Tags » Volatility

Markets are Macro Right Now, but the Details Don’t Support Those Bets

Just a few observations:


I was waiting for the numbers this morning. As one can see, the US consumer seems to be doing just fine. 765 more words

Economic Impact

February 13, 2016: Gellin' Like Janet Yellen

This week we looked at Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s testimony before the House on February 10th (the show was recorded that evening). Most of the focus was an analysis of her comments on the jobs market, but we also touched on other parts of her testimony, and had a general discussion about the concept of “The Fatal Conceit”, the idea that experts can guide anything (like the economy) better than the market. 244 more words


It Was Never About Oil, Part 2: It Was Always Leverage & Volatility

Source: alhambrapartners by Jeffrey P. Snider

Part 1 here…

The entire point of leveraged positions is the margin of safety. That is true on both sides of that equation, as for the provider and the borrower/user. 1,006 more words

Financial/Societal Collapse And Dependence

Increasing Volatility, Increasing Downside Risk

Since 2015, the 90-day historical volatility has been increasing for both Strait Times Index (STI) and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KL Composite Index (FBMKLCI). Based on past index / volatility trends, …

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Capital Markets

Volatility Versus Risk

In the investment world, we often speak of the riskiness of an investment in terms of volatility: if an asset’s price changes rapidly and unpredictably, it tends to be spoken of as risky, and if the price tends to stay the same, it is usually regarded as “safe.” … 363 more words

Mark Leibman