Tags » Seer Of Seers

Election Eve Predictions

Well, the election is almost over, and with that done we can get back to the stories that matter – petty squabbling over the legitimacy of the election results, bitter partisan fights over the looming fiscal cliff and brutal recriminations inside the losing party. 869 more words


The Defense of an Undecided Voter - Part 4

My last two posts discussed my preference for President Obama’s on social matters and Governor Romney’s on economic. I expressed some doubt in both categories, primarily related to my skepticism about the President’s real role in those two roles. 860 more words


The Defense of an Undecided Voter - Part 3

I’m still undecided, though my absentee ballot needs to get sent sooner rather than later, so I should probably start to figure something out. In the mean time, I’ll keep breaking down the sources of my remaining doubts. 771 more words


The Defense of an Undecided Voter - Part 1

I’ve seen in several places the argument or assumption that an undecided voter is necessarily uninformed – that the differences between the two candidates are just so obvious that anyone remotely paying attention should already have figured out who they’re supporting. 597 more words


And on to Prediction #2

With Santorum out, I can now pretty much call my Prediction #1 – Romney is the Republican Nominee. Gingrich and Paul have both pledged to be in it “to the death,” but that’s more about their own personal desires than it is about any legitimate shot at the White House – Paul knows he can keep making some waves in the national debate, Gingrich knows this is probably his last hour in the limelight. 174 more words


Portman for VP?

This Atlantic article makes the case for Ohio Senator Rob Portman for Romney’s VP:

  1. Romney likes and respects Portman. 
  2. Portman wants the job.
  3. Portman is vetted, more so than any other potential pick.
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Hedgehogs and the Great Depression of 2030

The “Thinking Like a Fox” metaphor is best applied against people that make extreme predictions with high degrees of uncertainty and little historical precendent. To wit: MIT researchers predict  192 more words

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