Tags » Sabermetrics

Change in approach: Edge betting

Another good night for the model, this time financially in particular. Overall the model returned 7 out of 13 correct predictions, but on value picks the record on the night was 4-2, generating a healthy profit. 346 more words


Poppin' Peripherals: Marco Estrada and Drew Smyly (Part II)

In part two of this series I’m going to be looking at Rays pitcher Drew Smyly. Since coming to Tampa Bay in 2014 as a piece of the three-team… 830 more words


Making a Case for the Four Man Rotation

Hi All,

So I’m a baseball fan.  I absolutely love baseball.  I also love science and all the “Moneyball” type thinking that has emerged over the past 10+ years.  1,283 more words


A new chapter

Last night closed the book on the month of April and the first month of the baseball season. The model returned 4 out of 9 correct predictions with the Cubs and Braves washed out.A slightly sub-par performance to end the month will all 3 picks failing to pay out also. 180 more words


Poppin' Peripherals: Marco Estrada and Drew Smyly (Part I)

Both Smyly (84% owned) and Estrada (67% owned) have quietly put up dominant numbers over long stretches but haven’t quite earned their MLB stripes or the full respect of fantasy players according to their ownership rates on Yahoo. 888 more words


Nothing to write home about

Another night of unglamorous consistency for the model, with 4 out of 8 correct selections and another 0.1 added to the Virtual Bank Balance as 2 out of 4 value picks were returned successfully. 104 more words


Slim pickings

Just 4 predicted games were completed last night, as the Pirates and Rockies was lost to the poor weather in Colorado. Of those four games, the model returned 2 correctly, with Detroit and the Cubs both collecting home wins. 139 more words