Tags » John Kaplan

Paper on the statistical prediction of hurricane rapid intensification published in Weather and Forecasting

Summary: The paper describes new models to forecast the probability of when tropical cyclones may strengthen rapidly during the next 48 h when the National Hurricane Center issues watches and warnings to the public. 109 more words

HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project

10th Anniversary of Hurricane Dennis

On July 8, 2005, Hurricane Dennis became one of the strongest Atlantic hurricanes ever recorded in July.  It formed into a tropical depression on July 4th and struck the island of Grenada in the eastern Caribbean Sea.  515 more words


HRD seminar – John Kaplan, AOML/HRD – 25 April 2014

John presented a seminar on two topics: (1) “Enhancements to the SHIPS Rapid Intensification Index”;


Predicting episodes of tropical cyclone rapid intensification (RI) remains one of the highest operational forecasting priorities of the National Hurricane Center (NHC). 470 more words


25th anniversary of Hurricane Joan

Hurricane Joan approaches Nicaragua

On October 22, 1988, Hurricane Joan made landfall near Bluefields, Nicaragua.  A late season storm, Joan had taken an unusual track over the southern Caribbean, across the Netherland Antilles ABC islands and northern Venezuela before undergoing rapid intensification and hitting Nicaragua with 145 mph winds.   96 more words

HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project

HRD seminar – Jason Dunion, CIMAS/HRD – 28 March 2013

Jason Dunion presented a seminar on “Development of a Probabilistic  Tropical Cyclone Genesis Prediction Scheme”. A video recording of the presentation is available on the anonymous ftp site: 16 more words

HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project