Tags » Nate Silver

ABC News Takes Over Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight

ESPN will eighty-six FiveThirtyEight, the statistics-driven news-and-analysis site led by Nate Silver. But the news outlet will go back to square one at ABC News. 200 more words



Steven Pinker has a chapter called Reason in his outstanding book, “Enlightenment Now.” Part of the problem with reason or reasoning are beliefs, as was expounded in a previous healthy memory blog post, “Beliefs: Necessary, but Dangerous.” The legal scholar Dan Kahan has argued that certain beliefs become symbols of cultural allegiance protected by identity-protective connection. 990 more words

Human Memory: Theory And Data

Nate Silver, the Guy Who Built Statistical Models Predicting a Hillary Win, Admonishes Former FBI Director Comey!!!

This is the same guy who said that Hillary had a 98% chance of winning! This is the guy who the Democrats worshipped for predicting Obama’s win in 2008. 103 more words


No, Trump's Approval Rating Is Not 50%

Recently, Rasmussen reported that Donald Trump’s approval had finally hit 50%, so of course Trump had to tweet about it:

Thank you to Rasmussen for the honest polling.

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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction

Started off quite well, fast paced and fun to read but then I found it very unoriginal and quite boring. Nate Silver basically just summarises a load of stuff that has already been well documented in the pop science literature.  61 more words


The Right Attitude for Making Predictions

In FML we are all to some extent forecasters. But what makes a good forecaster. Data certainly plays a role, perhaps some technical skills, but what about attitude? 783 more words


The Athletic Emerges as Another Potential Landing Spot for ESPN's FiveThirtyEight

Last month, The Big Lead reported that ESPN was exploring the sale of Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight platform, and that potential landing spots included The Atlantic or being spun into ABC News. 512 more words

Media Gossip/Musings