Tags » Prediction

Why media got Trump prediction wrong?

Since Trump started topping polls and started winning primaries, media pundits are having a hard time explaining why they got predictions so wrong. It’s not an easy thing to introspect about ones failures. 301 more words

Political

Predicting, forecasting, and superforecasting

I have expressed a lot of reservation about the feasibility of prediction of large, important outcomes in the social world (link, link, … 2,218 more words

CAT_epistemology

A new chapter

Last night closed the book on the month of April and the first month of the baseball season. The model returned 4 out of 9 correct predictions with the Cubs and Braves washed out.A slightly sub-par performance to end the month will all 3 picks failing to pay out also. 180 more words

Baseball

India’s risk of Diabetes, as predicted by seeDoc

India is predicted to be the Diabetes capital of the world in the near future which is a known fact. However, the development of Diabetes… 507 more words

Research

Nothing to write home about

Another night of unglamorous consistency for the model, with 4 out of 8 correct selections and another 0.1 added to the Virtual Bank Balance as 2 out of 4 value picks were returned successfully. 104 more words

Baseball

An economist is an expert

An economist is an expert who will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn’t happen today.
— Laurence J. Peter

Image of Gringotts Bank from the Harry Potter film set at Warner Bros studio: By Marek69 [

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Cheerful

AUSTRIA : Clip of ‘Eurovision Stand In Rehearsal’ 2016 for Zoe

Rehearsals for Eurovision 2016 begin on Monday May 2nd. How will the countries stage their songs? Well we have a glimpse of how Zoe’s ‘Loin d’ici’ will look on the stage in Globen. 123 more words

Eurovision