 6.0% between October 15 and November 9 after the European Central Bank (ECB) signalled that it was prepared to do more in December to bring inflation back to its ‘just below 2.0%’ target. 115 more words

Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts

FOREIGN EXCHANGE CONSENSUS FORECASTS MARCH 2014

This month’s special survey focuses on the extent to which exchange rate movements are influenced by a range of different factors, including relative growth, inflation differentials, the trade balance, interest rates and equity investment flows.  63 more words

Current Economics

Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts, February 2014

The US dollar (page 3), which performed well over the holiday period, depreciated last week, following a disappointing non-farm payrolls report for December. Only 74,000 jobs were added to the American economy, down from 200,000 and 241,000 in October and November, respectively. 19 more words

Current Economics

Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts February 2014

The next Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts publication is available Wednesday 12th February.

You can download a sample of Consensus Forecasts athttp://www.consensuseconomics.com/con2/more_research.php?submit3=g7

Foreign Exchange Consensus Forecasts