Tags » Probability

Probability of a Probability?

Is it possible to guess the probability distribution of a random variable by just observing it a finite number of times? This post discusses the issue of assigning a probability to a probability distribution (under some assumptions). 233 more words

Modeling

Elves Shall Die

In many fantasy stories, elves are creatures that are immortal unless killed by somebody or something. But does it imply they get to live forever? Probably not. 133 more words

Probability

University Maths for A-Level Students: Applied Probability

I’m writing this particular series of posts with a specific aim in mind: I want to show A-Level maths students some of the interesting things that I have been able to study during my third year at the University of Oxford. 1,562 more words

Mathematics

Probably Probability

Probability is a subject that we often teach without even calling it by it’s name. An example of this is our Bear Pride reward drawing that we have Washburn Elementary school, where I work. 409 more words

Elementary

Bayesian probability and statistics: resources

Prediction is very hard. We have no choice but to use the past events to make a prediction about the future events. If you can detect a trend or cycle then the job gets easier but sometimes there is neither a trend nor a cycle. 139 more words

Science

Reading The Comics, September 24, 2014: Explained In Class Edition

I’m a fan of early 20th century humorist Robert Benchley. You might not be yourself, but it’s rather likely that among the humorists you do like are a good number of people who are fans of his. 641 more words

Math

Gambler's Fallacy

You are given a 100$ check to use in a casino of Las Vegas. You decide to travel there and take your chance.

You even bring your friend John.

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Math